NBA Props: Three-point shooters to bet on this Thursday, March 12

There are nine games on the NBA schedule this Thursday, March 12, and we are looking at some of the best NBA player props to make across the slate, specifically with a focus on three-point props, utilizing our data-backed insights from the Dimers Pro suite of NBA betting tools.

Just as we identified four profitable plus-money angles that cashed in the NBA last night, we have a loaded arsenal of features to help you cut through the noise and find the most profitable ways to bet on every single NBA game

A staple of our Dimers Pro suite of features, the NBA Player Projections Hub quickly became one of the best ways to uncover hidden player prop value, providing daily projections for every NBA player, including points, rebounds, assists, blocks, and steals, and we'll be using this tool heavily today.

The expansive hub can identify players on the brink of significant statistical performances, notably those who are within range of double digits in multiple categories as “Double-Double Threats” or “Triple-Double Threats” as well as find players who are projected not just to hit their regular prop line, but go over even further and cash some plus-money alternate lines or ladder props.

To narrow down today's opportunities, we're focusing on the three-point projections at the top of the board and some favorable matchups.

1. Luka Doncic (Lakers)

Game: Lakers vs. Bulls

Tip: 10:30 PM ET

Luka is the top-projected three-point shooter on the entire slate at 3.8 per the Dimers model, and the matchup couldn't be much better.

The Chicago Bulls are the only team playing tonight that ranks in the bottom five teams in the NBA in both opponent 3PT% and 3PM allowed over their last 15 games, making them a top target.

Luka's been shooting with high volume since the All-Star break with 10+ attempts in five straight, connecting on 4+ in 8 of his last 11 games.

The model sees more upside here than anyone on the board as he paces the slate. 

His 4+ line at -146 on FanDuel is a little juicy, but with that kind of ceiling, matchup and current form, 5+ at +160 and 6+ at +330 could be in play.

2. Collin Gillespie (Suns)

Game: Suns vs. Pacers

Tip: 7:00 PM ET

Gillespie is the second-highest projected shooter on the night at 3.1, and the Pacers matchup is exactly what you want as Indiana ranks 23rd in 3PT% over the last 15 games, and if Luka picking up 7 threes against them last Friday tells you anything, the defense isn't exactly dialed in on the perimeter.

Gillespie has been consistent and red hot, clearing 4+ in 5 of his last 6, with 5+ in three of those.

That's the kind of recent floor-to-ceiling combination that makes him one of the more attractive plays on the slate.

Our top-projected three-point shooters from the Dimers Pro NBA Projections Hub.

3. Max Christie (Mavericks)

Game: Mavericks vs. Grizzlies

Tip: 8:00 PM ET

Christie checks in at 3.0 projected and draws a favorable Grizzlies defense that's allowed opponents to shoot 37.4% from three over the last 15 games.

He doesn't have the same level of consistency as some of these other players, but at +106 for 3+ three on FanDuel, the market is giving you nearly even money on what the model already projects for him on Thursday, solid value for a target in this matchup tier.

He's not the flashiest name on the slate, but the combination of a plus matchup, a reasonable projection, and a line priced in our favor puts him on our radar.

4. Nickeil Alexander Walker (Hawks)

Game: Hawks vs. Nets

Tip: 7:30 PM ET

"NAW" is a top-5 projected shooter tonight and faces the Nets, one of the weakest defenses against the three over the last 15 games and draws a Dimers model projection of 2.8, seventh-highest of the night.

What makes him particularly compelling is his current hot streak with 4+ threes in three straight games, and 3+ in 6 of 8 since the All-Star break.

Notably, each of those last three games came against teams sitting at the bottom of 3PT% or 3PM allowed, so when he's been in an exploitable spot, the results have followed.

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