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St Louis City vs. New England Revolution prediction, odds, MLS picks [3/21/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get St Louis City vs New England Revolution predictions for MLS Saturday.
MLS action continues on Saturday at 8:30 PM ET as New England locks horns with St Louis City at CITYPARK.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLS model predicts St Louis City as the most likely winner of the St Louis City vs. New England game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
St Louis City vs. New England Revolution prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's MLS matchup between St Louis City and New England 10,000 times as part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently indicates a 48.8% chance of St Louis City winning, a 27.1% chance for New England, and a 24.0% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 55% chance of going over, according to our model.
St Louis City vs. New England Revolution odds
We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| St Louis City | New England | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -105 | +255 | +280 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -158 | +128 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
St Louis City vs. New England Revolution picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | New England | +255 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +128 |
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
St Louis City vs. New England Revolution: Correct score predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| STL 1-1 NER | 11.3% |
| STL 2-1 NER | 9.5% |
| STL 1-0 NER | 9.4% |
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
St Louis City vs. New England Revolution game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's action between St Louis City and New England in MLS at CITYPARK is scheduled to begin at 8:30 PM ET.
- Who: St Louis City vs. New England Revolution
- Date: Saturday, March 21, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: CITYPARK
Conclusion
According to our computer model, St Louis City has a 48.8% win probability on Saturday, New England has a 27.1% win probability, and there is a 24.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate St Louis City vs. New England insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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