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New England vs. St Louis City Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for New England vs. St Louis City at the MLS on March 21, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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MLS
FINAL
MLS
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Mar 22, 12:30AM CITYPARK
Mar 22, 12:30AM CITYPARK
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
S. Becher (29')
C. Durkin (45')
M. Hartel (83')
I. Feingold (14')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for St. Louis City: M. Mbacke replaces J. Orozco
R. Burki (St. Louis City) cautioned
Substitution for St. Louis City: L. MacNaughton replaces D. Polvara
J. Orozco (St. Louis City) cautioned
Goal scored for St. Louis City by M. Hartel
1-3
Substitution for New England Revolution: J. Yueill replaces L. Campana
Y. Damet (St. Louis City) cautioned
Substitution for St. Louis City: S. Cordova replaces Celio Pompeu
Substitution for New England Revolution: P. Miller replaces B. Raines
Substitution for New England Revolution: D. Fagundez replaces W. Sands
M. Fofana (New England Revolution) cautioned
Substitution for New England Revolution: G. Yow replaces L. Langoni
Substitution for New England Revolution: L. Campana replaces D. Turgeman
B. Ceballos (New England Revolution) cautioned
Goal scored for St. Louis City by C. Durkin, assisted by Rafael Santos
1-2
Rafael Santos (St. Louis City) cautioned
Goal scored for St. Louis City by S. Becher, assisted by D. Edelman
1-1
Goal scored for New England Revolution by I. Feingold
1-0
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New England vs. St Louis City: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' New England vs. St Louis City prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: New England vs. St Louis City
- Date: Saturday, March 21, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: CITYPARK
- Tournament: MLS
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: New England +290, St Louis City -110, draw +270
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-110/+100)
Dimers' win probabilities
- New England: 26.9%
- St Louis City: 48.8%
- Draw: 24.3%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is New England 1-1 St Louis City, with a probability of 11%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
New England is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 26.9% probability, while St Louis City sits at 48.8%, with the draw at 24.3%.
For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' New England vs. St Louis City prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.
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