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Pacers vs. Rockets prediction: Houston to win, Kevin Durant projected for big game in Monday's NBA matchup [12/29/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Indiana Pacers vs Houston Rockets predictions for NBA Monday.
The Houston Rockets will square off with the Indiana Pacers in NBA action at Toyota Center on Monday, commencing at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Rockets as the most likely winner of the Pacers vs. Rockets game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Rockets lineup will feature players like Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun and Amen Thompson, while the Pacers will be led by Pascal Siakam, Bennedict Mathurin and Andrew Nembhard.
This article offers further insights into Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Pacers vs. Rockets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NBA matchup between the Pacers and Rockets 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Rockets an 86% chance of beating the Pacers. Our predicted final score has the Rockets winning 117-104.
According to our model, the Pacers (+14.5) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the 221.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of going over.
Pacers vs. Rockets odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Pacers | Rockets |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +14.5 (-105) | -14.5 (-112) |
| Moneyline | +730 | -1000 |
| Total | o221.5 (-105) | u221.5 (-106) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Pacers vs. Rockets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Pacers +14.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Pacers | +730 |
| Total | Over 221.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Pacers +14.5 at the spread.
Pacers vs. Rockets player props
NBA player props are a common way to wager on the Pacers vs. Rockets matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Toyota Center.
Pascal Siakam is expected to lead the Pacers with 21 points, 5 rebounds and 3 assists, while Kevin Durant is projected to have 27 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists for the Rockets.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Pacers prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Pacers are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam | 21 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 38 |
| B. Mathurin | 17 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 30 |
| Andrew Nembhard | 16 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 33 |
| Aaron Nesmith | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 20 |
| Jay Huff | 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 24 |
Rockets prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Rockets:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant | 27 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 46 |
| Alperen Sengun | 21 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 47 |
| Amen Thompson | 18 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 41 |
| Jabari Smith | 16 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 32 |
| Reed Sheppard | 12 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 28 |
Pacers vs. Rockets game-day updates and essential details
Monday's matchup between the Rockets and Pacers at Toyota Center is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Indiana Pacers vs. Houston Rockets
- Date: Monday, December 29, 2025
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Toyota Center
Conclusion
We predict the Rockets, with an 86% win probability, will likely beat the Pacers on Monday, with Alperen Sengun projected for a game-high 47 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Pacers vs. Rockets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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