Grizzlies vs. Nuggets prediction: Denver favored to win Wednesday's NBA matchup [2/11/2026]

The Denver Nuggets will square off with the Memphis Grizzlies in NBA action at Ball Arena on Wednesday, beginning at 9:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Nuggets as the most likely winner of the Grizzlies vs. Nuggets game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Nuggets lineup will feature stars like Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic and Julian Strawther, while the Grizzlies will look to Ty Jerome, Jaylen Wells and GG Jackson.

This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Grizzlies vs. Nuggets prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NBA matchup between the Grizzlies and Nuggets 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Nuggets an 85% chance of beating the Grizzlies. Our predicted final score has the Nuggets winning 125-113.

According to our model, the Grizzlies (+14.5) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 239.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.

Grizzlies vs. Nuggets odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Grizzlies	Nuggets
Spread	+14.5 (-110)	-14.5 (-105)
Moneyline	+570	-675
Total	o239.5 (-110)	u239.5 (-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Grizzlies vs. Nuggets picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Grizzlies +14.5	-110
Moneyline	Grizzlies	+570
Total	Under 239.5	-108

According to our best NBA bets for Wednesday, the top play to make on this game is Grizzlies +14.5 at the spread.

Grizzlies vs. Nuggets player props

Looking for Grizzlies vs. Nuggets NBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Ball Arena.

Ty Jerome is expected to lead the Grizzlies with 15 points, 2 rebounds and 4 assists, while Jamal Murray is projected to have 26 points, 4 rebounds and 7 assists for the Nuggets.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Grizzlies prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Grizzlies are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Ty Jerome	15	2	4	2	28
Jaylen Wells	14	3	2	2	24
GG Jackson	13	5	2	1	26
Cam Spencer	12	3	6	2	27
Scotty Pippen	10	3	4	1	24

Nuggets prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Nuggets:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Jamal Murray	26	4	7	4	49
Nikola Jokic	25	12	11	2	64
J. Strawther	14	4	2	2	25
Tim Hardaway	14	3	1	3	22
Cameron Johnson	13	4	3	2	25

Grizzlies vs. Nuggets game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's matchup between the Nuggets and Grizzlies at Ball Arena is scheduled to commence at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Denver Nuggets
• Date: Wednesday, February 11, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Venue: Ball Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Nuggets, with an 85% win probability, will likely beat the Grizzlies on Wednesday, with Nikola Jokic projected for a game-high 64 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Grizzlies vs. Nuggets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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