NBA player props today: Thursday's best props include Damian Lillard [10/29/2026]

Donovan Clingan over 10.5 rebounds (-116)

• Edge: 8.8%
• Probability: 62.6%
• Projection: 12.8
• Game: Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Trail Blazers' Donovan Clingan over 10.5 rebounds. A probability of 62.6% gives this play an edge of 8.8% at -116 odds.

Deni Avdija over 5.5 assists (+100)

• Edge: 8.8%
• Probability: 58.8%
• Projection: 7.1
• Game: Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET)

Deni Avdija’s assists prop shows an 8.8% edge at +100 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 7.1 assists on the over 5.5 line.

Damian Lillard over 4.5 assists (+114)

• Edge: 8.7%
• Probability: 55.5%
• Projection: 5.5
• Game: Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Damian Lillard over 4.5 assists, with simulations showing a 55.5% probability and an 8.7% edge at +114.

Cameron Boozer over 4.5 assists (+120)

• Edge: 5.2%
• Probability: 50.6%
• Projection: 4.6
• Game: Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET)

Our model projects Cameron Boozer to put up 4.6 assists today, creating an edge of 5.2% on the over 4.5 line at +120 odds.

Ty Jerome over 1.5 steals (37¢)

• Edge: 9.1%
• Probability: 46.6%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Ty Jerome over 1.5 steals for Grizzlies, showing an edge of 9.1% at 37¢ odds.

Precious Achiuwa over 1.5 blocks (+176)

• Edge: 9.7%
• Probability: 46.0%
• Projection: 1.0
• Game: Kings vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET)

Precious Achiuwa’s blocks prop shows an edge of 9.7% at +176 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.0 today.

Peyton Watson over 1.5 steals (+172)

• Edge: 7.9%
• Probability: 44.7%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Cavaliers vs. Hawks (8:00PM ET)

Our model projects Peyton Watson for 1.1 steals for Cavaliers, creating an edge of 7.9% on over 1.5 at +172 odds.

De'Andre Hunter under 3.5 rebounds (37¢)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 42.1%
• Projection: 4.9
• Game: Kings vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects De'Andre Hunter for 4.9 rebounds, creating value on the under 3.5 line at 37¢ odds and a 5.1% edge.

Precious Achiuwa under 0.5 steals (+179)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 42.0%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Kings vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET)

A 6.1% edge on the under 3.5 steals line makes Precious Achiuwa a value play in Kings vs. Pelicans, with our model projecting him for 1.1 steals at +179 odds.

De'Andre Hunter under 9.5 points (35¢)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 40.1%
• Projection: 14.4
• Game: Kings vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET)

Simulations project De'Andre Hunter for 14.4 points here, creating a 5.1% edge on the under 9.5 line at 35¢ odds.

NBA player prop summary: Thursday, October 29, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 7:56PM ET:

Conclusion

For October 29, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Donovan Clingan, Deni Avdija and Damian Lillard. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.