NBA picks today: Monday's best bets include Hawks vs. Thunder play [12/29/2025]

Hawks +16.5 (-110)

• Edge: 6.2%
• Probability: 58.6%
• Matchup: Hawks vs. Thunder (8:00PM ET, Monday)

Our model has identified value on Hawks +16.5 at -110 odds. A 58.6% probability produces an edge of 6.2%, making this the strongest play for today's NBA slate.

Pacers +14.5 (-110)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 57.8%
• Matchup: Pacers vs. Rockets (8:00PM ET, Monday)

Pacers +14.5 carries a 5.4% edge and a probability of 57.8% at -110 odds, according to our model.

Nuggets vs. Heat over 244.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 55.1%
• Matchup: Nuggets vs. Heat (7:30PM ET, Monday)

Nuggets vs. Heat over 244.5 points at -105 odds shows a 3.9% edge, supported by a 55.1% probability in simulations.

Nuggets ML (-134)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 60.4%
• Matchup: Nuggets vs. Heat (7:30PM ET, Monday)

A 3.1% edge and 60.4% probability make Nuggets at the moneyline at a value play in the Nuggets vs. Heat matchup, per our model.

Bucks ML (-152)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 63.4%
• Matchup: Bucks vs. Hornets (7:00PM ET, Monday)

Bucks ML at -152 odds presents a 3.1% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 63.4%.

Pelicans +8.5 (-105)

• Edge: 2.8%
• Probability: 54%
• Matchup: Knicks vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET, Monday)

Our model finds value on Pelicans +8.5 at -105 odds, supported by an edge of 2.8%.

Magic ML (-120)

• Edge: 2.6%
• Probability: 57.1%
• Matchup: Magic vs. Raptors (7:30PM ET, Monday)

Our model has uncovered value on Magic ML at -120 odds. A 57.1% probability produces a 2.6% edge, making this a strong play for today's NBA action.

Wizards +11 (-108)

• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 54.4%
• Matchup: Suns vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET, Monday)

A 2.5% edge on a 54.4% probability makes Wizards +11 at -108 odds a solid value play in today's Suns vs. Wizards matchup.

Pacers ML (+675)

• Edge: 2.0%
• Probability: 14.9%
• Matchup: Pacers vs. Rockets (8:00PM ET, Monday)

Our model projects value on Pacers to win at +675 odds. A 14.9% probability produces a 2.0% edge, making Pacers the favorable ML play in Saturday’s matchup.

NBA best bets summary: Monday, 12/29/2025

As of 2:01AM ET, here are our top NBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Hawks vs. Thunder	Hawks +16.5	-110 @ DraftKings	6.2%	58.6%
Pacers vs. Rockets	Pacers +14.5	-110 @ FanDuel	5.4%	57.8%
Nuggets vs. Heat	Over 244.5 Points	-105 @ BetMGM	3.9%	55.1%
Nuggets vs. Heat	Nuggets ML	-134 @ FanDuel	3.1%	60.4%
Bucks vs. Hornets	Bucks ML	-152 @ FanDuel	3.1%	63.4%
Knicks vs. Pelicans	Pelicans +8.5	-105 @ BetMGM	2.8%	54%
Magic vs. Raptors	Magic ML	-120 @ BetMGM	2.6%	57.1%
Suns vs. Wizards	Wizards +11	-108 @ FanDuel	2.5%	54.4%
Pacers vs. Rockets	Pacers ML	+675 @ BetMGM	2.0%	14.9%

List of upcoming NBA games to bet on [12/29/2025]

• Bucks vs. Hornets (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• Suns vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• Warriors vs. Nets (7:30PM ET, Monday)
• Nuggets vs. Heat (7:30PM ET, Monday)
• Magic vs. Raptors (7:30PM ET, Monday)
• Cavaliers vs. Spurs (8:00PM ET, Monday)
• Knicks vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET, Monday)
• Timberwolves vs. Bulls (8:00PM ET, Monday)
• Pacers vs. Rockets (8:00PM ET, Monday)
• Hawks vs. Thunder (8:00PM ET, Monday)
• Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers (10:30PM ET, Monday)

AI betting support with Dimebot

Learn how Dimebot uses Dimers’ data to deliver quick answers and insights, helping you make faster, more informed decisions.

Conclusion

Our NBA best bets are locked and loaded for December 29, 2025, featuring plays such as Hawks +16.5 and Pacers +14.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate NBA insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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