NBA picks today: Monday's best bets include Grizzlies vs. Bulls play [3/16/2026]

Grizzlies vs. Bulls under 243.5 points (-110)

• Edge: 5.2%
• Probability: 57.6%
• Matchup: Grizzlies vs. Bulls (8:00PM ET, Monday)

Our model has identified value on under 243.5 points in Grizzlies vs. Bulls at -110 odds. A 57.6% probability produces an edge of 5.2%, making this the strongest play for today's NBA slate.

Mavericks +7.5 (-102)

• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 54%
• Matchup: Mavericks vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET, Monday)

Mavericks +7.5 carries a 3.5% edge and a probability of 54% at -102 odds, according to our model.

Mavericks vs. Pelicans over 239.5 points (-110)

• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 54.7%
• Matchup: Mavericks vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET, Monday)

Mavericks vs. Pelicans over 239.5 points at -110 odds shows a 2.3% edge, supported by a 54.7% probability in simulations.

Suns ML (+333)

• Edge: 2.1%
• Probability: 24%
• Matchup: Suns vs. Celtics (7:30PM ET, Monday)

A 2.1% edge and 24% probability make Suns at the moneyline at a value play in the Suns vs. Celtics matchup, per our model.

Hawks ML (-142)

• Edge: 2.0%
• Probability: 60.7%
• Matchup: Magic vs. Hawks (7:00PM ET, Monday)

Hawks ML at -142 odds presents a 2.0% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 60.7%.

NBA best bets summary: Monday, 3/16/2026

As of 12:36AM ET, here are our top NBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Grizzlies vs. Bulls	Under 243.5 Points	-110 @ BetMGM	5.2%	57.6%
Mavericks vs. Pelicans	Mavericks +7.5	-102 @ DraftKings	3.5%	54%
Mavericks vs. Pelicans	Over 239.5 Points	-110 @ BetMGM	2.3%	54.7%
Suns vs. Celtics	Suns ML	+333 @ BetMGM	2.1%	24%
Magic vs. Hawks	Hawks ML	-142 @ DraftKings	2.0%	60.7%

List of upcoming NBA games to bet on [3/16/2026]

• Magic vs. Hawks (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• Warriors vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• Suns vs. Celtics (7:30PM ET, Monday)
• Trail Blazers vs. Nets (7:30PM ET, Monday)
• Mavericks vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET, Monday)
• Grizzlies vs. Bulls (8:00PM ET, Monday)
• Lakers vs. Rockets (9:30PM ET, Monday)
• Spurs vs. Clippers (10:00PM ET, Monday)

What Is Dimebot?

Dimebot is Dimers’ AI bet assistant, designed to surface swift insights, answer betting questions, and help you explore data more efficiently.

Conclusion

Our NBA best bets are locked and loaded for March 16, 2026, featuring plays such as under 243.5 points in the Grizzlies vs. Bulls matchup and Mavericks +7.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate NBA insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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