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Read Article New York City vs. Toronto FC Prediction, Odds, Picks, and MLS Season Pass Discount Code [7/3/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Our expert prediction for Thursday's New York City vs Toronto FC matchup.
NY City and Toronto are scheduled to meet in MLS action at Yankee Stadium in New York City on Thursday, starting at 7:30PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced MLS model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts NY City as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's NY City-Toronto game 10,000 times," said Ryan Leaver from Dimers.
"By incorporating recent updates and various factors, our prediction gives NY City a 61.0% chance of winning, Toronto a 17.4% chance, and a 21.6% chance of a draw."
For a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive NY City vs. Toronto predictions page.
Get 20% off Dimers Pro With Code 20SOCCER Start My Free Trial New York City vs. Toronto FC Prediction: Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's MLS game between NY City and Toronto 10,000 times as part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 61.0% chance of NY City winning, a 17.4% chance for Toronto, and a 21.6% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 54% chance of going over, according to our model.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 11:03PM, Jul 3
Moneyline
Correct Score
Over / Under
Win %
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BetMGM
Caesars
DraftKings
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New York City vs. Toronto FC Odds
We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| NY City | Toronto | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -175 | +450 | +300 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -145 | +120 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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New York City vs. Toronto FC Picks and Best Bets
Our model's strongest edge in today's New York City vs. Toronto FC matchup is on the total.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best MLS picks and MLS best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
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New York City vs. Toronto FC: Correct Score Predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-0 NY City win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| NYC 1-0 TFC | 11.1% |
| NYC 2-0 TFC | 10.8% |
| NYC 1-1 TFC | 10.3% |
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations.
New York City vs. Toronto FC Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Thursday's game between NY City and Toronto in MLS at Yankee Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:30PM ET.
- Who: New York City vs. Toronto FC
- Date: Thursday, July 3, 2025
- Time: 7:30PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Yankee Stadium (New York City)
Dimers.com's full preview of Thursday's NY City vs. Toronto matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Toronto vs. NY City picks, be sure to check out the latest MLS predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, NY City has a 61.0% win probability on Thursday, Toronto has a 17.4% win probability, and there is a 21.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate NY City vs. Toronto insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on MLS
Keep up with the latest MLS betting news and parlay picks throughout the season.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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