New England vs. St Louis City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the New England vs. St Louis City MLS match on March 21, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS sport icon
MLS
New England
1
3
CITYPARK
St Louis City
CITYPARK
St Louis CitySTL
Score Summary
New EnglandNE
S. Becher (29')
Soccer ball icon
C. Durkin (45')
Soccer ball icon
M. Hartel (83')
Soccer ball icon
I. Feingold (14')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • St Louis City
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • New England
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: M. Mbacke replaces J. Orozco
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    R. Burki (St. Louis City) cautioned
  3. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: L. MacNaughton replaces D. Polvara
  4. 88'
    Yellow Card
    J. Orozco (St. Louis City) cautioned
  5. 83'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for St. Louis City by M. Hartel
    1-3
  6. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New England Revolution: J. Yueill replaces L. Campana
  7. 76'
    Yellow Card
    Y. Damet (St. Louis City) cautioned
  8. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: S. Cordova replaces Celio Pompeu
  9. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New England Revolution: P. Miller replaces B. Raines
  10. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New England Revolution: D. Fagundez replaces W. Sands
  11. 66'
    Yellow Card
    M. Fofana (New England Revolution) cautioned
  12. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New England Revolution: G. Yow replaces L. Langoni
  13. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New England Revolution: L. Campana replaces D. Turgeman
  14. 51'
    Yellow Card
    B. Ceballos (New England Revolution) cautioned
  15. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for St. Louis City by C. Durkin, assisted by Rafael Santos
    1-2
  16. 38'
    Yellow Card
    Rafael Santos (St. Louis City) cautioned
  17. 29'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for St. Louis City by S. Becher, assisted by D. Edelman
    1-1
  18. 14'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New England Revolution by I. Feingold
    1-0

New England vs. St Louis City: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: New England vs. St Louis City
  • Date: Saturday, March 21, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: CITYPARK

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: New England +290, St Louis City -110, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-110/+100)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • New England: 26.9%
  • St Louis City: 48.8%
  • Draw: 24.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: New England 1-1 St Louis City (11.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win New England vs. St Louis City? Prediction & correct score

St Louis City is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 48.8%.

The most likely correct score is New England 1-1 St Louis City.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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