Philadelphia Union vs. Chicago Fire prediction, odds, picks, and MLS Season Pass discount code [10/26/2025]

Philadelphia and Chicago will meet in the MLS Cup First Round on Sunday, with kickoff at 5:30PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven MLS model predicts Philadelphia as the most likely winner of the Philadelphia vs. Chicago game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Philadelphia Union vs. Chicago Fire prediction: Who will win - MLS Cup First Round?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's MLS matchup between Philadelphia and Chicago 10,000 times as part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model suggests a 55.1% chance of Philadelphia winning, a 23.1% chance for Chicago, and a 21.8% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 62% chance of going over, according to our model.

Philadelphia Union vs. Chicago Fire - MLS Cup First Round odds

We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Total Goals

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Philadelphia Union vs. Chicago Fire picks and best bet for MLS Cup First Round

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Philadelphia moneyline.

Philadelphia Union vs. Chicago Fire: Correct score predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scoresaccording to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Philadelphia Union vs. Chicago Fire MLS Cup First Round updates and essential details

Sunday's action between Philadelphia and Chicago is scheduled to start at 5:30PM ET.

• Who: Philadelphia Union vs. Chicago Fire
• Date: Sunday, October 26, 2025
• Time: 5:30PM ET/2:30PM PT

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Philadelphia has a 55.1% win probability on Sunday, Chicago has a 23.1% win probability, and there is a 21.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Philadelphia vs. Chicago insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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