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Nuggets vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nuggets vs. Thunder NBA game on May 7, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
106
149
May 8, 1:30AM Paycom Center
May 8, 1:30AM Paycom Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nuggets | 21 | 35 | 20 | 30 | 106 |
Thunder | 45 | 42 | 37 | 25 | 149 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nuggets | 21 | 35 | 20 | 30 | 106 |
Thunder | 45 | 42 | 37 | 25 | 149 |
Q4 00:10 Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:30 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:38 Nuggets makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:03 Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:15 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:23 Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:28 Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:36 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:52 Nuggets makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:03 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Hunter Tyson defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
106-149
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Dillon Jones makes regular free throw 1 of 2
103-148
+1
Dillon Jones makes regular free throw 2 of 2
103-149
Dillon Jones defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Hunter Tyson offensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
103-147
Vlatko Cancar defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+1
Hunter Tyson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
100-147
+1
Hunter Tyson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
101-147
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Ousmane Dieng makes regular free throw 1 of 2
99-146
+1
Ousmane Dieng makes regular free throw 2 of 2
99-147
Thunder personal foul
Julian Strawther misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Nuggets offensive rebound
+1
Julian Strawther makes regular free throw 2 of 2
99-145
Hunter Tyson defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
98-145
Thunder personal foul
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
96-145
Nuggets turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
96-143
Nuggets turnover
Vlatko Cancar defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+1
Hunter Tyson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
95-141
+1
Hunter Tyson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
96-141
Nuggets 60 second timeout
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
94-141
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
94-138
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
91-138
Nuggets turnover
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
91-136
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
+1
Zeke Nnaji makes regular free throw 1 of 2
91-133
Zeke Nnaji misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Nuggets offensive rebound
Nuggets turnover
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Zeke Nnaji, Hunter Tyson, Jalen Pickett, Vlatko Cancar)
Thunder turnover
Thunder 60 second timeout
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
90-133
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Nuggets defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
88-133
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Zeke Nnaji offensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Kenrich Williams, Dillon Jones, Ousmane Dieng, Ajay Mitchell)
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
88-130
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Kenrich Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
86-129
+1
Kenrich Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
86-130
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Hunter Tyson defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Nuggets turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
86-128
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
86-126
Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
Nuggets personal foul
Jaylin Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
Jaylin Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
82-126
Thunder personal foul
+1
Julian Strawther makes regular free throw 1 of 1
83-126
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Zeke Nnaji turnover (lost ball)
Jaylin Williams turnover (out of bounds step)
Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
80-126
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
80-124
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
78-124
Thunder turnover
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
76-123
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
76-124
End of 3rd Quarter.
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe, Kenrich Williams, Jaylin Williams, Ajay Mitchell)
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Julian Strawther, Zeke Nnaji, Hunter Tyson, Jalen Pickett)
Nuggets turnover
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
76-122
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
76-118
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
76-119
Nuggets lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Peyton Watson, Julian Strawther, Zeke Nnaji, Jalen Pickett)
Nuggets personal foul
Nikola Jokic turnover (offensive foul)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Cason Wallace)
Nuggets lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Peyton Watson, Julian Strawther, Zeke Nnaji, Jamal Murray)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
76-117
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren)
Nuggets personal foul
Nikola Jokic turnover (offensive foul)
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets offensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Instant replay
+1
Russell Westbrook makes regular free throw 1 of 2
76-114
Nuggets lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic, Julian Strawther, Jamal Murray)
Russell Westbrook misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
75-114
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
75-112
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
73-111
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
73-112
Nuggets personal foul
Russell Westbrook turnover (offensive foul)
Jamal Murray offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets offensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
+1
Russell Westbrook makes regular free throw 1 of 2
73-110
Nuggets lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr.)
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren)
Russell Westbrook misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
72-110
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
72-108
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
72-106
Michael Porter Jr. offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Thunder turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
69-106
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Aaron Gordon offensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Jump ball. (Aaron Gordon gains possession)
Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Russell Westbrook, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr.)
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Thunder 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Nuggets offensive rebound
Nikola Jokic misses two point putback layup
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
69-104
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 1 of 2
69-100
+1
Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 2 of 2
69-101
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
69-99
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
67-99
Thunder turnover
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
64-99
Jamal Murray offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
61-99
Thunder 60 second timeout
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
61-97
Thunder turnover
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Thunder defensive rebound
Nuggets personal foul
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
58-97
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
58-95
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
58-92
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
58-93
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
57-91
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
58-91
Thunder personal foul
Instant replay
Thunder personal foul
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
56-91
Nuggets personal foul
Christian Braun turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
56-89
Nuggets personal foul
Nikola Jokic turnover (offensive foul)
Aaron Gordon offensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Aaron Gordon misses two point layup
Aaron Gordon offensive rebound
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Nuggets turnover
Nuggets personal foul
Instant replay
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
56-86
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace)
Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Russell Westbrook, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun)
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
56-87
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nuggets offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace)
Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Russell Westbrook, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren)
Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Michael Porter Jr.)
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets offensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
+1
Russell Westbrook makes regular free throw 1 of 2
55-85
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace)
Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Russell Westbrook, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun)
+1
Russell Westbrook makes regular free throw 2 of 2
56-85
Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Russell Westbrook, Peyton Watson, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace)
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
54-85
Nuggets personal foul
Jalen Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace)
Nuggets lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr.)
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
51-85
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Russell Westbrook defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
50-84
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
51-84
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren)
Thunder offensive rebound
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
49-83
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
49-84
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Thunder personal foul
Nikola Jokic misses technical free throw 1 of 1
Nuggets offensive rebound
+1
Russell Westbrook makes regular free throw 1 of 2
48-82
+1
Russell Westbrook makes regular free throw 2 of 2
49-82
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
47-82
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
47-80
Nikola Jokic misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
46-80
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
46-78
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
43-78
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Nuggets turnover
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
43-76
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Nuggets turnover
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Nuggets lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Michael Porter Jr.)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
43-74
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Nuggets personal foul
Nuggets personal foul
Nikola Jokic turnover (offensive foul)
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
43-71
Thunder personal foul
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
41-71
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
41-68
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
41-66
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
38-66
Nuggets turnover
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso)
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
38-64
Nuggets defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso)
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
35-64
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Aaron Gordon offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
35-62
Jalen Williams offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
35-59
Thunder turnover
Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
33-59
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
30-59
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Russell Westbrook, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
30-57
Nuggets personal foul
Nuggets personal foul
Russell Westbrook turnover (offensive foul)
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
30-53
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
30-54
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
30-52
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
28-52
Thunder personal foul
+1
Russell Westbrook makes regular free throw 1 of 2
27-49
+1
Russell Westbrook makes regular free throw 2 of 2
28-49
Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Russell Westbrook, DeAndre Jordan, Christian Braun, Michael Porter Jr.)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
26-49
Nuggets violation
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
26-47
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
23-48
Nuggets personal foul
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
23-45
Nuggets offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso)
Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Russell Westbrook, DeAndre Jordan, Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr.)
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
21-44
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
21-45
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso)
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
21-43
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
19-43
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso)
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
19-40
Jamal Murray misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Thunder personal foul
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nuggets offensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Thunder turnover
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
18-40
Nuggets 60 second timeout
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
16-40
Nuggets turnover
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Luguentz Dort makes regular free throw 1 of 2
16-37
+1
Luguentz Dort makes regular free throw 2 of 2
16-38
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
16-36
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
13-36
Nuggets lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr.)
Thunder offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes technical free throw 1 of 1
13-34
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace)
Nuggets lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
13-33
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
13-30
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
11-30
Nuggets turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
11-27
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 1
11-28
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace)
Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Russell Westbrook, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
11-25
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
11-23
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
11-20
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Aaron Gordon offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
9-19
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
9-20
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets 60 second timeout
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
9-18
Thunder personal foul
+1
Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 2
8-15
+1
Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 2
9-15
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren)
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
7-15
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
7-13
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
7-11
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
7-9
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
4-8
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
4-9
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+1
Michael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
3-7
+1
Michael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
4-7
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
2-7
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Nuggets turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
2-5
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
2-3
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
2-0
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren)
Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Michael Porter Jr.)
(Jalen Williams gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 31 | V. Cancar | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| G | 24 | J. Pickett | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| F | 5 | H. Tyson | 8 | 3 | 1 |
| G | 3 | J. Strawther | 9 | 0 | 1 |
| F-C | 22 | Z. Nnaji | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 13 | O. Dieng | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| G | 25 | A. Mitchell | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| G-F | 34 | K. Williams | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| F | 3 | D. Jones | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| G | 11 | I. Joe | 14 | 1 | 2 |
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Nuggets vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Nuggets vs. Thunder
- Date: Wednesday, May 7, 2025
- Time: 9:30 PM ET
- Venue: Paycom Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Thunder favored at -10
- Total (Over/Under): 229.5
- Moneyline Odds: Nuggets +385, Thunder -475
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Nuggets: 22%
- Thunder: 78%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Nuggets 110-119 Thunder.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nuggets a win probability of 22%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 78%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Nuggets in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Nuggets vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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