Jun 9, 2026
WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Tuesday, June 9, 2026
Read Article Mercury vs. Valkyries prediction: Golden State favored to win Tuesday's WNBA matchup [6/9/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries predictions for WNBA Tuesday.
The Golden State Valkyries will face the Phoenix Mercury in WNBA action at Chase Center on Tuesday, starting at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Valkyries as the most likely winner of the Mercury vs. Valkyries game.
The Valkyries, who have star players such as Veronica Burton, Janelle Salaun and Gabby Williams, are set to take on the Mercury, whose lineup includes Kahleah Copper, Alyssa Thomas and Jovana Nogic.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Mercury vs. Valkyries prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's WNBA game between the Mercury and Valkyries, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Valkyries a 74.8% chance of beating the Mercury.
According to our model, the Mercury (+7.5) have a 53.8% chance of covering the spread, while the 162.5-point over/under has a 55.1% chance of going over.
Mercury vs. Valkyries odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mercury | Valkyries |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +7.5 (+100) | -7.5 (-120) |
| Moneyline | +280 | -350 |
| Total | o162.5 (-105) | u162.5 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mercury vs. Valkyries picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Mercury +7.5 | +100 |
| Moneyline | Mercury | +280 |
| Total | Over 162.5 | -105 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 162.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mercury vs. Valkyries player props
WNBA player props are an exciting way to wager on Tuesday's Phoenix vs. Golden State matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Chase Center.
Kahleah Copper is expected to lead the Mercury with 13 points, 3 rebounds and 1 assists, while Veronica Burton is projected to have 12 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists for the Valkyries.
Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Gabby Williams striking first with a 14% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Mercury prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Mercury are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kahleah Copper | 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 22 |
| Alyssa Thomas | 10 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 32 |
| Jovana Nogic | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 |
| M. Akoa-Makani | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 22 |
| DeWanna Bonner | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18 |
Valkyries prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Valkyries:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Burton | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 31 |
| Janelle Salaun | 10 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 20 |
| Gabby Williams | 10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 24 |
| Kayla Thornton | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22 |
| C. Zandalasini | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 18 |
Mercury vs. Valkyries game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's action between the Valkyries and Mercury at Chase Center is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries
- Date: Tuesday, June 9, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Chase Center
Conclusion
We predict the Valkyries, with a 74.8% win probability, will likely beat the Mercury in Tuesday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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