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Pacers vs. Rockets Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pacers vs. Rockets NBA game on December 29, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
119
126
Dec 30, 1AM Toyota Center
Dec 30, 1AM Toyota Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pacers | 25 | 23 | 30 | 41 | 119 |
Rockets | 30 | 36 | 39 | 21 | 126 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pacers | 25 | 23 | 30 | 41 | 119 |
Rockets | 30 | 36 | 39 | 21 | 126 |
Q4 00:19 Aaron Holiday misses two point driving floating jump shot
Q4 00:41 Quenton Jackson makes two point driving layup
Q4 1:04 Kam Jones misses two point driving floating jump shot
Q4 1:19 Quenton Jackson makes three point stepback jump shot (Micah Potter assists)
Q4 1:23 Taelon Peter makes three point jump shot (Micah Potter assists)
Q4 1:53 Ethan Thompson makes two point stepback jump shot (Micah Potter assists)
Q4 2:04 Jeff Green makes two point driving finger roll layup (JD Davison assists)
Q4 2:26 Micah Potter makes two point turnaround bank hook shot (Ethan Thompson assists)
Q4 2:39 Jae'Sean Tate misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Q4 3:07 Taelon Peter makes three point running jump shot (Micah Potter assists)
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Quenton Jackson turnover (bad pass) (JD Davison steals)
Taelon Peter defensive rebound
Aaron Holiday misses two point driving floating jump shot
+2
Quenton Jackson makes two point driving layup
119-126
JD Davison turnover (bad pass) (Quenton Jackson steals)
+1
Quenton Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
116-126
JD Davison personal foul (Quenton Jackson draws the foul)
+1
Quenton Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
117-126
Jeff Green turnover (bad pass) (Taelon Peter steals)
Josh Okogie defensive rebound
Kam Jones misses two point driving floating jump shot
Rockets turnover (8-second violation)
+3
Quenton Jackson makes three point stepback jump shot (Micah Potter assists)
115-126
+3
Taelon Peter makes three point jump shot (Micah Potter assists)
112-126
Josh Okogie shooting foul (Taelon Peter draws the foul)
Taelon Peter misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Micah Potter offensive rebound
+1
JD Davison makes regular free throw 1 of 2
109-125
+1
JD Davison makes regular free throw 2 of 2
109-126
Ethan Thompson shooting foul (JD Davison draws the foul)
+2
Ethan Thompson makes two point stepback jump shot (Micah Potter assists)
109-124
+2
Jeff Green makes two point driving finger roll layup (JD Davison assists)
107-124
Rockets lineup change (Jeff Green, Jae'Sean Tate, Aaron Holiday, JD Davison, Josh Okogie)
Jabari Smith Jr. shooting foul (Micah Potter draws the foul)
+1
Micah Potter makes regular free throw 1 of 1
107-122
+2
Micah Potter makes two point turnaround bank hook shot (Ethan Thompson assists)
106-122
Micah Potter defensive rebound
Jae'Sean Tate misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
+3
Taelon Peter makes three point running jump shot (Micah Potter assists)
104-122
Micah Potter defensive rebound
Jabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Micah Potter misses two point cutting layup
Pacers lineup change (Quenton Jackson, Ethan Thompson, Kam Jones, Taelon Peter, Micah Potter)
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jae'Sean Tate, Jabari Smith Jr., Aaron Holiday, Josh Okogie)
Pacers 60 second timeout
+3
Tari Eason makes three point jump shot (Jae'Sean Tate assists)
101-122
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Aaron Nesmith misses three point jump shot
Aaron Nesmith offensive rebound
Bennedict Mathurin misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Jae'Sean Tate makes two point driving layup
101-119
+3
Bennedict Mathurin makes three point running jump shot (Aaron Nesmith assists)
101-117
Kevin Durant turnover (lost ball) (Johnny Furphy steals)
+2
Aaron Nesmith makes two point driving dunk (Bennedict Mathurin assists)
98-117
Amen Thompson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jae'Sean Tate, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Tari Eason)
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Johnny Furphy misses three point fadeaway jump shot
Dorian Finney-Smith personal foul (Andrew Nembhard draws the foul)
Jae'Sean Tate misses three point jump shot
Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
+2
Pascal Siakam makes two point driving finger roll layup
96-117
+2
Kevin Durant makes two point driving floating jump shot (Amen Thompson assists)
94-117
Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Bennedict Mathurin, Aaron Nesmith, Johnny Furphy, Andrew Nembhard)
Micah Potter personal foul (Dorian Finney-Smith draws the foul)
Micah Potter personal foul (Amen Thompson draws the foul)
Pascal Siakam misses two point jump shot
Pascal Siakam misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 2
94-115
Dorian Finney-Smith shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)
Pacers offensive rebound
Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Bennedict Mathurin, Aaron Nesmith, Micah Potter, Andrew Nembhard)
Dorian Finney-Smith personal foul
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
93-115
Jay Huff shooting foul (Amen Thompson draws the foul)
Reed Sheppard misses two point driving finger roll layup
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
93-114
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jae'Sean Tate, Dorian Finney-Smith, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason)
Kam Jones personal foul (Take) (Reed Sheppard draws the foul)
Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Bennedict Mathurin, Aaron Nesmith, Jay Huff, Andrew Nembhard)
Rockets defensive rebound
Jarace Walker misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Jabari Smith Jr. makes two point putback layup
93-113
Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
Kevin Durant misses three point jump shot
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
Jabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot
+2
Kam Jones makes two point driving finger roll layup
93-111
Rockets 60 second timeout
Jabari Smith Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Jarace Walker steals)
+2
T.J. McConnell makes two point driving finger roll layup (Micah Potter assists)
91-111
+2
Jabari Smith Jr. makes two point putback layup
89-111
Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
Reed Sheppard misses three point jump shot
Reed Sheppard shooting foul (Johnny Furphy draws the foul)
Johnny Furphy misses regular free throw 1 of 1
+2
Johnny Furphy makes two point running layup (Kam Jones assists)
89-109
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Reed Sheppard, Jae'Sean Tate, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant)
Clint Capela defensive goaltending violation
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Jabari Smith Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Kam Jones steals)
+2
Jarace Walker makes two point driving floating jump shot (Johnny Furphy assists)
87-109
Kam Jones defensive rebound
Jabari Smith Jr. misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Jarace Walker turnover (lost ball) (Reed Sheppard steals)
+2
Reed Sheppard makes two point driving floating jump shot
85-109
+2
Jarace Walker makes two point stepback jump shot (Micah Potter assists)
85-107
Clint Capela personal foul (Loose ball) (Johnny Furphy draws the foul)
Pacers defensive rebound
Jabari Smith Jr. misses two point jump shot
+2
Kam Jones makes two point driving hook shot (T.J. McConnell assists)
83-107
+2
Clint Capela makes two point driving hook shot (Reed Sheppard assists)
81-107
+3
Johnny Furphy makes three point jump shot (Jarace Walker assists)
81-105
Jabari Smith Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Kam Jones steals)
Clint Capela defensive rebound
T.J. McConnell misses two point pullup jump shot
Pacers offensive rebound
Start of 4th Quarter
End of 3rd Quarter.
Pacers misses heave shot
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Reed Sheppard, Jabari Smith Jr., Clint Capela, Tari Eason)
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Johnny Furphy, Jarace Walker, Kam Jones, Micah Potter)
+3
Dorian Finney-Smith makes three point stepback jump shot (Kevin Durant assists)
78-105
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Reed Sheppard, Dorian Finney-Smith, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant)
T.J. McConnell personal foul (Amen Thompson draws the foul)
+2
Jarace Walker makes two point driving floating jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)
78-102
+2
Amen Thompson makes two point stepback jump shot
76-102
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Jay Huff misses three point jump shot
Pacers 60 second timeout
+2
Jabari Smith Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot
76-100
Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound
T.J. McConnell misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Reed Sheppard makes two point driving floating bank jump shot
76-98
T.J. McConnell turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
T.J. McConnell offensive rebound
Kam Jones misses three point jump shot
Amen Thompson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
T.J. McConnell misses two point pullup jump shot
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Clint Capela misses regular free throw 1 of 1
+2
Clint Capela makes two point driving reverse layup
76-96
Jay Huff shooting foul (Clint Capela draws the foul)
Jay Huff defensive rebound
Clint Capela offensive rebound
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Reed Sheppard, Dorian Finney-Smith, Jabari Smith Jr., Clint Capela)
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Johnny Furphy, Jay Huff, Jarace Walker, Kam Jones)
Dorian Finney-Smith misses three point running jump shot
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Amen Thompson blocks Jarace Walker's two point driving layup
+3
Reed Sheppard makes three point jump shot (Amen Thompson assists)
76-94
+1
Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 2
76-91
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Pascal Siakam, Bennedict Mathurin, Jay Huff, Jarace Walker)
Dorian Finney-Smith shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)
+1
Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 2
75-91
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Reed Sheppard misses three point jump shot
Pascal Siakam turnover (lost ball) (Reed Sheppard steals)
+2
Kevin Durant makes two point fadeaway jump shot
74-91
+3
Andrew Nembhard makes three point jump shot (Bennedict Mathurin assists)
74-89
Reed Sheppard turnover (lost ball) (Andrew Nembhard steals)
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Reed Sheppard, Dorian Finney-Smith, Kevin Durant, Clint Capela)
Jump ball. Jarace Walker vs. Reed Sheppard (Andrew Nembhard gains possession)
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Dorian Finney-Smith, Steven Adams, Kevin Durant, Clint Capela)
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Andrew Nembhard misses two point running layup
Tony Bradley defensive rebound
Reed Sheppard misses two point driving finger roll layup
+3
Bennedict Mathurin makes three point pullup jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)
71-89
+2
Kevin Durant makes two point pullup jump shot
68-89
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Pascal Siakam makes two point running dunk
68-87
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Dorian Finney-Smith, Steven Adams, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason)
Rockets 60 second timeout
Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Bennedict Mathurin, Jarace Walker, Tony Bradley, Andrew Nembhard)
Tari Eason turnover (bad pass) (Pascal Siakam steals)
+2
Andrew Nembhard makes two point running layup
66-87
Reed Sheppard turnover (bad pass) (Andrew Nembhard steals)
+2
Pascal Siakam makes two point driving layup
64-87
Pacers defensive rebound
Steven Adams personal foul (Loose ball) (Tony Bradley draws the foul)
Tari Eason misses three point jump shot
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Andrew Nembhard misses two point stepback jump shot
Tari Eason offensive foul (Bennedict Mathurin draws the foul)
Tari Eason turnover (offensive foul)
+1
Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 2
61-87
+1
Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 2
62-87
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Jabari Smith Jr., Steven Adams, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason)
Steven Adams shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)
+2
Jabari Smith Jr. makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Kevin Durant assists)
60-87
+3
Aaron Nesmith makes three point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)
60-85
+2
Tari Eason makes two point driving finger roll layup
57-85
Aaron Nesmith turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Tari Eason misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
Pascal Siakam misses three point jump shot
Tari Eason defensive rebound
+2
Kevin Durant makes two point turnaround jump shot (Jabari Smith Jr. assists)
57-83
+3
Andrew Nembhard makes three point pullup jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)
57-81
Pascal Siakam offensive rebound
Bennedict Mathurin misses three point jump shot
Bennedict Mathurin offensive rebound
Pascal Siakam misses two point driving finger roll layup
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Tari Eason personal foul (Away from play) (Bennedict Mathurin draws the foul)
+1
Bennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 1 of 1
54-81
Tony Bradley offensive rebound
Pacers offensive rebound
Kevin Durant blocks Tony Bradley's two point putback layup
Jabari Smith Jr. blocks Andrew Nembhard's two point driving layup
+3
Kevin Durant makes three point jump shot (Amen Thompson assists)
53-81
+2
Bennedict Mathurin makes two point running finger roll layup (Andrew Nembhard assists)
53-78
Kevin Durant turnover (bad pass) (Andrew Nembhard steals)
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Tari Eason blocks Bennedict Mathurin's two point driving floating jump shot
Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Bennedict Mathurin, Aaron Nesmith, Tony Bradley, Andrew Nembhard)
Pacers 60 second timeout
+2
Kevin Durant makes two point stepback jump shot
51-78
Steven Adams defensive rebound
Aaron Nesmith misses two point pullup jump shot
+3
Jabari Smith Jr. makes three point jump shot (Kevin Durant assists)
51-76
Tari Eason offensive rebound
Jabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Jay Huff misses two point driving layup
+3
Jabari Smith Jr. makes three point jump shot (Amen Thompson assists)
51-73
+3
Jay Huff makes three point jump shot (Bennedict Mathurin assists)
51-70
Andrew Nembhard personal foul (Loose ball) (Steven Adams draws the foul)
+2
Amen Thompson makes two point pullup jump shot
48-70
Jay Huff defensive rebound
Steven Adams misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Andrew Nembhard turnover
Andrew Nembhard turnover
Jay Huff misses two point layup
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Jay Huff offensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Kevin Durant makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
48-68
Andrew Nembhard misses three point fadeaway jump shot
End of 1st Half.
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Steven Adams, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason)
Start of 3rd Quarter
Pacers offensive rebound
Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Bennedict Mathurin, Aaron Nesmith, Jay Huff, Andrew Nembhard)
Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Aaron Nesmith, Jarace Walker, Kam Jones, Andrew Nembhard)
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Josh Okogie)
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
48-65
Johnny Furphy personal foul (Jabari Smith Jr. draws the foul)
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
48-66
+2
Pascal Siakam makes two point turnaround fadeaway bank jump shot
48-64
Kevin Durant misses two point driving floating jump shot
Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
+2
Johnny Furphy makes two point driving layup (Pascal Siakam assists)
46-64
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
+2
Amen Thompson makes two point putback layup
44-64
Kevin Durant misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Pascal Siakam makes two point turnaround fadeaway bank jump shot
44-62
Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
Jabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot
+2
Johnny Furphy makes two point running layup (Jarace Walker assists)
42-62
Josh Okogie misses two point running layup
Andrew Nembhard defensive rebound
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Jabari Smith Jr. blocks Pascal Siakam's two point driving layup
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
40-62
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
40-61
Johnny Furphy shooting foul (Amen Thompson draws the foul)
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Pascal Siakam turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Jabari Smith Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Johnny Furphy, Jarace Walker, Kam Jones, Andrew Nembhard)
Pacers offensive rebound
Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Jarace Walker, Kam Jones, Tony Bradley, Andrew Nembhard)
Reed Sheppard shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)
Pascal Siakam misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Josh Okogie)
Pascal Siakam misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+2
Tari Eason makes two point reverse layup
40-60
Tari Eason offensive rebound
Aaron Nesmith blocks Tari Eason's three point jump shot
+2
Pascal Siakam makes two point driving layup
40-58
Kevin Durant turnover (bad pass) (Jay Huff steals)
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Andrew Nembhard misses two point driving layup
+2
Tari Eason makes two point driving finger roll layup
38-58
Jay Huff defensive goaltending violation
Pascal Siakam misses two point turnaround hook shot
Steven Adams defensive rebound
+2
Kevin Durant makes two point fadeaway jump shot
38-56
+2
Pascal Siakam makes two point driving floating bank jump shot
38-54
Rockets turnover (shot clock violation)
Josh Okogie defensive rebound
Aaron Nesmith misses three point pullup jump shot
Aaron Nesmith personal foul (Tari Eason draws the foul)
+1
Tari Eason makes regular free throw 2 of 2
36-54
Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Aaron Nesmith, Jay Huff, Kam Jones, Andrew Nembhard)
+1
Tari Eason makes regular free throw 1 of 2
36-53
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Jay Huff misses three point jump shot
+2
Reed Sheppard makes two point driving finger roll layup
36-52
+3
Aaron Nesmith makes three point jump shot (Jarace Walker assists)
36-50
Pacers lineup change (Aaron Nesmith, Jay Huff, Jarace Walker, Kam Jones, Andrew Nembhard)
+2
Steven Adams makes two point floating jump shot (Kevin Durant assists)
33-50
Pacers lineup change (Aaron Nesmith, Jay Huff, Jarace Walker, Kam Jones, Andrew Nembhard)
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Steven Adams, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Josh Okogie)
Bennedict Mathurin personal foul (Steven Adams draws the foul)
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Steven Adams, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Josh Okogie)
Pacers lineup change (Bennedict Mathurin, Aaron Nesmith, Jay Huff, Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard)
Pacers lineup change (Aaron Nesmith, Jay Huff, Jarace Walker, Kam Jones, Andrew Nembhard)
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Steven Adams, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Josh Okogie)
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Bennedict Mathurin misses two point jump shot
+2
Jabari Smith Jr. makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
33-48
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Andrew Nembhard misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Amen Thompson makes two point running alley-oop layup (Jabari Smith Jr. assists)
33-46
Pacers 60 second timeout
Pacers lineup change (Bennedict Mathurin, Aaron Nesmith, Jay Huff, Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard)
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Jabari Smith Jr. blocks Jay Huff's two point alley-oop layup
+3
Jabari Smith Jr. makes three point pullup jump shot (Tari Eason assists)
33-44
Tari Eason offensive rebound
Reed Sheppard misses three point stepback jump shot
+2
T.J. McConnell makes two point pullup jump shot
33-41
Aaron Nesmith defensive rebound
Micah Potter shooting foul (Steven Adams draws the foul)
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Bennedict Mathurin, Jay Huff, Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard)
Steven Adams misses regular free throw 1 of 1
+2
Steven Adams makes two point reverse layup (Amen Thompson assists)
31-41
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Aaron Nesmith, Jay Huff, Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard)
Bennedict Mathurin personal foul (Amen Thompson draws the foul)
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Bennedict Mathurin, Jarace Walker, Micah Potter, Andrew Nembhard)
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Bennedict Mathurin, Jay Huff, Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard)
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Bennedict Mathurin, Aaron Nesmith, Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard)
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Aaron Nesmith, Jarace Walker, Micah Potter, Andrew Nembhard)
Micah Potter offensive foul (Jabari Smith Jr. draws the foul)
Micah Potter turnover (offensive foul)
Clint Capela offensive rebound
+2
Clint Capela makes two point putback layup
31-39
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Bennedict Mathurin, Aaron Nesmith, Jarace Walker, Micah Potter)
Pacers 60 second timeout
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Reed Sheppard, Jabari Smith Jr., Steven Adams, Tari Eason)
Micah Potter blocks Amen Thompson's two point running layup
Clint Capela defensive rebound
T.J. McConnell misses two point fadeaway jump shot
+3
Dorian Finney-Smith makes three point jump shot (Amen Thompson assists)
31-37
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Micah Potter misses three point jump shot
+2
Reed Sheppard makes two point pullup jump shot (Clint Capela assists)
31-34
Jabari Smith Jr. shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)
Pascal Siakam misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pacers offensive rebound
+1
Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 2
31-32
+2
Reed Sheppard makes two point pullup jump shot
30-32
+3
Bennedict Mathurin makes three point running pullup jump shot
30-30
Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
Amen Thompson misses two point driving floating jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Reed Sheppard shooting foul (T.J. McConnell draws the foul)
+1
T.J. McConnell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
26-30
+1
T.J. McConnell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
27-30
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Pascal Siakam, Bennedict Mathurin, Johnny Furphy, Micah Potter)
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Clint Capela misses two point hook shot
Bennedict Mathurin personal foul (Amen Thompson draws the foul)
Rockets offensive rebound
Reed Sheppard misses three point jump shot
End of 1st Quarter.
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Pascal Siakam, Bennedict Mathurin, Jarace Walker, Micah Potter)
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Reed Sheppard, Dorian Finney-Smith, Jabari Smith Jr., Clint Capela)
Start of 2nd Quarter
Rockets defensive rebound
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Pascal Siakam, Aaron Nesmith, Jarace Walker, Micah Potter)
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Reed Sheppard, Jabari Smith Jr., Steven Adams, Kevin Durant)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pascal Siakam misses three point pullup jump shot
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Josh Okogie)
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 3
25-29
Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)
Jay Huff shooting foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 3
25-30
Kevin Durant misses regular free throw 3 of 3
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Pascal Siakam, Bennedict Mathurin, Aaron Nesmith, Jarace Walker)
Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound
Pascal Siakam misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
+2
Kevin Durant makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
25-28
+3
Jarace Walker makes three point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)
25-26
+3
Josh Okogie makes three point jump shot (Reed Sheppard assists)
22-26
Josh Okogie defensive rebound
Pascal Siakam misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
+3
Kevin Durant makes three point jump shot (Reed Sheppard assists)
22-23
Rockets 60 second timeout
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Dorian Finney-Smith, Kevin Durant, Clint Capela, Josh Okogie)
+3
Aaron Nesmith makes three point pullup jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)
22-20
Aaron Nesmith defensive rebound
Kevin Durant misses three point pullup jump shot
Clint Capela defensive rebound
T.J. McConnell misses two point driving reverse layup
Jay Huff shooting foul (Amen Thompson draws the foul)
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
19-19
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
19-20
+3
Pascal Siakam makes three point running jump shot (Aaron Nesmith assists)
19-18
Dorian Finney-Smith turnover (lost ball) (T.J. McConnell steals)
+3
Aaron Nesmith makes three point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)
16-18
Pacers 60 second timeout
+2
Tari Eason makes two point running finger roll layup
13-18
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Pascal Siakam, Aaron Nesmith, Jay Huff, Jarace Walker)
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Reed Sheppard, Dorian Finney-Smith, Kevin Durant, Clint Capela)
Jay Huff turnover (lost ball) (Tari Eason steals)
+2
Amen Thompson makes two point floating jump shot (Kevin Durant assists)
13-16
Aaron Nesmith offensive rebound
+3
Jay Huff makes three point jump shot (Aaron Nesmith assists)
13-14
Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
Amen Thompson misses three point pullup jump shot
+3
Jarace Walker makes three point jump shot (Jay Huff assists)
10-14
Amen Thompson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
+2
Andrew Nembhard makes two point driving finger roll layup
7-14
Jay Huff blocks Steven Adams's two point driving layup
Rockets offensive rebound
Rockets turnover (shot clock violation)
Tony Bradley personal foul (Steven Adams draws the foul)
Pacers lineup change (Bennedict Mathurin, Aaron Nesmith, Jay Huff, Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard)
Steven Adams offensive rebound
Jabari Smith Jr. misses two point driving finger roll layup
Rockets 60 second timeout
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Andrew Nembhard misses three point jump shot
+2
Kevin Durant makes two point fadeaway jump shot
5-14
+2
Bennedict Mathurin makes two point driving floating jump shot
5-12
Tony Bradley shooting foul (Amen Thompson draws the foul)
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
3-12
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
3-11
Andrew Nembhard turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
+2
Kevin Durant makes two point fadeaway jump shot
3-10
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Andrew Nembhard misses three point pullup jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
Kevin Durant misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Bennedict Mathurin misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Amen Thompson makes two point driving finger roll layup
3-8
Tari Eason shooting foul (Andrew Nembhard draws the foul)
Andrew Nembhard misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pacers offensive rebound
+1
Andrew Nembhard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
3-6
+2
Kevin Durant makes two point pullup jump shot (Amen Thompson assists)
2-6
Andrew Nembhard shooting foul (Steven Adams draws the foul)
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
+1
Steven Adams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
2-4
Steven Adams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Andrew Nembhard misses two point pullup jump shot
Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Bennedict Mathurin, Johnny Furphy, Tony Bradley, Andrew Nembhard)
+1
Steven Adams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
2-3
Tony Bradley defensive rebound
Steven Adams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Johnny Furphy shooting foul (Steven Adams draws the foul)
Steven Adams offensive rebound
Kevin Durant misses three point jump shot
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Pascal Siakam misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Jabari Smith Jr. personal foul (Andrew Nembhard draws the foul)
+2
Steven Adams makes two point driving dunk
2-2
Steven Adams offensive rebound
Kevin Durant misses two point fadeaway jump shot
+2
Jay Huff makes two point reverse dunk (Bennedict Mathurin assists)
2-0
Jay Huff offensive rebound
Bennedict Mathurin misses two point pullup jump shot
Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Bennedict Mathurin, Johnny Furphy, Jay Huff, Andrew Nembhard)
Jay Huff vs. Steven Adams (Bennedict Mathurin gains possession)
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Steven Adams, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason)
Start of 1st Quarter
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Pacers vs. Rockets: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Pacers vs. Rockets
- Date: Monday, December 29, 2025
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Toyota Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Rockets favored at -12.5
- Total (Over/Under): 223
- Moneyline Odds: Pacers +500, Rockets -600
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Pacers: 18%
- Rockets: 82%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pacers 106-117 Rockets.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pacers a win probability of 18%, while the Rockets have a win probability of 82%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Rockets are more likely to beat the Pacers in the NBA game at Toyota Center on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Pacers vs. Rockets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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