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Heat vs. Hornets Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Hornets NBA game on March 17, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
106
136
Mar 17, 11PM Spectrum Center
Mar 17, 11PM Spectrum Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 24 | 33 | 33 | 16 | 106 |
Hornets | 26 | 33 | 37 | 40 | 136 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 24 | 33 | 33 | 16 | 106 |
Hornets | 26 | 33 | 37 | 40 | 136 |
Q4 00:36 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:38 Myron Gardner misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:14 Keshad Johnson misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:22 Jahmir Young misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:31 Tre Mann misses three point stepback jump shot
Q4 1:50 Dru Smith misses three point pullup jump shot
Q4 1:59 Pat Connaughton makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:21 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:31 Hornets makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:51 Kel'el Ware makes two point driving layup
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Myron Gardner turnover
Myron Gardner personal foul (Pat Connaughton draws the foul)
+1
Pat Connaughton makes regular free throw 2 of 2
106-136
Pat Connaughton misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Hornets offensive rebound
Jahmir Young turnover (Pat Connaughton steals)
Myron Gardner personal foul (Tre Mann draws the foul)
+1
Tre Mann makes regular free throw 1 of 2
106-136
+1
Tre Mann makes regular free throw 2 of 2
106-136
Dru Smith offensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
106-136
Myron Gardner misses two point jump shot
Hornets turnover
Pat Connaughton defensive rebound
Keshad Johnson misses three point jump shot
Dru Smith offensive rebound
Jahmir Young misses three point jump shot
Myron Gardner defensive rebound
Tre Mann misses three point stepback jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hornets defensive rebound
Dru Smith misses three point pullup jump shot
+3
Pat Connaughton makes three point jump shot
106-136
Hornets lineup change (Sion James, Xavier Tillman, Tre Mann, Ryan Kalkbrenner, Pat Connaughton)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
106-136
Hornets personal foul
Heat lineup change (Keshad Johnson, Dru Smith, Myron Gardner, Vladislav Goldin, Jahmir Young)
+1
Jahmir Young makes regular free throw 1 of 1
106-136
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
106-136
+2
Kel'el Ware makes two point driving layup
106-136
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Simone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot
Myron Gardner defensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Grant Williams defensive rebound
Myron Gardner misses two point running layup
Myron Gardner defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
106-136
Hornets lineup change (Sion James, Grant Williams, Tre Mann, Coby White, Miles Bridges)
Coby White misses regular free throw 1 of 1
+2
Kel'el Ware makes two point jump shot
106-136
Hornets 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Simone Fontecchio, Dru Smith, Myron Gardner, Jahmir Young)
Heat misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat offensive rebound
Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Hornets personal foul
Hornets lineup change (Grant Williams, Coby White, Miles Bridges, Kon Knueppel, Brandon Miller)
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
101-127
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
101-127
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
101-127
Moussa Diabate offensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Hornets personal foul
Norman Powell misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
101-127
Hornets lineup change (Coby White, Moussa Diabate, Miles Bridges, Kon Knueppel, Brandon Miller)
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
101-127
Moussa Diabate offensive rebound
Kel'el Ware blocks Kon Knueppel's two point driving floating jump shot
Heat turnover
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot (Miles Bridges assists)
101-127
Miles Bridges defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat defensive rebound
Hornets personal foul
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Pelle Larsson personal foul
Brandon Miller defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Kon Knueppel makes regular free throw 3 of 3
94-113
Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Tyler Herro)
+1
Kon Knueppel makes regular free throw 1 of 3
94-116
+1
Kon Knueppel makes regular free throw 2 of 3
94-116
Moussa Diabate defensive rebound
Davion Mitchell misses two point fadeaway jump shot
+3
Brandon Miller makes three point jump shot
94-116
Miles Bridges defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Brandon Miller makes three point jump shot (LaMelo Ball assists)
94-116
+2
Norman Powell makes two point jump shot
90-103
Norman Powell offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kel'el Ware violation
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
94-116
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
94-116
Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Davion Mitchell, Simone Fontecchio, Norman Powell)
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
94-116
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat turnover
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
94-113
Heat personal foul
+1
LaMelo Ball makes regular free throw 1 of 1
94-121
Pelle Larsson turnover
Heat 60 second timeout
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
90-103
Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Simone Fontecchio, Norman Powell, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Keshad Johnson)
Moussa Diabate defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
90-98
LaMelo Ball defensive rebound
Norman Powell misses two point driving layup
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Hornets misses two point jump shot
+2
Keshad Johnson makes two point floating jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)
90-100
LaMelo Ball turnover
Simone Fontecchio personal foul
Heat lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Kasparas Jakucionis, Norman Powell, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Keshad Johnson)
LaMelo Ball defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Instant replay
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
106-135
Hornets lineup change (LaMelo Ball, Moussa Diabate, Miles Bridges, Kon Knueppel, Brandon Miller)
Heat lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Kasparas Jakucionis, Norman Powell, Keshad Johnson, Dru Smith)
+3
Miles Bridges makes three point jump shot
88-96
Josh Green technical foul
Josh Green personal foul
Hornets lineup change (Sion James, Grant Williams, Coby White, LaMelo Ball, Miles Bridges)
+1
Tyler Herro makes technical free throw 1 of 1
90-96
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-96
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
88-96
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
85-93
+2
Kasparas Jakucionis makes two point jump shot
85-91
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Sion James defensive rebound
Kasparas Jakucionis misses three point jump shot
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Dru Smith offensive rebound
+2
Dru Smith makes two point tip layup
83-91
Heat misses two point jump shot
Hornets personal foul
Grant Williams turnover (offensive foul)
Sion James offensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hornets 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Hornets challenge timeout
Dru Smith turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
81-91
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Kasparas Jakucionis, Keshad Johnson, Tyler Herro, Dru Smith)
Hornets lineup change (Sion James, Grant Williams, Coby White, Moussa Diabate, Josh Green)
Coby White defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Coby White defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+1
Coby White makes regular free throw 1 of 2
81-87
+1
Coby White makes regular free throw 2 of 2
81-88
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
81-85
Heat personal foul
+1
Coby White makes regular free throw 1 of 1
81-86
Heat personal foul
Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Keshad Johnson, Tyler Herro, Dru Smith)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
81-83
Hornets personal foul
Sion James turnover (offensive foul)
Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Kasparas Jakucionis, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Keshad Johnson, Tyler Herro)
Hornets lineup change (Grant Williams, Coby White, LaMelo Ball, Ryan Kalkbrenner, Josh Green)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
78-83
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
75-83
Heat turnover
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
75-80
Hornets personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
74-77
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
75-77
Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Davion Mitchell, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Keshad Johnson, Tyler Herro)
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
73-77
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
73-75
Hornets turnover
Heat turnover
Hornets lineup change (Sion James, Grant Williams, Coby White, LaMelo Ball, Ryan Kalkbrenner)
Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Davion Mitchell, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro)
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
71-75
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
71-73
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
68-73
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
66-73
Sion James defensive rebound
Hornets personal foul
Norman Powell misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
Norman Powell misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Hornets lineup change (Sion James, Coby White, LaMelo Ball, Ryan Kalkbrenner, Miles Bridges)
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hornets personal foul
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
65-71
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
66-71
Hornets lineup change (Sion James, Coby White, LaMelo Ball, Moussa Diabate, Miles Bridges)
Stoppage (Court cleanup)
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
64-71
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
64-69
Hornets turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
62-69
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
60-68
Heat personal foul
Kon Knueppel misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Hornets offensive rebound
Hornets personal foul
Norman Powell misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
60-66
Hornets lineup change (Sion James, LaMelo Ball, Moussa Diabate, Miles Bridges, Kon Knueppel)
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Miles Bridges defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Hornets offensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
59-66
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
LaMelo Ball defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
57-66
Heat 60 second timeout
Moussa Diabate defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
57-64
Kon Knueppel defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Moussa Diabate defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
57-61
Hornets turnover
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Hornets lineup change (LaMelo Ball, Moussa Diabate, Miles Bridges, Kon Knueppel, Brandon Miller)
Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Tyler Herro)
Heat turnover
Heat personal foul
+1
LaMelo Ball makes regular free throw 1 of 2
57-58
+1
LaMelo Ball makes regular free throw 2 of 2
57-59
Hornets lineup change (Sion James, Grant Williams, LaMelo Ball, Moussa Diabate, Miles Bridges)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
57-57
Keshad Johnson defensive rebound
Heat turnover
Hornets turnover
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Hornets personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
54-57
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
55-57
Heat lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Norman Powell, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Keshad Johnson, Tyler Herro)
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
53-57
Moussa Diabate offensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
53-54
Hornets personal foul
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Norman Powell, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Keshad Johnson, Tyler Herro)
Hornets lineup change (Grant Williams, LaMelo Ball, Moussa Diabate, Miles Bridges, Josh Green)
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
52-52
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
53-52
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
51-52
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
51-50
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
49-50
Heat personal foul
Instant replay
LaMelo Ball misses flagrant free throw 1 of 2
Hornets offensive rebound
+1
LaMelo Ball makes flagrant free throw 2 of 2
49-48
Hornets personal foul
Pelle Larsson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
49-47
Hornets lineup change (Grant Williams, LaMelo Ball, Moussa Diabate, Josh Green, Kon Knueppel)
Josh Green offensive rebound
Hornets turnover
Hornets misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
48-47
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
46-47
Hornets personal foul
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
45-45
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
46-45
Hornets lineup change (Grant Williams, LaMelo Ball, Moussa Diabate, Josh Green, Brandon Miller)
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Grant Williams defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
44-45
Hornets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Hornets personal foul
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
43-43
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
44-43
Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Davion Mitchell, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro)
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
42-43
Moussa Diabate defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Moussa Diabate defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Hornets personal foul
+1
Kel'el Ware makes regular free throw 1 of 2
41-41
Kel'el Ware misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Hornets lineup change (Grant Williams, Coby White, Moussa Diabate, Josh Green, Brandon Miller)
Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Miles Bridges defensive rebound
Hornets turnover
Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Davion Mitchell, Simone Fontecchio, Tyler Herro)
Hornets lineup change (Sion James, Grant Williams, Coby White, Moussa Diabate, Josh Green)
Heat misses two point jump shot
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Hornets personal foul
Hornets 60 second timeout
Simone Fontecchio misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Simone Fontecchio, Kasparas Jakucionis, Tyler Herro)
+1
Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 2 of 2
41-41
Heat defensive rebound
Hornets personal foul
Hornets lineup change (Sion James, Coby White, LaMelo Ball, Moussa Diabate, Miles Bridges)
Hornets misses three point jump shot
LaMelo Ball defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
40-41
Heat misses two point jump shot
Hornets personal foul
+1
Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 1 of 2
39-38
+1
Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 2 of 2
40-38
Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Simone Fontecchio, Kasparas Jakucionis, Norman Powell)
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Keshad Johnson defensive rebound
Hornets misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
38-38
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
36-38
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
36-35
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
34-35
Heat personal foul
Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Simone Fontecchio, Kasparas Jakucionis, Norman Powell, Keshad Johnson)
Hornets lineup change (Coby White, LaMelo Ball, Moussa Diabate, Miles Bridges, Kon Knueppel)
Kon Knueppel defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Keshad Johnson defensive rebound
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Miles Bridges defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
34-33
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
31-33
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
31-31
Kasparas Jakucionis offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Ryan Kalkbrenner offensive rebound
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Hornets personal foul
+1
Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
27-31
+1
Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
28-31
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
26-31
Heat personal foul
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
26-29
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
24-29
Sion James defensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Hornets offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Hornets lineup change (Sion James, LaMelo Ball, Ryan Kalkbrenner, Miles Bridges, Kon Knueppel)
Heat misses three point jump shot
Hornets personal foul
Hornets lineup change (Sion James, Grant Williams, Coby White, Moussa Diabate, Kon Knueppel)
Keshad Johnson defensive rebound
Hornets misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
24-26
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
21-26
Coby White defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
21-24
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
21-22
Ryan Kalkbrenner offensive rebound
+2
Ryan Kalkbrenner makes two point putback layup
18-22
Hornets misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
18-20
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hornets lineup change (Sion James, Grant Williams, Coby White, Ryan Kalkbrenner, Brandon Miller)
Hornets turnover
Ryan Kalkbrenner defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Hornets misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
16-20
Keshad Johnson offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Grant Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Hornets offensive rebound
Heat lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Kasparas Jakucionis, Norman Powell, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Keshad Johnson)
+1
Grant Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
14-20
Josh Green defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Coby White makes regular free throw 1 of 2
14-18
+1
Coby White makes regular free throw 2 of 2
14-19
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Simone Fontecchio, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Keshad Johnson, Tyler Herro)
Brandon Miller defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
14-17
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
14-14
Hornets 60 second timeout
Hornets lineup change (Grant Williams, Coby White, Ryan Kalkbrenner, Josh Green, Brandon Miller)
Hornets personal foul
Hornets lineup change (Grant Williams, Coby White, Moussa Diabate, Josh Green, Brandon Miller)
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
12-14
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
10-14
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Hornets turnover
Heat personal foul
Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Davion Mitchell, Simone Fontecchio, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro)
Moussa Diabate defensive rebound
Kel'el Ware misses two point alley-oop layup
Pelle Larsson turnover (bad pass)
Tyler Herro offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
8-14
Heat violation
Miles Bridges defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat 60 second timeout
Hornets lineup change (LaMelo Ball, Moussa Diabate, Miles Bridges, Josh Green, Brandon Miller)
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
8-10
Moussa Diabate defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Moussa Diabate defensive rebound
Hornets turnover
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
+2
Kon Knueppel makes two point running layup
8-10
Kon Knueppel defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
8-8
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Miles Bridges defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
6-8
Moussa Diabate offensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Miles Bridges defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Hornets makes three point jump shot
6-5
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
6-2
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Miles Bridges defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Hornets offensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Brandon Miller turnover
Hornets turnover
Hornets violation
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
4-2
Moussa Diabate offensive rebound
+2
Hornets makes two point jump shot
2-2
Hornets misses two point jump shot
LaMelo Ball offensive rebound
Hornets misses two point jump shot
Miles Bridges defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hornets turnover
Hornets personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
1-0
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
2-0
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Hornets misses three point jump shot
Hornets offensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Hornets misses three point jump shot
LaMelo Ball defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Hornets lineup change (LaMelo Ball, Moussa Diabate, Miles Bridges, Kon Knueppel, Brandon Miller)
Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Tyler Herro)
Start of 1st Quarter
(Davion Mitchell gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 12 | D. Smith | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| F | 16 | K. Johnson | 15 | 5 | 1 |
| F | 15 | M. Gardner | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| G | 17 | J. Young | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| C | 50 | V. Goldin | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 21 | P. Connaughton | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| C | 11 | R. Kalkbrenner | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| G | 4 | S. James | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| F | 26 | X. Tillman | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| G | 23 | T. Mann | 2 | 0 | 1 |
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Heat vs. Hornets: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Heat vs. Hornets
- Date: Tuesday, March 17, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Spectrum Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Hornets favored at -4.5
- Total (Over/Under): 236.5
- Moneyline Odds: Heat +178, Hornets -182
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Heat: 36%
- Hornets: 64%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 116-120 Hornets.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 36%, while the Hornets have a win probability of 64%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Hornets are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at Spectrum Center on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Heat vs. Hornets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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