Knicks vs. Hawks prediction: New York to win, Jalen Brunson projected for 25 points in Game 3 [2026 NBA Playoffs]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get New York Knicks vs Atlanta Hawks predictions for NBA Playoffs Thursday.

New York Knicks-Atlanta Hawks Predictions and Game Preview.
New York Knicks vs. Atlanta Hawks NBA prediction for Game 3 of the series.

The Atlanta Hawks and New York Knicks will meet in Game 3 of their NBA Playoffs series at State Farm Arena on Thursday, with tipoff at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Knicks as the most likely winner of the Knicks vs. Hawks Game 3 matchup.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Hawks lineup will feature stars like Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker and CJ McCollum, while the Knicks will rely on Jalen Brunson, Karl-Anthony Towns and OG Anunoby.

This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Knicks vs. Hawks prediction: Who will win Game 3?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NBA Playoffs matchup between the Knicks and Hawks, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Knicks a 57% chance of defeating the Hawks in Game 3 of the series. Our predicted final score has the Knicks winning 108-106.

According to our model, the Knicks (-1.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 214.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.

 

Knicks vs. Hawks Game 3 odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Knicks Hawks
Spread -1.5 (-102) +1.5 (-115)
Moneyline -112 +100
Total o214.5 (-106) u214.5 (-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Knicks vs. Hawks picks and best bet for Game 3

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Knicks -1.5 -102
Moneyline Knicks -112
Total Under 214.5 -108

According to our best NBA bets for Thursday, the top play to make on this game is Knicks to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Knicks vs. Hawks Game 3 player props

Betting on New York vs. Atlanta NBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at State Farm Arena.

Jalen Brunson is expected to lead the Knicks with 25 points, 3 rebounds and 7 assists, while Jalen Johnson is projected to have 22 points, 10 rebounds and 7 assists for the Hawks.

Jalen Brunson 2026.
Jalen Brunson is projected to score 25 points tonight.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Knicks prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Knicks are:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM DFS
Jalen Brunson 25 3 7 2 46
K. Towns 20 12 3 1 45
OG Anunoby 18 6 2 2 35
Mikal Bridges 14 3 3 2 28
Josh Hart 13 9 5 1 35

Hawks prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Hawks:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM DFS
Jalen Johnson 22 10 7 2 51
N. Alexander-Walker 20 4 4 3 37
CJ McCollum 20 4 4 3 36
Onyeka Okongwu 14 7 3 2 32
J. Kuminga 13 5 2 1 27

Knicks vs. Hawks Game 3 updates and essential details

Thursday's Game 3 between the Hawks and Knicks in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.

The NBA Playoffs is an annual elimination tournament held to decide the league's champion.

Sixteen teams, including the Knicks and Hawks, made the 2026 NBA Playoffs, which includes four rounds: the First Round, Conference Semifinals, Conference Finals, and NBA Finals.

Each round is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins progressing to the next round until a champion is crowned.

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Make the most of Dimers' Knicks vs. Hawks predictions by exploring the below offer from Novig.


Conclusion

We predict the Knicks, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Hawks in Thursday's NBA playoffs matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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