Toronto vs. NY City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Toronto vs. NY City MLS game on July 3, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

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FINAL

MLS

FINAL

MLS

Toronto

Jul 3, 11:30PM Yankee Stadium (New York City)

NY City

Jul 3, 11:30PM Yankee Stadium (New York City)

In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play

Game PredictionsPre-Game

Best Bets

NY CityNYC

Score Summary

TorontoTOR

H. Wolf (20')

M. Ilenic (49')

K. O'Toole (74')

T. Romero (o.g.) (70')

Live Probabilities

Moneyline

Over / Under

Win %

NYC

100.0%

Draw

0.0%

TOR

0.0%

Win Probability

Match Timeline

84'

Substitution for New York City: J. Shore replaces M. Moralez

84'

Substitution for New York City: M. Bakrar replaces A. Martinez

76'

Substitution for New York City: J. Fernandez replaces A. Ojeda

74'

Goal scored for New York City by K. O'Toole

1-3

71'

M. Henry (Toronto FC) cautioned

70'

Goal scored for Toronto FC by T. Romero (o.g.)

1-2

70'

Substitution for New York City: K. O'Toole replaces B. Risa

70'

Substitution for Toronto FC: M. Henry replaces M. Longstaff

67'

M. Dominguez (Toronto FC) cautioned

58'

Substitution for Toronto FC: R. Laryea replaces R. Petretta

58'

Substitution for Toronto FC: D. Kerr replaces T. Spicer

49'

Goal scored for New York City by M. Ilenic

0-2

25'

A. Martinez (New York City) cautioned

20'

Goal scored for New York City by H. Wolf, assisted by M. Ilenic

0-1

19'

M. Longstaff (Toronto FC) cautioned

K. Long (Toronto FC) cautioned

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Toronto vs. NY City: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

Teams: Toronto vs. NY City
Date: Thursday, July 3, 2025
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Venue: Yankee Stadium

Current Betting Odds

Moneyline Odds: Toronto +475, NY City -175, Draw +320
Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-145/+125)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

Toronto: 17.4%
NY City: 61.0%
Draw: 21.6%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this MLS game is Toronto 0-1 NY City, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives NY City a win probability of 61.0%, while Toronto has a win probability of 17.4%. The chance of a draw is 21.6%.

Summary

Our Toronto vs. NY City predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLS predictions and the best MLS bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLS futures, MLS odds, and the latest MLS news.