NBA picks today: Monday's best bets include Hawks vs. Thunder play [12/29/2025]

Today’s NBA picks for December 29, 2025 are here, with Hawks vs. Thunder and Pacers vs. Rockets among the top plays identified by our model across Monday’s NBA slate.

Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, scanning the latest basketball odds to discover top betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.

List of NBA picks tonight [12/29, updated 7:37PM ET]

Below, you’ll find today’s best basketball bets, ranked by edge for Monday, December 29, 2025.

Hawks +16.5 (-105)

• Edge: 7.8%
• Probability: 59%
• Matchup: Hawks vs. Thunder (8:00PM ET, Monday)

Our model has identified value on Hawks +16.5 at -105 odds. A 59% probability produces an edge of 7.8%, making this the strongest play for today's NBA slate.

Pacers +13.5 (-105)

• Edge: 6.8%
• Probability: 58.1%
• Matchup: Pacers vs. Rockets (8:00PM ET, Monday)

Pacers +13.5 carries a 6.8% edge and a probability of 58.1% at -105 odds, according to our model.

Knicks vs. Pelicans over 246.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 55.5%
• Matchup: Knicks vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET, Monday)

Knicks vs. Pelicans over 246.5 points at -105 odds shows a 4.3% edge, supported by a 55.5% probability in simulations.

Cavaliers vs. Spurs under 243.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 3.2%
• Probability: 54.4%
• Matchup: Cavaliers vs. Spurs (8:00PM ET, Monday)

A 3.2% edge and 54.4% probability make Cavaliers vs. Spurs under 243.5 points at a value play in the Cavaliers vs. Spurs matchup, per our model.

Timberwolves vs. Bulls under 243.5 points (-106)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 54.3%
• Matchup: Timberwolves vs. Bulls (8:00PM ET, Monday)

Timberwolves vs. Bulls under 243.5 points at -106 odds presents a 2.9% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 54.3%.

Pacers ML (+590)

• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 17%
• Matchup: Pacers vs. Rockets (8:00PM ET, Monday)

Our model finds value on Pacers to win at +590 odds, supported by an edge of 2.5%.

Pelicans +8 (-110)

• Edge: 2.1%
• Probability: 54.4%
• Matchup: Knicks vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET, Monday)

Our model has uncovered value on Pelicans +8 at -110 odds. A 54.4% probability produces a 2.1% edge, making this a strong play for today's NBA action.

NBA best bets summary: Monday, 12/29/2025

As of 7:37PM ET, here are our top NBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Hawks vs. Thunder	Hawks +16.5	-105 @ BetMGM	7.8%	59%
Pacers vs. Rockets	Pacers +13.5	-105 @ BetMGM	6.8%	58.1%
Knicks vs. Pelicans	Over 246.5 Points	-105 @ BetMGM	4.3%	55.5%
Cavaliers vs. Spurs	Under 243.5 Points	-105 @ BetMGM	3.2%	54.4%
Timberwolves vs. Bulls	Under 243.5 Points	-106 @ FanDuel	2.9%	54.3%
Pacers vs. Rockets	Pacers ML	+590 @ FanDuel	2.5%	17%
Knicks vs. Pelicans	Pelicans +8	-110 @ FanDuel	2.1%	54.4%

List of upcoming NBA games to bet on [12/29/2025]

• Cavaliers vs. Spurs (8:00PM ET, Monday)
• Knicks vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET, Monday)
• Timberwolves vs. Bulls (8:00PM ET, Monday)
• Pacers vs. Rockets (8:00PM ET, Monday)
• Hawks vs. Thunder (8:00PM ET, Monday)
• Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers (10:30PM ET, Monday)

Meet Dimebot, Dimers’ AI assistant

See how you can use Dimebot to ask questions, clarify data, and streamline your betting research.

Conclusion

Our NBA best bets are locked and loaded for December 29, 2025, featuring plays such as Hawks +16.5 and Pacers +13.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate NBA insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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