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Mavericks vs. Grizzlies Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mavericks vs. Grizzlies NBA game on March 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
120
112
Mar 13, 12AM FedExForum
Mar 13, 12AM FedExForum
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks | 24 | 60 | 36 | 0 | 120 |
Grizzlies | 14 | 64 | 34 | 0 | 112 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
95%
5%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks | 24 | 60 | 36 | 0 | 120 |
Grizzlies | 14 | 64 | 34 | 0 | 112 |
Q4 00:07 Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:12 GG Jackson misses three point pullup jump shot
Q4 00:22 Brandon Williams makes two point driving finger roll layup (Dwight Powell assists)
Q4 00:43 Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:06 GG Jackson makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:11 Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:44 Khris Middleton makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:10 Olivier-Maxence Prosper misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:28 Khris Middleton makes three point jump shot (Brandon Williams assists)
Q4 2:49 Rayan Rupert makes three point pullup jump shot (Jahmai Mashack assists)
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
120-112
Taylor Hendricks offensive rebound
GG Jackson misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Brandon Williams makes two point driving finger roll layup (Dwight Powell assists)
120-112
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
120-109
Ryan Nembhard turnover
Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Jahmai Mashack, Rayan Rupert, Javon Small, Taylor Hendricks)
+2
GG Jackson makes two point jump shot
120-112
GG Jackson offensive rebound
Mavericks personal foul
Olivier-Maxence Prosper misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Olivier-Maxence Prosper misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Olivier-Maxence Prosper offensive rebound
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Brandon Williams turnover (lost ball) (Javon Small steals)
GG Jackson turnover
Stoppage (Other)
+3
Khris Middleton makes three point jump shot
120-112
Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Caleb Martin, Dwight Powell, AJ Johnson, Ryan Nembhard)
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Jahmai Mashack, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Javon Small, Taylor Hendricks)
Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)
Brandon Williams defensive rebound
Olivier-Maxence Prosper misses three point jump shot
+3
Khris Middleton makes three point jump shot (Brandon Williams assists)
120-112
+3
Rayan Rupert makes three point pullup jump shot (Jahmai Mashack assists)
110-101
Olivier-Maxence Prosper shooting foul (Brandon Williams draws the foul)
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
120-112
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
120-112
Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Khris Middleton, Daniel Gafford, Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington)
Khris Middleton offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Brandon Williams personal foul
Brandon Williams turnover (offensive foul)
Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Khris Middleton, Cooper Flagg, Marvin Bagley III, P.J. Washington)
Grizzlies lineup change (Jahmai Mashack, Rayan Rupert, Tyler Burton, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Taylor Hendricks)
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
120-112
Max Christie turnover
+2
Jaylen Wells makes two point pullup jump shot (Taylor Hendricks assists)
120-112
+2
P.J. Washington makes two point jump shot (Brandon Williams assists)
120-109
Brandon Williams defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Brandon Williams misses two point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
Brandon Williams offensive rebound
Mavericks turnover
Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Khris Middleton, Marvin Bagley III, P.J. Washington, Max Christie)
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Jahmai Mashack offensive rebound
Taylor Hendricks misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
120-109
Brandon Williams offensive rebound
Brandon Williams misses three point jump shot
Jahmai Mashack personal foul
+2
Taylor Hendricks makes two point layup (Jahmai Mashack assists)
106-91
Grizzlies personal foul (Max Christie draws the foul)
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Rayan Rupert turnover
Instant replay (Challenge)
Max Christie turnover (lost ball)
Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg, Marvin Bagley III, P.J. Washington, Max Christie)
Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Jahmai Mashack, Rayan Rupert, Tyler Burton, Taylor Hendricks)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jaylen Wells offensive rebound
Rayan Rupert misses three point jump shot
Jahmai Mashack offensive rebound
Marvin Bagley III personal foul (Olivier-Maxence Prosper draws the foul)
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot (Jaylen Wells assists)
120-112
Olivier-Maxence Prosper misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Ryan Nembhard, Marvin Bagley III, P.J. Washington, Max Christie)
Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Cooper Flagg, Ryan Nembhard, Marvin Bagley III, Max Christie)
Mavericks turnover
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Jahmai Mashack, Rayan Rupert, Tyler Burton, Olivier-Maxence Prosper)
Rayan Rupert turnover
Rayan Rupert defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Jaylen Wells makes two point jump shot
120-112
Daniel Gafford turnover (lost ball) (Olivier-Maxence Prosper steals)
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Rayan Rupert offensive rebound
Javon Small misses two point jump shot
+3
Khris Middleton makes three point jump shot (Ryan Nembhard assists)
120-112
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
120-109
+2
Khris Middleton makes two point jump shot
120-112
Cooper Flagg offensive rebound
Max Christie misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies turnover
Olivier-Maxence Prosper defensive rebound
Javon Small personal foul (Daniel Gafford draws the foul)
Khris Middleton offensive rebound
+1
Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 1 of 2
120-112
Daniel Gafford misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Khris Middleton misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Jaylen Wells misses two point jump shot
+3
Max Christie makes three point jump shot (Cooper Flagg assists)
100-88
+2
Javon Small makes two point driving finger roll layup
100-88
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
+2
Khris Middleton makes two point jump shot (Ryan Nembhard assists)
100-88
+2
GG Jackson makes two point fadeaway jump shot
100-88
Khris Middleton misses regular free throw 1 of 3
+1
Khris Middleton makes regular free throw 2 of 3
92-84
Javon Small shooting foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)
Mavericks offensive rebound
+1
Khris Middleton makes regular free throw 3 of 3
120-112
Ryan Nembhard defensive rebound
GG Jackson misses three point jump shot
Olivier-Maxence Prosper offensive rebound
Cooper Flagg blocks Javon Small's two point driving floating jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
100-88
Olivier-Maxence Prosper turnover
+3
Khris Middleton makes three point jump shot
100-88
Mavericks lineup change (Khris Middleton, Daniel Gafford, Cooper Flagg, Ryan Nembhard, Max Christie)
GG Jackson misses three point jump shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Grizzlies defensive rebound
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Jaylen Wells, Rayan Rupert, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Javon Small)
Tyler Burton shooting foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)
+1
Khris Middleton makes regular free throw 2 of 3
120-112
+1
Khris Middleton makes regular free throw 1 of 3
120-112
Khris Middleton misses regular free throw 3 of 3
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Tyler Burton misses three point jump shot
GG Jackson defensive rebound
Daniel Gafford misses two point jump shot
Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Brandon Williams personal foul (Javon Small draws the foul)
+1
Javon Small makes regular free throw 1 of 2
120-112
+1
Javon Small makes regular free throw 2 of 2
120-112
Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
Khris Middleton misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Javon Small misses three point pullup jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
120-112
Grizzlies defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Taylor Hendricks makes two point running dunk (Jahmai Mashack assists)
120-112
Jahmai Mashack defensive rebound
Naji Marshall misses three point jump shot
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
GG Jackson misses regular free throw 1 of 1
GG Jackson offensive rebound
+2
GG Jackson makes two point putback layup
100-88
Marvin Bagley III shooting foul (GG Jackson draws the foul)
Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Jahmai Mashack, Tyler Burton, Javon Small, Taylor Hendricks)
Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Khris Middleton, Naji Marshall, Daniel Gafford, Caleb Martin)
Marvin Bagley III blocks GG Jackson's two point driving layup
Rayan Rupert defensive rebound
Marvin Bagley III misses three point jump shot
Taylor Hendricks offensive rebound
+2
Taylor Hendricks makes two point jump shot
100-88
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+2
Marvin Bagley III makes two point jump shot
100-88
Marvin Bagley III offensive rebound
Taylor Hendricks blocks Cooper Flagg's two point jump shot
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
120-109
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
120-109
Brandon Williams defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Taylor Hendricks offensive rebound
Jahmai Mashack misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
100-88
Brandon Williams defensive rebound
Tyler Burton misses two point jump shot
P.J. Washington personal foul
Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Jahmai Mashack, Rayan Rupert, Tyler Burton, Taylor Hendricks)
Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Khris Middleton, Cooper Flagg, Marvin Bagley III, P.J. Washington)
+2
Max Christie makes two point driving layup
120-112
+2
Rayan Rupert makes two point jump shot
120-109
Rayan Rupert defensive rebound
Max Christie misses three point jump shot
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Olivier-Maxence Prosper misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Brandon Williams personal foul
Tyler Burton misses three point jump shot
Rayan Rupert defensive rebound
P.J. Washington misses three point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
100-88
Olivier-Maxence Prosper defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Marvin Bagley III offensive rebound
Cooper Flagg misses two point jump shot
Rayan Rupert personal foul
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
P.J. Washington makes two point jump shot
100-88
Tyler Burton turnover (Max Christie steals)
Instant replay (Challenge)
P.J. Washington turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg, Marvin Bagley III, P.J. Washington, Max Christie)
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Jahmai Mashack, Rayan Rupert, Tyler Burton, Olivier-Maxence Prosper)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
+2
Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes two point running finger roll layup (Javon Small assists)
120-109
Javon Small defensive rebound
Cooper Flagg misses three point jump shot
Daniel Gafford personal foul (GG Jackson draws the foul)
GG Jackson misses two point jump shot
+1
GG Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
74-64
+1
GG Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
120-109
Daniel Gafford personal foul
+1
Jaylen Wells makes technical free throw 1 of 1
74-63
Naji Marshall turnover
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Olivier-Maxence Prosper misses three point jump shot
+3
Max Christie makes three point jump shot
74-63
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Javon Small misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
74-63
Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
Naji Marshall misses three point jump shot
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
120-109
+2
Cooper Flagg makes two point driving floating bank jump shot
74-63
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Jaylen Wells makes three point jump shot (Olivier-Maxence Prosper assists)
74-63
Jaylen Wells defensive rebound
P.J. Washington misses two point jump shot
P.J. Washington offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
P.J. Washington offensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Olivier-Maxence Prosper misses three point jump shot
+2
Daniel Gafford makes two point dunk (Cooper Flagg assists)
74-63
Grizzlies violation
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
74-63
Naji Marshall misses heave shot
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Daniel Gafford, Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington, Max Christie)
Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Jaylen Wells, Rayan Rupert, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Javon Small)
Mavericks offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Taylor Hendricks offensive rebound
Taylor Hendricks offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+2
Taylor Hendricks makes two point putback layup
74-63
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
63-50
+1
Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 1 of 2
64-50
Tyler Burton personal foul (Loose ball) (Daniel Gafford draws the foul)
Mavericks offensive rebound
+1
Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 2 of 2
63-50
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
63-50
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
63-50
Jahmai Mashack defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
Mavericks personal foul
Jahmai Mashack misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Grizzlies offensive rebound
+1
Jahmai Mashack makes regular free throw 2 of 2
63-50
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
63-50
Mavericks turnover
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall, Daniel Gafford, Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington)
+3
Javon Small makes three point jump shot
61-45
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
63-50
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Caleb Martin turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall, Daniel Gafford, Caleb Martin, Cooper Flagg)
+3
Jahmai Mashack makes three point jump shot (GG Jackson assists)
59-42
+2
Brandon Williams makes two point jump shot (Daniel Gafford assists)
59-39
Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Jahmai Mashack, Tyler Burton, Javon Small, Taylor Hendricks)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+1
Rayan Rupert makes regular free throw 2 of 2
57-39
Marvin Bagley III shooting foul (Rayan Rupert draws the foul)
+1
Rayan Rupert makes regular free throw 1 of 2
59-42
Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall, Daniel Gafford, Caleb Martin, Max Christie)
Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Jahmai Mashack, Rayan Rupert, Tyler Burton, Taylor Hendricks)
Mavericks turnover
Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
Jahmai Mashack misses three point jump shot
+2
Naji Marshall makes two point driving finger roll layup
59-42
Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Max Christie makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Marvin Bagley III assists)
59-42
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Tyler Burton misses three point jump shot
Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
Max Christie misses three point jump shot
Brandon Williams defensive rebound
Brandon Williams blocks Jaylen Wells's two point driving floating jump shot
Brandon Williams offensive rebound
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
59-42
Taylor Hendricks turnover (bad pass)
Naji Marshall misses two point jump shot
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Jahmai Mashack misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall, Caleb Martin, Marvin Bagley III, Max Christie)
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+1
Jaylen Wells makes regular free throw 1 of 2
51-36
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Jahmai Mashack, Rayan Rupert, Tyler Burton, Taylor Hendricks)
+1
Jaylen Wells makes regular free throw 2 of 2
59-42
Max Christie personal foul (Jaylen Wells draws the foul)
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Cooper Flagg, Ryan Nembhard, Marvin Bagley III, Max Christie)
Tyler Burton defensive rebound
Ryan Nembhard misses two point stepback jump shot
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
51-35
Mavericks defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Jahmai Mashack personal foul (P.J. Washington draws the foul)
+1
P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 2
48-35
+1
P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 2 of 2
49-35
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Ryan Nembhard, Marvin Bagley III, P.J. Washington, Max Christie)
Ryan Nembhard defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Khris Middleton makes regular free throw 1 of 2
47-35
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Jahmai Mashack, Rayan Rupert, Tyler Burton, Olivier-Maxence Prosper)
+1
Khris Middleton makes regular free throw 2 of 2
47-35
Cooper Flagg offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
47-35
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
47-35
Mavericks offensive rebound
Grizzlies personal foul
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
47-35
Mavericks lineup change (Khris Middleton, Cooper Flagg, Ryan Nembhard, Marvin Bagley III, P.J. Washington)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
47-35
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Grizzlies turnover
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
45-35
Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
45-35
Javon Small defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Mavericks defensive rebound
Olivier-Maxence Prosper offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Jaylen Wells personal foul (Cooper Flagg draws the foul)
Cooper Flagg misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Mavericks offensive rebound
+1
Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 2 of 2
24-14
+1
Jaylen Wells makes regular free throw 1 of 3
24-14
Cooper Flagg shooting foul (Jaylen Wells draws the foul)
+1
Jaylen Wells makes regular free throw 2 of 3
24-14
+1
Jaylen Wells makes regular free throw 3 of 3
24-14
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
24-14
Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
+2
Daniel Gafford makes two point jump shot
24-14
Grizzlies personal foul
Daniel Gafford misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Rayan Rupert defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
24-14
Mavericks lineup change (Khris Middleton, Daniel Gafford, Cooper Flagg, Ryan Nembhard, P.J. Washington)
Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Jaylen Wells, Rayan Rupert, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Javon Small)
Mavericks offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
P.J. Washington shooting foul (Javon Small draws the foul)
+1
Javon Small makes regular free throw 2 of 2
24-14
+1
Javon Small makes regular free throw 1 of 2
24-14
+2
Brandon Williams makes two point driving finger roll layup
24-14
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
24-14
+3
Khris Middleton makes three point jump shot
24-14
Khris Middleton offensive rebound
Jahmai Mashack personal foul (Daniel Gafford draws the foul)
Daniel Gafford misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 1 of 2
24-14
+3
GG Jackson makes three point jump shot (Javon Small assists)
24-14
Daniel Gafford personal foul (Javon Small draws the foul)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
24-14
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Tyler Burton misses three point pullup bank jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
24-14
Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
Taylor Hendricks blocks Daniel Gafford's two point driving layup
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Jahmai Mashack, Tyler Burton, Javon Small, Taylor Hendricks)
Caleb Martin offensive rebound
Instant replay
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F-C | 7 | D. Powell | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| F | 16 | C. Martin | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| G | 8 | A. Johnson | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| G | 9 | R. Nembhard | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| G | 10 | B. Williams | 12 | 8 | 5 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 21 | J. Mashack | 8 | 4 | 6 |
| F | 32 | R. Rupert | 13 | 7 | 2 |
| F | 22 | T. Hendricks | 17 | 10 | 2 |
| F | 45 | G. Jackson | 20 | 4 | 3 |
| G | 10 | J. Small | 19 | 2 | 9 |
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Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Mavericks vs. Grizzlies
- Date: Thursday, March 12, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: FedExForum
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Mavericks favored at -5.5
- Total (Over/Under): 239.5
- Moneyline Odds: Mavericks -213, Grizzlies +192
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Mavericks: 70%
- Grizzlies: 30%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Mavericks 122-116 Grizzlies.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mavericks a win probability of 70%, while the Grizzlies have a win probability of 30%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Mavericks are more likely to beat the Grizzlies in the NBA game at FedExForum on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Mavericks vs. Grizzlies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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