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Orlando City vs. NY Red Bulls prediction, odds, MLS picks [2/21/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Orlando City vs NY Red Bulls predictions for MLS Saturday.
Orlando will take on NY Red Bulls in MLS action on Saturday, beginning at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven MLS model projects Orlando as the most likely winner of the Orlando vs. NY Red Bulls game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Orlando City vs. NY Red Bulls prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLS game between Orlando and NY Red Bulls 10,000 times as part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently indicates a 55.0% chance of Orlando winning, a 23.1% chance for NY Red Bulls, and a 22.0% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 61% chance of going over, according to our model.
Orlando City vs. NY Red Bulls odds
We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Orlando | NY Red Bulls | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -115 | +310 | +290 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -175 | +140 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Orlando City vs. NY Red Bulls picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Orlando | -115 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +140 |
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Orlando to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Orlando City vs. NY Red Bulls: Correct score predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| ORL 1-1 NYR | 10.1% |
| ORL 2-1 NYR | 9.8% |
| ORL 1-0 NYR | 8.4% |
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Orlando City vs. NY Red Bulls game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's game between Orlando and NY Red Bulls is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Orlando City vs. NY Red Bulls
- Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
World Cup 2026 watch: Alex Freeman (USA)
Orlando right-back Alex Freeman is one to watch for USMNT fans as anticipation ramps up ahead of the FIFA World Cup 2026, with rising interest in World Cup news and early debates about who will win the World Cup. With the United States placed alongside Australia, Paraguay, and one of Türkiye, Romania, Slovakia, or Kosovo in Group D next year, Freeman's MLS form will be watched closely.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Orlando has a 55.0% win probability on Saturday, NY Red Bulls have a 23.1% win probability, and there is a 22.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Orlando vs. NY Red Bulls insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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