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Raptors vs. Nuggets prediction: Denver favored to win Friday's NBA matchup [3/20/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets predictions for NBA Friday.
The Denver Nuggets will square off with the Toronto Raptors in NBA action at Ball Arena on Friday, commencing at 9:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Nuggets as the most likely winner of the Raptors vs. Nuggets game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Nuggets lineup will feature players like Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon, while the Raptors will rely on Brandon Ingram, RJ Barrett and Scottie Barnes.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Raptors vs. Nuggets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NBA matchup between the Raptors and Nuggets 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Nuggets a 72% chance of beating the Raptors. Our predicted final score has the Nuggets winning 121-115.
According to our model, the bookies have got it right, and the Raptors and Nuggets each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 238-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
Raptors vs. Nuggets odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Raptors | Nuggets |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +6.5 (-102) | -6.5 (-118) |
| Moneyline | +230 | -270 |
| Total | o238 (-110) | u238 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Raptors vs. Nuggets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Raptors +6.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Nuggets | -270 |
| Total | Under 238 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Under 238 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Raptors vs. Nuggets player props
NBA player props are a popular way to wager on Friday's Raptors vs. Nuggets matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Ball Arena.
Brandon Ingram is expected to lead the Raptors with 24 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists, while Nikola Jokic is projected to have 26 points, 13 rebounds and 9 assists for the Nuggets.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Raptors prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Raptors are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram | 24 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 43 |
| RJ Barrett | 20 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 37 |
| Scottie Barnes | 19 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 45 |
| I. Quickley | 17 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 35 |
| Jakob Poeltl | 13 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 32 |
Nuggets prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Nuggets:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | 26 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 64 |
| Jamal Murray | 26 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 47 |
| Aaron Gordon | 16 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 30 |
| Tim Hardaway | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 |
| Christian Braun | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 27 |
Raptors vs. Nuggets game-day updates and essential details
Friday's matchup between the Nuggets and Raptors at Ball Arena is scheduled to start at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: Toronto Raptors vs. Denver Nuggets
- Date: Friday, March 20, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Ball Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Nuggets, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat the Raptors on Friday, with Nikola Jokic projected for a game-high 64 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Raptors vs. Nuggets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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