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Cavaliers vs. Bucks Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Cavaliers vs. Bucks NBA game on March 17, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
123
116
Mar 18, 12AM Fiserv Forum
Mar 18, 12AM Fiserv Forum
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cavaliers | 37 | 20 | 28 | 38 | 123 |
Bucks | 24 | 34 | 29 | 29 | 116 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cavaliers | 37 | 20 | 28 | 38 | 123 |
Bucks | 24 | 34 | 29 | 29 | 116 |
Q4 00:14 Kevin Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:32 Bobby Portis makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:08 Sam Merrill misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:26 Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:33 Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:00 Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:16 Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:24 Kevin Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:39 Evan Mobley makes two point tip dunk
Q4 2:39 Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Max Strus defensive rebound
Kevin Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 2
122-116
Bucks personal foul
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 2
121-116
Bucks 60 second timeout
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bucks technical foul (Excess timeout)
Donovan Mitchell misses technical free throw 1 of 1
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
121-114
Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Upheld)
Cavaliers challenge timeout
Cavaliers turnover
+1
Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
122-116
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
+2
Bobby Portis makes two point jump shot
121-116
Bucks personal foul
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
122-116
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
122-116
Bucks 60 second timeout
Max Strus personal foul (Kevin Porter Jr. draws the foul)
+1
Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
119-111
+1
Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
119-112
Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Sam Merrill misses three point jump shot
Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
119-110
Bucks defensive rebound
Cavaliers personal foul
Ousmane Dieng misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Bucks offensive rebound
Ousmane Dieng misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Bucks offensive rebound
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Ryan Rollins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
119-110
+1
Ryan Rollins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
119-110
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
94-93
+1
Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
119-110
Bucks offensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Bucks personal foul
Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
119-110
Bucks lineup change (Kevin Porter Jr., AJ Green, Bobby Portis, Ousmane Dieng, Ryan Rollins)
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
119-110
Kevin Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot
Evan Mobley offensive rebound
Bucks 60 second timeout
+2
Evan Mobley makes two point tip dunk
94-93
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Max Strus defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
James Harden turnover (offensive foul)
James Harden personal foul (Ousmane Dieng draws the foul)
Max Strus defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
94-93
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
94-93
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Donovan Mitchell personal foul (Pete Nance draws the foul)
Pete Nance misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Bucks offensive rebound
Pete Nance misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Bucks lineup change (Kevin Porter Jr., Pete Nance, Bobby Portis, Ousmane Dieng, Ryan Rollins)
+2
James Harden makes two point driving floating jump shot
94-93
+3
Pete Nance makes three point jump shot (Kevin Porter Jr. assists)
94-93
Dean Wade personal foul (Kevin Porter Jr. draws the foul)
Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, James Harden, Max Strus, Sam Merrill, Evan Mobley)
Cavaliers personal foul
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
94-93
Dean Wade defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Taurean Prince personal foul
Bucks 60 second timeout
Cavaliers lineup change (James Harden, Max Strus, Dean Wade, Sam Merrill, Keon Ellis)
Bucks lineup change (Kevin Porter Jr., Taurean Prince, Pete Nance, Ousmane Dieng, Ryan Rollins)
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 2
94-93
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 2
94-93
Sam Merrill defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
94-93
+3
Pete Nance makes three point jump shot
94-93
Cavaliers lineup change (James Harden, Dean Wade, Sam Merrill, Keon Ellis, Evan Mobley)
Bucks lineup change (Kevin Porter Jr., Taurean Prince, Pete Nance, Bobby Portis, Ryan Rollins)
Pete Nance shooting foul (Evan Mobley draws the foul)
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
94-93
+1
Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 1 of 1
94-93
+2
Pete Nance makes two point jump shot
94-93
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
94-93
Cavaliers personal foul
Cavaliers lineup change (James Harden, Dean Wade, Jaylon Tyson, Sam Merrill, Evan Mobley)
+1
Ryan Rollins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
94-93
+1
Ryan Rollins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
94-93
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Donovan Mitchell misses two point jump shot
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Pete Nance misses three point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
94-93
Dennis Schroder offensive rebound
Dean Wade misses three point jump shot
Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
Bobby Portis misses two point driving floating jump shot
Jaylon Tyson turnover (lost ball) (AJ Green steals)
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Ryan Rollins misses three point stepback jump shot
Keon Ellis personal foul (Loose ball) (Pete Nance draws the foul)
AJ Green misses three point jump shot
Bucks offensive rebound
Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Dennis Schroder, Dean Wade, Jaylon Tyson, Evan Mobley)
Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
Evan Mobley misses three point jump shot
Ousmane Dieng turnover
Bucks lineup change (Taurean Prince, Pete Nance, AJ Green, Bobby Portis, Ryan Rollins)
Dennis Schroder turnover (bad pass) (Ousmane Dieng steals)
+2
Bobby Portis makes two point jump shot
91-93
Pete Nance defensive rebound
Ousmane Dieng shooting foul (Donovan Mitchell draws the foul)
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
94-93
Donovan Mitchell misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
94-93
Ousmane Dieng personal foul (Evan Mobley draws the foul)
+1
Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
94-93
+1
Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
94-93
Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
AJ Green misses three point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
87-89
AJ Green shooting foul (Dennis Schroder draws the foul)
+1
Dennis Schroder makes regular free throw 1 of 1
94-93
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
91-93
Pete Nance offensive rebound
Ousmane Dieng misses three point jump shot
Bucks offensive rebound
AJ Green misses three point jump shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
94-93
Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Dennis Schroder, Jaylon Tyson, Keon Ellis, Evan Mobley)
Bucks lineup change (Pete Nance, AJ Green, Bobby Portis, Ousmane Dieng, Ryan Rollins)
+2
Bobby Portis makes two point layup (Kevin Porter Jr. assists)
85-87
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
Dean Wade misses three point jump shot
+3
AJ Green makes three point jump shot
94-93
+3
Max Strus makes three point jump shot
85-87
+2
Kevin Porter Jr. makes two point jump shot
85-87
Donovan Mitchell personal foul
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+2
Bobby Portis makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
88-89
Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Dennis Schroder, Max Strus, Dean Wade, Keon Ellis)
Cavaliers turnover
Instant replay (Challenge)
Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Dennis Schroder, Max Strus, Dean Wade, Keon Ellis)
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Cavaliers challenge timeout
Thomas Bryant turnover (lost ball) (Bobby Portis steals)
Kevin Porter Jr. offensive foul (Charge) (Dennis Schroder draws the foul)
Kevin Porter Jr. turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Kevin Porter Jr. makes two point jump shot
121-116
Cavaliers personal foul
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
94-93
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
77-71
Bucks personal foul
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-89
+2
Kevin Porter Jr. makes two point jump shot
77-71
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Pete Nance defensive rebound
Keon Ellis misses two point jump shot
+3
Ousmane Dieng makes three point jump shot
77-71
Ousmane Dieng offensive rebound
Bobby Portis misses two point turnaround hook shot
Thomas Bryant misses three point jump shot
Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
AJ Green turnover
AJ Green defensive rebound
Cavaliers turnover
Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Dennis Schroder, Max Strus, Thomas Bryant, Keon Ellis)
Kevin Porter Jr. blocks James Harden's two point driving layup
James Harden defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
77-71
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
77-71
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bucks lineup change (Kevin Porter Jr., Pete Nance, AJ Green, Bobby Portis, Ousmane Dieng)
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
77-71
Max Strus offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Sam Merrill defensive rebound
Bobby Portis misses three point jump shot
Bucks 60 second timeout
Cavaliers lineup change (James Harden, Max Strus, Sam Merrill, Keon Ellis, Evan Mobley)
Cavaliers offensive rebound
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 3 of 3
72-68
James Harden misses regular free throw 1 of 3
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 3
72-68
Ousmane Dieng personal foul (James Harden draws the foul)
Bucks lineup change (Kevin Porter Jr., Jericho Sims, AJ Green, Bobby Portis, Ousmane Dieng)
Sam Merrill defensive rebound
Jericho Sims misses two point alley-oop layup
+3
Sam Merrill makes three point jump shot
72-68
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Jericho Sims defensive rebound
James Harden misses three point jump shot
Bucks personal foul
Cavaliers lineup change (James Harden, Dean Wade, Sam Merrill, Keon Ellis, Evan Mobley)
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Bucks lineup change (Kevin Porter Jr., Taurean Prince, Jericho Sims, AJ Green, Ousmane Dieng)
Bucks lineup change (Kevin Porter Jr., Taurean Prince, Jericho Sims, AJ Green, Ousmane Dieng)
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+3
Ryan Rollins makes three point jump shot
72-68
+2
Dean Wade makes two point jump shot
77-71
Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+2
Sam Merrill makes two point cutting layup (Dean Wade assists)
59-63
+2
Ryan Rollins makes two point fadeaway jump shot
72-68
Taurean Prince defensive rebound
Kevin Porter Jr. blocks Donovan Mitchell's two point running finger roll layup
Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
Kyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
59-63
Evan Mobley offensive rebound
Evan Mobley misses two point driving hook shot
Jericho Sims personal foul
Jericho Sims turnover (offensive foul)
Cavaliers personal foul
Bucks personal foul
+1
Sam Merrill makes regular free throw 1 of 2
77-71
+1
Sam Merrill makes regular free throw 2 of 2
77-71
Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
Donovan Mitchell misses two point pullup jump shot
Sam Merrill personal foul
+1
Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
77-71
+1
Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
77-71
Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Bucks personal foul
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+3
Kevin Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot
59-61
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
59-61
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Pete Nance defensive rebound
Bucks offensive rebound
Kyle Kuzma misses heave shot
End of 1st Half.
Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, James Harden, Dean Wade, Sam Merrill, Evan Mobley)
Bucks lineup change (Kevin Porter Jr., Taurean Prince, Jericho Sims, Kyle Kuzma, Ryan Rollins)
Bucks personal foul
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
57-58
Donovan Mitchell misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
57-58
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Max Strus misses three point jump shot
James Harden defensive rebound
Bobby Portis misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
James Harden personal foul (Taurean Prince draws the foul)
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
55-56
Taurean Prince personal foul
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
57-58
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Kevin Porter Jr. offensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
57-58
Evan Mobley offensive rebound
Donovan Mitchell misses three point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
57-58
Taurean Prince defensive rebound
Max Strus misses three point jump shot
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
52-54
Max Strus misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bucks defensive rebound
Bucks 60 second timeout
Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, James Harden, Max Strus, Keon Ellis, Evan Mobley)
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
52-51
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Max Strus defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+2
James Harden makes two point jump shot
52-49
James Harden defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
50-49
+2
Taurean Prince makes two point jump shot
48-49
Bucks personal foul
James Harden misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Cavaliers offensive rebound
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 2
48-49
Bucks lineup change (Kevin Porter Jr., Taurean Prince, Pete Nance, Bobby Portis, Kyle Kuzma)
Jump ball. (Max Strus gains possession)
Cavaliers lineup change (James Harden, Max Strus, Dean Wade, Sam Merrill, Keon Ellis)
Bucks lineup change (Kevin Porter Jr., Taurean Prince, Pete Nance, Bobby Portis, Ryan Rollins)
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
47-47
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
47-44
Bucks turnover
Cavaliers turnover
Bucks lineup change (Kevin Porter Jr., Pete Nance, Bobby Portis, Ousmane Dieng, Ryan Rollins)
Dean Wade offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Keon Ellis defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Ryan Rollins offensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
45-44
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
43-44
Cavaliers personal foul
Cavaliers lineup change (James Harden, Dean Wade, Jaylon Tyson, Sam Merrill, Keon Ellis)
Pete Nance defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
43-41
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
43-39
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
43-36
Pete Nance offensive rebound
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, James Harden, Dean Wade, Jaylon Tyson, Evan Mobley)
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
43-33
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
43-30
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
41-30
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
41-27
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
39-27
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
39-24
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Bucks offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Dennis Schroder, Thomas Bryant, Jaylon Tyson, Evan Mobley)
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Max Strus defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers personal foul
AJ Green defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Bucks turnover
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
37-24
Bucks turnover
Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Dennis Schroder, Max Strus, Thomas Bryant, Jaylon Tyson)
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
34-24
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
32-24
Pete Nance defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
32-22
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
32-20
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Dennis Schroder, Max Strus, Thomas Bryant, Keon Ellis)
Bucks lineup change (Pete Nance, AJ Green, Bobby Portis, Ousmane Dieng, Ryan Rollins)
Max Strus defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Keon Ellis defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
30-20
Keon Ellis defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
27-20
Bucks personal foul
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 1
28-20
Cavaliers lineup change (James Harden, Dennis Schroder, Max Strus, Thomas Bryant, Keon Ellis)
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
25-20
Bucks personal foul
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 3
23-17
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 3
24-17
Bucks lineup change (Jericho Sims, AJ Green, Bobby Portis, Ousmane Dieng, Ryan Rollins)
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 3 of 3
25-17
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
22-17
Cavaliers personal foul
Cavaliers lineup change (James Harden, Max Strus, Thomas Bryant, Sam Merrill, Keon Ellis)
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
22-15
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
19-15
Jericho Sims offensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
19-12
Bucks 60 second timeout
Bucks lineup change (Kevin Porter Jr., Jericho Sims, AJ Green, Ousmane Dieng, Kyle Kuzma)
Cavaliers lineup change (James Harden, Max Strus, Sam Merrill, Keon Ellis, Evan Mobley)
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
17-12
Cavaliers defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jericho Sims defensive rebound
Ryan Rollins shooting foul (Evan Mobley draws the foul)
Bucks 60 second timeout
Evan Mobley offensive rebound
Cavaliers lineup change (James Harden, Dean Wade, Sam Merrill, Keon Ellis, Evan Mobley)
Bucks lineup change (Kevin Porter Jr., Taurean Prince, Jericho Sims, Ousmane Dieng, Kyle Kuzma)
Evan Mobley misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Evan Mobley misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Ryan Rollins blocks Evan Mobley's two point layup
+2
Kevin Porter Jr. makes two point turnaround jump shot
15-12
+2
Evan Mobley makes two point putback dunk
15-10
Evan Mobley offensive rebound
Evan Mobley misses two point cutting layup
+2
Jericho Sims makes two point alley-oop layup (Kyle Kuzma assists)
13-10
Jericho Sims defensive rebound
Sam Merrill misses three point jump shot
Sam Merrill defensive rebound
Donovan Mitchell blocks Ryan Rollins's two point driving layup
Jericho Sims defensive rebound
Kyle Kuzma blocks Evan Mobley's two point tip layup
Evan Mobley offensive rebound
Donovan Mitchell misses two point driving floating jump shot
Kyle Kuzma personal foul (James Harden draws the foul)
Sam Merrill defensive rebound
Kyle Kuzma misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Dean Wade makes two point running layup (Sam Merrill assists)
13-8
Taurean Prince turnover (bad pass) (James Harden steals)
+2
Donovan Mitchell makes two point driving floating jump shot (Evan Mobley assists)
11-8
+3
Taurean Prince makes three point jump shot (Kevin Porter Jr. assists)
9-8
+2
Evan Mobley makes two point cutting finger roll layup (James Harden assists)
9-5
James Harden offensive rebound
Dean Wade misses three point jump shot
James Harden defensive rebound
Jericho Sims misses regular free throw 1 of 1
+2
Jericho Sims makes two point cutting dunk (Kyle Kuzma assists)
7-5
Evan Mobley shooting foul (Jericho Sims draws the foul)
+2
Sam Merrill makes two point floating jump shot (James Harden assists)
7-3
Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
Taurean Prince misses three point jump shot
Jericho Sims offensive rebound
Taurean Prince misses three point jump shot
+2
Evan Mobley makes two point cutting dunk (James Harden assists)
5-3
+3
Ryan Rollins makes three point jump shot (Kevin Porter Jr. assists)
3-3
+3
James Harden makes three point running jump shot (Donovan Mitchell assists)
3-0
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Evan Mobley blocks Kevin Porter Jr.'s two point driving layup
Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, James Harden, Dean Wade, Sam Merrill, Evan Mobley)
Bucks lineup change (Kevin Porter Jr., Taurean Prince, Jericho Sims, Kyle Kuzma, Ryan Rollins)
Start of 1st Quarter
Evan Mobley vs. Jericho Sims (Ryan Rollins gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 45 | D. Mitchell | 19 | 8 | 3 |
| C | 4 | E. Mobley | 27 | 15 | 2 |
| G-F | 2 | M. Strus | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| G | 1 | J. Harden | 27 | 5 | 6 |
| F | 5 | S. Merrill | 17 | 6 | 2 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 9 | B. Portis | 19 | 9 | 4 |
| F | 21 | O. Dieng | 19 | 5 | 1 |
| G | 20 | A. Green | 6 | 4 | 1 |
| G | 13 | R. Rollins | 19 | 3 | 4 |
| G | 7 | K. Porter Jr. | 25 | 3 | 10 |
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Cavaliers vs. Bucks: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Cavaliers vs. Bucks
- Date: Tuesday, March 17, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Fiserv Forum
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Cavaliers favored at -12.5
- Total (Over/Under): 227.5
- Moneyline Odds: Cavaliers -502, Bucks +488
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Cavaliers: 81%
- Bucks: 19%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Cavaliers 118-108 Bucks.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Cavaliers a win probability of 81%, while the Bucks have a win probability of 19%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Cavaliers are more likely to beat the Bucks in the NBA game at Fiserv Forum on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Cavaliers vs. Bucks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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