New England vs. St Louis City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the New England vs. St Louis City MLS match on March 21, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
New England
1
3
Mar 21, 8:30 PM ET CITYPARK
St Louis City
Mar 21, 8:30 PM ET CITYPARK
St Louis CitySTL
Score Summary
New EnglandNE
S. Becher (29')
Soccer ball icon
C. Durkin (45')
Soccer ball icon
M. Hartel (83')
Soccer ball icon
I. Feingold (14')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • St Louis City
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • New England
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: M. Mbacke replaces J. Orozco
90'
Yellow Card
R. Burki (St. Louis City) cautioned
89'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: L. MacNaughton replaces D. Polvara
88'
Yellow Card
J. Orozco (St. Louis City) cautioned
83'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for St. Louis City by M. Hartel
1-3
78'
Substitution
Substitution for New England Revolution: J. Yueill replaces L. Campana
76'
Yellow Card
Y. Damet (St. Louis City) cautioned
73'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: S. Cordova replaces Celio Pompeu
73'
Substitution
Substitution for New England Revolution: P. Miller replaces B. Raines
73'
Substitution
Substitution for New England Revolution: D. Fagundez replaces W. Sands
66'
Yellow Card
M. Fofana (New England Revolution) cautioned
59'
Substitution
Substitution for New England Revolution: G. Yow replaces L. Langoni
59'
Substitution
Substitution for New England Revolution: L. Campana replaces D. Turgeman
51'
Yellow Card
B. Ceballos (New England Revolution) cautioned
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for St. Louis City by C. Durkin, assisted by Rafael Santos
1-2
38'
Yellow Card
Rafael Santos (St. Louis City) cautioned
29'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for St. Louis City by S. Becher, assisted by D. Edelman
1-1
14'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New England Revolution by I. Feingold
1-0

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New England vs. St Louis City: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: New England vs. St Louis City
  • Date: Saturday, March 21, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: CITYPARK

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: New England +290, St Louis City -110, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-110/+100)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • New England: 26.9%
  • St Louis City: 48.8%
  • Draw: 24.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: New England 1-1 St Louis City (11.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win New England vs. St Louis City? Prediction & correct score

St Louis City is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 48.8%.

The most likely correct score is New England 1-1 St Louis City.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on New England vs. St Louis City, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.