Oct 29, 2026
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Read Article Kings vs. Pelicans prediction, odds, pick for Oct. 29, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dimers Data
Our Kings vs. Pelicans predictions include win probabilities, the latest odds, and player projections.
The New Orleans Pelicans are favored to beat the Sacramento Kings at Smoothie King Center on Thursday (8:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NBA model.
Our Kings vs. Pelicans prediction gives New Orleans a 67.9% chance of winning, while the latest odds suggest the best betting value is on the under 235.5 points.
Kings vs. Pelicans key predictions
- Predicted score: Pelicans 120-115 Kings
- Pelicans win probability: 67.9%
- Kings win probability: 32.1%
- Kings +6.5 spread: 52.5% cover probability
- Over 235.5 points: 50.3% probability
Our NBA predictions project each team's score based on player performance, expected minutes, matchups, availability, and home-court advantage.
We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities from these projections, comparing them against current odds to find betting value.
Kings vs. Pelicans odds
Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.
- Kings moneyline: 32¢ (Novig)
- Pelicans moneyline: 69¢ (Novig)
- Kings +6.5: 52¢ (Novig)
- Pelicans -6.5: 49¢ (Novig)
- Over 235.5 points: 52¢ (Polymarket)
- Under 235.5 points: 49¢ (Polymarket)
Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.
Kings vs. Pelicans pick: Under 235.5 (49¢)
Our model makes the Pelicans the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the under 235.5 total points at 49¢ on Polymarket.
Those odds give the under an implied probability of 49.0%, while our model puts it at 49.7%.
That's a 0.7% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.
Kings vs. Pelicans player projections
Dimers' NBA player projections cover points, rebounds, assists, and more, accounting for recent performance, expected minutes, lineup changes, and defensive matchups.
Kings star Darius Acuff leads the scoring projections for this matchup with 22.9 points, plus 5 assists and 2.4 rebounds. The Pelicans have three players among the top five projected scorers, compared to the Kings' two.
Top 5 projected scorers
- Darius Acuff (Kings): 22.9 points
- Trey Murphy (Pelicans): 22.3
- Zach LaVine (Kings): 21.7
- Zion Williamson (Pelicans): 21.6
- Dejounte Murray (Pelicans): 19.2
Projections are estimates, not betting recommendations. Compare them with available odds to judge value.
Get every Kings vs. Pelicans prediction with Dimers Pro
Dimers Pro members get full access to our Kings vs. Pelicans predictions, including:
- Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
- Points, rebounds, and assists projections for players on both teams
- Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks
Kings vs. Pelicans game details
- Matchup: Sacramento Kings vs. New Orleans Pelicans
- Date: Thursday, October 29, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Smoothie King Center
About this prediction
This preview uses predictions from our NBA models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.
Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.
Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Dimers Data Dimers Data publishes sports predictions and betting insights powered by Dimers' proprietary predictive models. The team develops and maintains the automated publishing systems used to deliver consistent, data-driven coverage across major sports.
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