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NBA First Basket Predictions for Wednesday Include Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Brunson [5/7/2025]

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Written by Damien Souness

Our expert analysis on Wednesday's NBA first basket market.

NBA First Basket Predictions Today.
The most likely NBA first basket scorers for Wednesday have been revealed.

This Wednesday, May 7th, we have another big day of professional hoops ahead of us, headlined by the Knicks' matchup against the Celtics at 7:00PM ET.

After going over Wednesday's NBA simulation results this morning (see Dimers Pro for full access), our data analysts have revealed their best first basket bet of the day.

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Additionally, this article reveals the NBA players our predictive analytics model has identified as having the highest probability of scoring the first basket in their respective matchups on Wednesday.

Let's dive into today's NBA first basket news and updates.

NBA Players to Watch Today

Based on the most recent latest NBA Injury Report, Wednesday's NBA slate is expected to feature star players such as Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Brunson and Nikola Jokic, each with a high probability of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight? [NBA Cheat Sheet for May 7, 2025]

Thanks to simulating Wednesday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team) First Basket Probability
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder) 14.2%
Jalen Brunson (Knicks) 14.0%
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets) 13.6%
Jalen Williams (Thunder) 13.1%
Jaylen Brown (Celtics) 12.4%
Karl-Anthony Towns (Knicks) 12.2%
Jayson Tatum (Celtics) 11.9%
Aaron Gordon (Nuggets) 11.1%
Jamal Murray (Nuggets) 11.0%
OG Anunoby (Knicks) 9.4%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across today's matchups is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, with a probability of 14.2%.

Following Gilgeous-Alexander closely, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Jalen Brunson at 14.0% and Nikola Jokic at 13.6%.

Nikola Jokic shooting a layup with three defenders on him.
Nikola Jokic is one of the most likely NBA players to score the first basket on Wednesday, May 7, 2025.

Dimers Pro Pick of the Day: NBA First Basket [Wednesday, 5/7/2025]

After simulating the result of today's NBA matchups 10,000 times each, our predictive model has discovered the best NBA first basket bet for you to make on Wednesday.

For full access to our comprehensive analysis and top picks, subscribe to Dimers Pro.

Karl-Anthony Towns To Score First Basket

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Wednesday's NBA slate in the game between the Knicks and Celtics. The bet is on Karl-Anthony Towns (NYK) at odds of +900 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 2.2% according to our analysis.

Dimers' model not only showcases Towns for him 2.2% betting edge but also ranks him among the top 10 most likely first basket scorers for today, as seen in the above list.

Closer Look at Today's First Basket Props

NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular betting options for basketball bettors. By using Wednesday's data-driven NBA predictions, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.

For today's full list of NBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

Get All Eight First Basket Picks for Wednesday
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NBA News, Schedule Alerts and Updated Odds

NBA Schedule for Today [5/7/2025]

For more betting guides, check out Wednesday's NBA best bets and our NBA player prop picks for Wednesday.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: May 7, 2025

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for May 7, 2025. Automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting, while human editing and quality control ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

All of our NBA first basket picks and predictions for Wednesday, May 7, are based on rigorous data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our sportsbook partners may earn us a referral fee.

Learn about how we review products and services.

Understanding Betting Edge

At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.

More on NBA

This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.

For more NBA betting content, we have NBA trends for every game, as well as daily NBA betting news and the latest NBA title odds and predictions.

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Written by
Damien Souness
Chief Innovation Officer

Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.

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