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Lakers vs. Rockets Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lakers vs. Rockets NBA game on March 16, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
100
92
Mar 17, 1:30AM Toyota Center
Mar 17, 1:30AM Toyota Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lakers | 29 | 22 | 32 | 17 | 100 |
Rockets | 28 | 29 | 23 | 12 | 92 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lakers | 29 | 22 | 32 | 17 | 100 |
Rockets | 28 | 29 | 23 | 12 | 92 |
Q4 00:29 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:39 Lakers makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:43 Lakers makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:56 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:15 Lakers makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:16 Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:37 Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:39 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:00 Lakers makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:38 Lakers makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Lakers turnover
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
100-92
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
100-90
Rockets turnover
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
98-90
Rockets 60 second timeout
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Clint Capela, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason)
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Deandre Ayton offensive rebound
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
96-90
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
94-90
Rockets personal foul
Lakers personal foul
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
91-89
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
91-90
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
91-88
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Lakers offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Lakers lineup change (LeBron James, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, Luka Doncic, Deandre Ayton)
Deandre Ayton offensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Deandre Ayton offensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Deandre Ayton offensive rebound
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
89-88
Rockets violation
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Deandre Ayton offensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Rockets turnover
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Rockets offensive rebound
Rockets turnover
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson, Tari Eason)
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Rockets turnover
Lakers 60 second timeout
Lakers lineup change (Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, Luka Doncic, Deandre Ayton)
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
LeBron James defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Tari Eason offensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Tari Eason offensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Tari Eason offensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
+1
LeBron James makes regular free throw 1 of 2
86-88
+1
LeBron James makes regular free throw 2 of 2
87-88
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
85-88
Dorian Finney-Smith offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Lakers personal foul
Lakers lineup change (LeBron James, Rui Hachimura, Austin Reaves, Luka Doncic, Luke Kennard)
Rockets defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Lakers lineup change (LeBron James, Rui Hachimura, Austin Reaves, Luka Doncic, Jaxson Hayes)
Rockets lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson, Tari Eason)
Lakers misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
85-85
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Rockets turnover
Lakers lineup change (LeBron James, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, Luka Doncic, Jaxson Hayes)
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Rockets turnover
Rockets defensive rebound
Lakers personal foul
Rockets lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason)
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Rockets turnover
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
Clint Capela turnover (offensive foul)
Instant replay
Rockets lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Clint Capela, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson)
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Jake LaRavia offensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
85-83
Lakers personal foul
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Lakers personal foul
Lakers 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Amen Thompson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Rockets offensive rebound
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
85-81
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
85-80
LeBron James defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Lakers turnover
Rockets turnover
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Lakers offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Rockets lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Jabari Smith Jr., Clint Capela, Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson)
Lakers lineup change (LeBron James, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, Jaxson Hayes, Jake LaRavia)
Rockets turnover
Lakers lineup change (Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, Luka Doncic, Luke Kennard)
Lakers turnover
Lakers personal foul
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
83-78
Rockets lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Jabari Smith Jr., Josh Okogie, Amen Thompson, Tari Eason)
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
83-80
+3
Luka Doncic makes three point stepback jump shot
83-78
+2
Reed Sheppard makes two point jump shot
83-78
Lakers turnover
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
83-78
Rui Hachimura personal foul (Jabari Smith Jr. draws the foul)
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Amen Thompson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
+3
Luka Doncic makes three point stepback jump shot
75-74
Jake LaRavia defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Rui Hachimura misses two point jump shot
Jake LaRavia offensive rebound
Rockets personal foul
Rockets personal foul
Jake LaRavia misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Jake LaRavia makes regular free throw 1 of 2
83-78
+1
Austin Reaves makes technical free throw 1 of 1
83-80
Lakers lineup change (Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, Luka Doncic, Jake LaRavia, Luke Kennard)
Tari Eason turnover (Austin Reaves steals)
Rui Hachimura personal foul (Loose ball) (Amen Thompson draws the foul)
Lakers lineup change (Rui Hachimura, Austin Reaves, Luka Doncic, Jake LaRavia, Luke Kennard)
Rockets lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson, Tari Eason)
Rockets offensive rebound
Jabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot
+2
Austin Reaves makes two point jump shot
75-74
+2
Reed Sheppard makes two point driving finger roll layup
83-80
Rockets lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson)
Lakers offensive rebound
Josh Okogie personal foul
LeBron James misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
LeBron James makes regular free throw 2 of 2
83-80
Kevin Durant turnover (lost ball) (LeBron James steals)
+2
Rui Hachimura makes two point jump shot
83-80
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Amen Thompson misses two point driving layup
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
66-72
Rockets 60 second timeout
Kevin Durant offensive foul (Austin Reaves draws the foul)
Kevin Durant turnover (offensive foul)
Instant replay (Request)
+1
Austin Reaves makes flagrant free throw 2 of 2
66-72
Lakers lineup change (LeBron James, Rui Hachimura, Austin Reaves, Luka Doncic, Luke Kennard)
+1
Austin Reaves makes flagrant free throw 1 of 2
83-80
Lakers turnover
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Josh Okogie, Amen Thompson)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
83-78
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
75-74
Rockets personal foul
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 1
83-78
Lakers lineup change (LeBron James, Austin Reaves, Luka Doncic, Deandre Ayton, Luke Kennard)
LeBron James defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
75-74
Reed Sheppard misses two point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
Reed Sheppard turnover (offensive foul)
Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Josh Okogie, Tari Eason)
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Luka Doncic personal foul (Tari Eason draws the foul)
+1
Tari Eason makes regular free throw 2 of 2
61-70
Rockets 60 second timeout
Tari Eason misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Rockets offensive rebound
Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson, Tari Eason)
Lakers turnover
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
75-74
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets turnover
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
75-74
Rockets turnover
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
Deandre Ayton misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Lakers offensive rebound
+1
Deandre Ayton makes regular free throw 2 of 2
75-74
+2
Clint Capela makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Kevin Durant assists)
55-63
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
75-74
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
55-63
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+2
Austin Reaves makes two point jump shot
55-63
+2
Jabari Smith Jr. makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
55-63
Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Deandre Ayton misses two point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
51-57
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
51-57
Tari Eason offensive rebound
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
51-57
Tari Eason misses two point jump shot
LeBron James personal foul (Amen Thompson draws the foul)
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Austin Reaves offensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Clint Capela, Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson, Tari Eason)
Lakers lineup change (LeBron James, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, Luka Doncic, Deandre Ayton)
Lakers offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Lakers misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
51-57
LeBron James turnover (Reed Sheppard steals)
Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
Jabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
LeBron James offensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
66-72
Rockets personal foul
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
66-72
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
66-72
Lakers lineup change (LeBron James, Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, Luka Doncic)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
51-57
Luka Doncic turnover (lost ball) (Reed Sheppard steals)
+2
Kevin Durant makes two point driving hook shot
49-51
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
51-57
Lakers 60 second timeout
Lakers lineup change (LeBron James, Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, Luka Doncic, Luke Kennard)
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
51-57
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Deandre Ayton offensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses three point stepback jump shot
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Tari Eason personal foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
Luka Doncic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Lakers offensive rebound
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
66-72
Rockets lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson)
Marcus Smart personal foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
51-57
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
66-72
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point jump shot
45-46
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses two point jump shot
Lakers lineup change (Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, Luka Doncic, Deandre Ayton, Luke Kennard)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
+2
Jabari Smith Jr. makes two point putback dunk
51-57
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets offensive rebound
Lakers personal foul
Lakers lineup change (Rui Hachimura, Austin Reaves, Luka Doncic, Deandre Ayton, Luke Kennard)
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
43-42
Tari Eason misses two point tip layup
Tari Eason offensive rebound
Dorian Finney-Smith offensive rebound
+2
Dorian Finney-Smith makes two point tip layup
43-42
Kevin Durant misses three point jump shot
Rui Hachimura turnover (offensive foul)
Rui Hachimura offensive foul (Tari Eason draws the foul)
Rockets lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson, Tari Eason)
Rockets personal foul
Rui Hachimura offensive rebound
Austin Reaves misses three point running pullup jump shot
Rockets turnover
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
+2
Kevin Durant makes two point jump shot
43-42
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses three point pullup jump shot
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
Rui Hachimura personal foul
Clint Capela misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Clint Capela makes regular free throw 1 of 2
43-42
Rockets lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Clint Capela, Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson, Tari Eason)
Tari Eason personal foul (Austin Reaves draws the foul)
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 1 of 2
51-57
Lakers lineup change (Rui Hachimura, Austin Reaves, Luka Doncic, Deandre Ayton, Jake LaRavia)
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 2 of 2
66-72
Deandre Ayton offensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Lakers defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Austin Reaves violation
Rockets 60 second timeout
Clint Capela shooting foul (Jake LaRavia draws the foul)
Instant replay (Challenge: Stands)
+1
Jake LaRavia makes regular free throw 1 of 2
41-37
Lakers misses two point jump shot
+1
Jake LaRavia makes regular free throw 2 of 2
66-72
Jabari Smith Jr. personal foul (Austin Reaves draws the foul)
Lakers lineup change (LeBron James, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, Deandre Ayton, Jake LaRavia)
Lakers lineup change (LeBron James, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, Deandre Ayton, Jake LaRavia)
LeBron James shooting foul (Clint Capela draws the foul)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
37-37
+1
Clint Capela makes regular free throw 1 of 1
61-70
Clint Capela offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+1
Jake LaRavia makes regular free throw 1 of 2
36-34
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Clint Capela, Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason)
+1
Jake LaRavia makes regular free throw 2 of 2
61-70
Jake LaRavia turnover (lost ball) (Clint Capela steals)
Clint Capela turnover (bad pass)
Jaxson Hayes defensive rebound
Amen Thompson misses two point cutting dunk
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 15 | A. Reaves | 15 | 3 | 5 |
| G | 77 | L. Doncic | 36 | 6 | 4 |
| C | 5 | D. Ayton | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| F | 36 | M. Smart | 11 | 0 | 1 |
| F | 23 | L. James | 18 | 5 | 5 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 15 | R. Sheppard | 11 | 0 | 3 |
| F | 7 | K. Durant | 18 | 5 | 2 |
| C | 30 | C. Capela | 9 | 8 | 2 |
| G | 17 | T. Eason | 5 | 9 | 3 |
| F | 10 | J. Smith Jr. | 22 | 8 | 0 |
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Lakers vs. Rockets: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Lakers vs. Rockets
- Date: Monday, March 16, 2026
- Time: 9:30 PM ET
- Venue: Toyota Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Lakers favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 223.5
- Moneyline Odds: Lakers -110, Rockets +100
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Lakers: 55%
- Rockets: 45%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Lakers 112-111 Rockets.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lakers a win probability of 55%, while the Rockets have a win probability of 45%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lakers are more likely to beat the Rockets in the NBA game at Toyota Center on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Lakers vs. Rockets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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