Pacers vs. Rockets Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pacers vs. Rockets NBA game on December 29, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
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NBA
Pacers
119
126
Toyota Center
Rockets
Toyota Center
TEAM1234T
Pacers
25 23 30 41 119
Rockets
30 36 39 21 126
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pacers
    <1%
  • Rockets
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Pacers
25 23 30 41 119
Rockets
30 36 39 21 126
Q4 00:19 Aaron Holiday misses two point driving floating jump shot
Q4 00:41 Quenton Jackson makes two point driving layup
Q4 1:04 Kam Jones misses two point driving floating jump shot
Q4 1:19 Quenton Jackson makes three point stepback jump shot (Micah Potter assists)
Q4 1:23 Taelon Peter makes three point jump shot (Micah Potter assists)
Q4 1:53 Ethan Thompson makes two point stepback jump shot (Micah Potter assists)
Q4 2:04 Jeff Green makes two point driving finger roll layup (JD Davison assists)
Q4 2:26 Micah Potter makes two point turnaround bank hook shot (Ethan Thompson assists)
Q4 2:39 Jae'Sean Tate misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Q4 3:07 Taelon Peter makes three point running jump shot (Micah Potter assists)
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:11
    Quenton Jackson turnover (bad pass) (JD Davison steals)
  3. Q4 00:16
    Taelon Peter defensive rebound
  4. Q4 00:19
    Aaron Holiday misses two point driving floating jump shot
  5. Q4 00:41
    +2
    Quenton Jackson makes two point driving layup
    119-126
  6. Q4 00:42
    JD Davison turnover (bad pass) (Quenton Jackson steals)
  7. Q4 00:55
    +1
    Quenton Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    116-126
  8. Q4 00:55
    JD Davison personal foul (Quenton Jackson draws the foul)
  9. Q4 00:55
    +1
    Quenton Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    117-126
  10. Q4 00:58
    Jeff Green turnover (bad pass) (Taelon Peter steals)
  11. Q4 1:03
    Josh Okogie defensive rebound
  12. Q4 1:04
    Kam Jones misses two point driving floating jump shot
  13. Q4 1:10
    Rockets turnover (8-second violation)
  14. Q4 1:19
    +3
    Quenton Jackson makes three point stepback jump shot (Micah Potter assists)
    115-126
  15. Q4 1:23
    +3
    Taelon Peter makes three point jump shot (Micah Potter assists)
    112-126
  16. Q4 1:23
    Josh Okogie shooting foul (Taelon Peter draws the foul)
  17. Q4 1:23
    Taelon Peter misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  18. Q4 1:23
    Micah Potter offensive rebound
  19. Q4 1:34
    +1
    JD Davison makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    109-125
  20. Q4 1:34
    +1
    JD Davison makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    109-126
  21. Q4 1:34
    Ethan Thompson shooting foul (JD Davison draws the foul)
  22. Q4 1:53
    +2
    Ethan Thompson makes two point stepback jump shot (Micah Potter assists)
    109-124
  23. Q4 2:04
    +2
    Jeff Green makes two point driving finger roll layup (JD Davison assists)
    107-124
  24. Q4 2:26
    Rockets lineup change (Jeff Green, Jae'Sean Tate, Aaron Holiday, JD Davison, Josh Okogie)
  25. Q4 2:26
    Jabari Smith Jr. shooting foul (Micah Potter draws the foul)
  26. Q4 2:26
    +1
    Micah Potter makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    107-122
  27. Q4 2:26
    +2
    Micah Potter makes two point turnaround bank hook shot (Ethan Thompson assists)
    106-122
  28. Q4 2:38
    Micah Potter defensive rebound
  29. Q4 2:39
    Jae'Sean Tate misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
  30. Q4 3:07
    +3
    Taelon Peter makes three point running jump shot (Micah Potter assists)
    104-122
  31. Q4 3:14
    Micah Potter defensive rebound
  32. Q4 3:17
    Jabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot
  33. Q4 3:29
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  34. Q4 3:29
    Micah Potter misses two point cutting layup
  35. Q4 3:42
    Pacers lineup change (Quenton Jackson, Ethan Thompson, Kam Jones, Taelon Peter, Micah Potter)
  36. Q4 3:42
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jae'Sean Tate, Jabari Smith Jr., Aaron Holiday, Josh Okogie)
  37. Q4 3:42
    Pacers 60 second timeout
  38. Q4 3:44
    +3
    Tari Eason makes three point jump shot (Jae'Sean Tate assists)
    101-122
  39. Q4 4:01
    Tari Eason defensive rebound
  40. Q4 4:04
    Aaron Nesmith misses three point jump shot
  41. Q4 4:09
    Aaron Nesmith offensive rebound
  42. Q4 4:10
    Bennedict Mathurin misses three point pullup jump shot
  43. Q4 4:21
    +2
    Jae'Sean Tate makes two point driving layup
    101-119
  44. Q4 4:45
    +3
    Bennedict Mathurin makes three point running jump shot (Aaron Nesmith assists)
    101-117
  45. Q4 4:50
    Kevin Durant turnover (lost ball) (Johnny Furphy steals)
  46. Q4 5:17
    +2
    Aaron Nesmith makes two point driving dunk (Bennedict Mathurin assists)
    98-117
  47. Q4 5:33
    Amen Thompson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
  48. Q4 5:33
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jae'Sean Tate, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Tari Eason)
  49. Q4 5:36
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  50. Q4 5:38
    Johnny Furphy misses three point fadeaway jump shot
  51. Q4 5:57
    Dorian Finney-Smith personal foul (Andrew Nembhard draws the foul)
  52. Q4 6:02
    Jae'Sean Tate misses three point jump shot
  53. Q4 6:02
    Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
  54. Q4 6:28
    +2
    Pascal Siakam makes two point driving finger roll layup
    96-117
  55. Q4 6:45
    +2
    Kevin Durant makes two point driving floating jump shot (Amen Thompson assists)
    94-117
  56. Q4 6:53
    Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Bennedict Mathurin, Aaron Nesmith, Johnny Furphy, Andrew Nembhard)
  57. Q4 6:53
    Micah Potter personal foul (Dorian Finney-Smith draws the foul)
  58. Q4 6:54
    Micah Potter personal foul (Amen Thompson draws the foul)
  59. Q4 7:03
    Pascal Siakam misses two point jump shot
  60. Q4 7:04
    Pascal Siakam misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  61. Q4 7:04
    +1
    Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    94-115
  62. Q4 7:04
    Dorian Finney-Smith shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)
  63. Q4 7:04
    Pacers offensive rebound
  64. Q4 7:04
    Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Bennedict Mathurin, Aaron Nesmith, Micah Potter, Andrew Nembhard)
  65. Q4 7:04
    Dorian Finney-Smith personal foul
  66. Q4 7:11
    Amen Thompson offensive rebound
  67. Q4 7:11
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    93-115
  68. Q4 7:11
    Jay Huff shooting foul (Amen Thompson draws the foul)
  69. Q4 7:11
    Reed Sheppard misses two point driving finger roll layup
  70. Q4 7:11
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    93-114
  71. Q4 7:11
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jae'Sean Tate, Dorian Finney-Smith, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason)
  72. Q4 7:22
    Kam Jones personal foul (Take) (Reed Sheppard draws the foul)
  73. Q4 7:22
    Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Bennedict Mathurin, Aaron Nesmith, Jay Huff, Andrew Nembhard)
  74. Q4 7:23
    Rockets defensive rebound
  75. Q4 7:23
    Jarace Walker misses three point jump shot
  76. Q4 7:23
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  77. Q4 7:35
    +2
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes two point putback layup
    93-113
  78. Q4 7:37
    Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
  79. Q4 7:39
    Kevin Durant misses three point jump shot
  80. Q4 7:42
    Amen Thompson offensive rebound
  81. Q4 7:44
    Jabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot
  82. Q4 8:03
    +2
    Kam Jones makes two point driving finger roll layup
    93-111
  83. Q4 8:03
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  84. Q4 8:05
    Jabari Smith Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Jarace Walker steals)
  85. Q4 8:23
    +2
    T.J. McConnell makes two point driving finger roll layup (Micah Potter assists)
    91-111
  86. Q4 8:35
    +2
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes two point putback layup
    89-111
  87. Q4 8:36
    Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
  88. Q4 8:39
    Reed Sheppard misses three point jump shot
  89. Q4 8:53
    Reed Sheppard shooting foul (Johnny Furphy draws the foul)
  90. Q4 8:53
    Johnny Furphy misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  91. Q4 8:53
    +2
    Johnny Furphy makes two point running layup (Kam Jones assists)
    89-109
  92. Q4 8:53
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Reed Sheppard, Jae'Sean Tate, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant)
  93. Q4 8:53
    Clint Capela defensive goaltending violation
  94. Q4 8:53
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  95. Q4 8:55
    Jabari Smith Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Kam Jones steals)
  96. Q4 9:14
    +2
    Jarace Walker makes two point driving floating jump shot (Johnny Furphy assists)
    87-109
  97. Q4 9:26
    Kam Jones defensive rebound
  98. Q4 9:27
    Jabari Smith Jr. misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
  99. Q4 9:41
    Jarace Walker turnover (lost ball) (Reed Sheppard steals)
  100. Q4 9:48
    +2
    Reed Sheppard makes two point driving floating jump shot
    85-109
  101. Q4 10:09
    +2
    Jarace Walker makes two point stepback jump shot (Micah Potter assists)
    85-107
  102. Q4 10:25
    Clint Capela personal foul (Loose ball) (Johnny Furphy draws the foul)
  103. Q4 10:25
    Pacers defensive rebound
  104. Q4 10:26
    Jabari Smith Jr. misses two point jump shot
  105. Q4 10:45
    +2
    Kam Jones makes two point driving hook shot (T.J. McConnell assists)
    83-107
  106. Q4 11:01
    +2
    Clint Capela makes two point driving hook shot (Reed Sheppard assists)
    81-107
  107. Q4 11:18
    +3
    Johnny Furphy makes three point jump shot (Jarace Walker assists)
    81-105
  108. Q4 11:25
    Jabari Smith Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Kam Jones steals)
  109. Q4 11:43
    Clint Capela defensive rebound
  110. Q4 11:46
    T.J. McConnell misses two point pullup jump shot
  111. Q3 00:00
    Pacers offensive rebound
  112. Q4 12:00
    Start of 4th Quarter
  113. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  114. Q3 00:00
    Pacers misses heave shot
  115. Q4 12:00
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Reed Sheppard, Jabari Smith Jr., Clint Capela, Tari Eason)
  116. Q4 12:00
    Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Johnny Furphy, Jarace Walker, Kam Jones, Micah Potter)
  117. Q3 00:01
    +3
    Dorian Finney-Smith makes three point stepback jump shot (Kevin Durant assists)
    78-105
  118. Q3 00:09
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Reed Sheppard, Dorian Finney-Smith, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant)
  119. Q3 00:09
    T.J. McConnell personal foul (Amen Thompson draws the foul)
  120. Q3 00:24
    +2
    Jarace Walker makes two point driving floating jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)
    78-102
  121. Q3 00:31
    +2
    Amen Thompson makes two point stepback jump shot
    76-102
  122. Q3 00:42
    Clint Capela defensive rebound
  123. Q3 00:43
    Jay Huff misses three point jump shot
  124. Q3 1:00
    Pacers 60 second timeout
  125. Q3 1:01
    +2
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot
    76-100
  126. Q3 1:12
    Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound
  127. Q3 1:13
    T.J. McConnell misses two point pullup jump shot
  128. Q3 1:22
    +2
    Reed Sheppard makes two point driving floating bank jump shot
    76-98
  129. Q3 1:34
    T.J. McConnell turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
  130. Q3 1:38
    T.J. McConnell offensive rebound
  131. Q3 1:39
    Kam Jones misses three point jump shot
  132. Q3 2:00
    Amen Thompson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
  133. Q3 2:08
    T.J. McConnell misses two point pullup jump shot
  134. Q3 2:08
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  135. Q3 2:20
    Clint Capela misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  136. Q3 2:20
    +2
    Clint Capela makes two point driving reverse layup
    76-96
  137. Q3 2:20
    Jay Huff shooting foul (Clint Capela draws the foul)
  138. Q3 2:20
    Jay Huff defensive rebound
  139. Q3 2:20
    Clint Capela offensive rebound
  140. Q3 2:20
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Reed Sheppard, Dorian Finney-Smith, Jabari Smith Jr., Clint Capela)
  141. Q3 2:20
    Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Johnny Furphy, Jay Huff, Jarace Walker, Kam Jones)
  142. Q3 2:23
    Dorian Finney-Smith misses three point running jump shot
  143. Q3 2:25
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  144. Q3 2:29
    Amen Thompson blocks Jarace Walker's two point driving layup
  145. Q3 2:47
    +3
    Reed Sheppard makes three point jump shot (Amen Thompson assists)
    76-94
  146. Q3 3:02
    +1
    Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    76-91
  147. Q3 3:02
    Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Pascal Siakam, Bennedict Mathurin, Jay Huff, Jarace Walker)
  148. Q3 3:02
    Dorian Finney-Smith shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)
  149. Q3 3:02
    +1
    Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    75-91
  150. Q3 3:07
    Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
  151. Q3 3:08
    Reed Sheppard misses three point jump shot
  152. Q3 3:19
    Pascal Siakam turnover (lost ball) (Reed Sheppard steals)
  153. Q3 3:27
    +2
    Kevin Durant makes two point fadeaway jump shot
    74-91
  154. Q3 3:54
    +3
    Andrew Nembhard makes three point jump shot (Bennedict Mathurin assists)
    74-89
  155. Q3 4:02
    Reed Sheppard turnover (lost ball) (Andrew Nembhard steals)
  156. Q3 4:11
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Reed Sheppard, Dorian Finney-Smith, Kevin Durant, Clint Capela)
  157. Q3 4:11
    Jump ball. Jarace Walker vs. Reed Sheppard (Andrew Nembhard gains possession)
  158. Q3 4:11
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Dorian Finney-Smith, Steven Adams, Kevin Durant, Clint Capela)
  159. Q3 4:16
    Tari Eason defensive rebound
  160. Q3 4:19
    Andrew Nembhard misses two point running layup
  161. Q3 4:25
    Tony Bradley defensive rebound
  162. Q3 4:25
    Reed Sheppard misses two point driving finger roll layup
  163. Q3 4:37
    +3
    Bennedict Mathurin makes three point pullup jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)
    71-89
  164. Q3 4:43
    +2
    Kevin Durant makes two point pullup jump shot
    68-89
  165. Q3 5:01
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  166. Q3 5:07
    +2
    Pascal Siakam makes two point running dunk
    68-87
  167. Q3 5:07
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Dorian Finney-Smith, Steven Adams, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason)
  168. Q3 5:07
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  169. Q3 5:07
    Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Bennedict Mathurin, Jarace Walker, Tony Bradley, Andrew Nembhard)
  170. Q3 5:09
    Tari Eason turnover (bad pass) (Pascal Siakam steals)
  171. Q3 5:33
    +2
    Andrew Nembhard makes two point running layup
    66-87
  172. Q3 5:36
    Reed Sheppard turnover (bad pass) (Andrew Nembhard steals)
  173. Q3 5:52
    +2
    Pascal Siakam makes two point driving layup
    64-87
  174. Q3 5:59
    Pacers defensive rebound
  175. Q3 5:59
    Steven Adams personal foul (Loose ball) (Tony Bradley draws the foul)
  176. Q3 6:00
    Tari Eason misses three point jump shot
  177. Q3 6:13
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  178. Q3 6:15
    Andrew Nembhard misses two point stepback jump shot
  179. Q3 6:21
    Tari Eason offensive foul (Bennedict Mathurin draws the foul)
  180. Q3 6:21
    Tari Eason turnover (offensive foul)
  181. Q3 6:34
    +1
    Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    61-87
  182. Q3 6:34
    +1
    Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    62-87
  183. Q3 6:34
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Jabari Smith Jr., Steven Adams, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason)
  184. Q3 6:34
    Steven Adams shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)
  185. Q3 6:43
    +2
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Kevin Durant assists)
    60-87
  186. Q3 7:09
    +3
    Aaron Nesmith makes three point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)
    60-85
  187. Q3 7:15
    +2
    Tari Eason makes two point driving finger roll layup
    57-85
  188. Q3 7:27
    Aaron Nesmith turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  189. Q3 7:32
    Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
  190. Q3 7:32
    Tari Eason misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
  191. Q3 7:47
    Pascal Siakam misses three point jump shot
  192. Q3 7:47
    Tari Eason defensive rebound
  193. Q3 7:59
    +2
    Kevin Durant makes two point turnaround jump shot (Jabari Smith Jr. assists)
    57-83
  194. Q3 8:15
    +3
    Andrew Nembhard makes three point pullup jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)
    57-81
  195. Q3 8:17
    Pascal Siakam offensive rebound
  196. Q3 8:20
    Bennedict Mathurin misses three point jump shot
  197. Q3 8:28
    Bennedict Mathurin offensive rebound
  198. Q3 8:31
    Pascal Siakam misses two point driving finger roll layup
  199. Q3 8:35
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  200. Q3 8:35
    Tari Eason personal foul (Away from play) (Bennedict Mathurin draws the foul)
  201. Q3 8:35
    +1
    Bennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    54-81
  202. Q3 8:36
    Tony Bradley offensive rebound
  203. Q3 8:36
    Pacers offensive rebound
  204. Q3 8:36
    Kevin Durant blocks Tony Bradley's two point putback layup
  205. Q3 8:37
    Jabari Smith Jr. blocks Andrew Nembhard's two point driving layup
  206. Q3 8:43
    +3
    Kevin Durant makes three point jump shot (Amen Thompson assists)
    53-81
  207. Q3 8:59
    +2
    Bennedict Mathurin makes two point running finger roll layup (Andrew Nembhard assists)
    53-78
  208. Q3 9:03
    Kevin Durant turnover (bad pass) (Andrew Nembhard steals)
  209. Q3 9:22
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  210. Q3 9:26
    Tari Eason blocks Bennedict Mathurin's two point driving floating jump shot
  211. Q3 9:46
    Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Bennedict Mathurin, Aaron Nesmith, Tony Bradley, Andrew Nembhard)
  212. Q3 9:46
    Pacers 60 second timeout
  213. Q3 9:47
    +2
    Kevin Durant makes two point stepback jump shot
    51-78
  214. Q3 10:00
    Steven Adams defensive rebound
  215. Q3 10:02
    Aaron Nesmith misses two point pullup jump shot
  216. Q3 10:15
    +3
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes three point jump shot (Kevin Durant assists)
    51-76
  217. Q3 10:18
    Tari Eason offensive rebound
  218. Q3 10:21
    Jabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot
  219. Q3 10:27
    Tari Eason defensive rebound
  220. Q3 10:29
    Jay Huff misses two point driving layup
  221. Q3 10:46
    +3
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes three point jump shot (Amen Thompson assists)
    51-73
  222. Q3 11:04
    +3
    Jay Huff makes three point jump shot (Bennedict Mathurin assists)
    51-70
  223. Q3 11:13
    Andrew Nembhard personal foul (Loose ball) (Steven Adams draws the foul)
  224. Q3 11:13
    +2
    Amen Thompson makes two point pullup jump shot
    48-70
  225. Q3 11:13
    Jay Huff defensive rebound
  226. Q3 11:13
    Steven Adams misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  227. Q3 11:13
    Andrew Nembhard turnover
  228. Q3 11:13
    Andrew Nembhard turnover
  229. Q3 11:24
    Jay Huff misses two point layup
  230. Q3 11:24
    Tari Eason defensive rebound
  231. Q3 11:24
    Jay Huff offensive rebound
  232. Q3 11:28
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  233. Q3 11:42
    +2
    Kevin Durant makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
    48-68
  234. Q2 00:00
    Andrew Nembhard misses three point fadeaway jump shot
  235. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  236. Q3 12:00
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Steven Adams, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason)
  237. Q3 12:00
    Start of 3rd Quarter
  238. Q2 00:00
    Pacers offensive rebound
  239. Q3 12:00
    Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Bennedict Mathurin, Aaron Nesmith, Jay Huff, Andrew Nembhard)
  240. Q2 00:09
    Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Aaron Nesmith, Jarace Walker, Kam Jones, Andrew Nembhard)
  241. Q2 00:09
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Josh Okogie)
  242. Q2 00:09
    +1
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    48-65
  243. Q2 00:09
    Johnny Furphy personal foul (Jabari Smith Jr. draws the foul)
  244. Q2 00:09
    +1
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    48-66
  245. Q2 00:23
    +2
    Pascal Siakam makes two point turnaround fadeaway bank jump shot
    48-64
  246. Q2 00:31
    Kevin Durant misses two point driving floating jump shot
  247. Q2 00:31
    Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
  248. Q2 00:42
    +2
    Johnny Furphy makes two point driving layup (Pascal Siakam assists)
    46-64
  249. Q2 00:56
    Amen Thompson offensive rebound
  250. Q2 00:56
    +2
    Amen Thompson makes two point putback layup
    44-64
  251. Q2 00:58
    Kevin Durant misses three point pullup jump shot
  252. Q2 1:24
    +2
    Pascal Siakam makes two point turnaround fadeaway bank jump shot
    44-62
  253. Q2 1:34
    Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
  254. Q2 1:34
    Jabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot
  255. Q2 1:53
    +2
    Johnny Furphy makes two point running layup (Jarace Walker assists)
    42-62
  256. Q2 2:00
    Josh Okogie misses two point running layup
  257. Q2 2:00
    Andrew Nembhard defensive rebound
  258. Q2 2:05
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  259. Q2 2:07
    Jabari Smith Jr. blocks Pascal Siakam's two point driving layup
  260. Q2 2:23
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    40-62
  261. Q2 2:23
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    40-61
  262. Q2 2:23
    Johnny Furphy shooting foul (Amen Thompson draws the foul)
  263. Q2 2:37
    Jarace Walker defensive rebound
  264. Q2 2:37
    Pascal Siakam turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  265. Q2 2:41
    Jabari Smith Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot
  266. Q2 2:55
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  267. Q2 2:56
    Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Johnny Furphy, Jarace Walker, Kam Jones, Andrew Nembhard)
  268. Q2 2:56
    Pacers offensive rebound
  269. Q2 2:56
    Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Jarace Walker, Kam Jones, Tony Bradley, Andrew Nembhard)
  270. Q2 2:56
    Reed Sheppard shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)
  271. Q2 2:56
    Pascal Siakam misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  272. Q2 2:56
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Josh Okogie)
  273. Q2 2:56
    Pascal Siakam misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  274. Q2 2:58
    +2
    Tari Eason makes two point reverse layup
    40-60
  275. Q2 3:00
    Tari Eason offensive rebound
  276. Q2 3:03
    Aaron Nesmith blocks Tari Eason's three point jump shot
  277. Q2 3:25
    +2
    Pascal Siakam makes two point driving layup
    40-58
  278. Q2 3:36
    Kevin Durant turnover (bad pass) (Jay Huff steals)
  279. Q2 3:45
    Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
  280. Q2 3:47
    Andrew Nembhard misses two point driving layup
  281. Q2 4:01
    +2
    Tari Eason makes two point driving finger roll layup
    38-58
  282. Q2 4:01
    Jay Huff defensive goaltending violation
  283. Q2 4:18
    Pascal Siakam misses two point turnaround hook shot
  284. Q2 4:18
    Steven Adams defensive rebound
  285. Q2 4:32
    +2
    Kevin Durant makes two point fadeaway jump shot
    38-56
  286. Q2 4:55
    +2
    Pascal Siakam makes two point driving floating bank jump shot
    38-54
  287. Q2 5:02
    Rockets turnover (shot clock violation)
  288. Q2 5:24
    Josh Okogie defensive rebound
  289. Q2 5:27
    Aaron Nesmith misses three point pullup jump shot
  290. Q2 5:34
    Aaron Nesmith personal foul (Tari Eason draws the foul)
  291. Q2 5:34
    +1
    Tari Eason makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    36-54
  292. Q2 5:34
    Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Aaron Nesmith, Jay Huff, Kam Jones, Andrew Nembhard)
  293. Q2 5:34
    +1
    Tari Eason makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    36-53
  294. Q2 5:40
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  295. Q2 5:41
    Jay Huff misses three point jump shot
  296. Q2 6:03
    +2
    Reed Sheppard makes two point driving finger roll layup
    36-52
  297. Q2 6:19
    +3
    Aaron Nesmith makes three point jump shot (Jarace Walker assists)
    36-50
  298. Q2 6:29
    Pacers lineup change (Aaron Nesmith, Jay Huff, Jarace Walker, Kam Jones, Andrew Nembhard)
  299. Q2 6:33
    +2
    Steven Adams makes two point floating jump shot (Kevin Durant assists)
    33-50
  300. Q2 6:50
    Pacers lineup change (Aaron Nesmith, Jay Huff, Jarace Walker, Kam Jones, Andrew Nembhard)
  301. Q2 6:50
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Steven Adams, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Josh Okogie)
  302. Q2 6:50
    Bennedict Mathurin personal foul (Steven Adams draws the foul)
  303. Q2 6:50
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Steven Adams, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Josh Okogie)
  304. Q2 6:50
    Pacers lineup change (Bennedict Mathurin, Aaron Nesmith, Jay Huff, Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard)
  305. Q2 6:51
    Pacers lineup change (Aaron Nesmith, Jay Huff, Jarace Walker, Kam Jones, Andrew Nembhard)
  306. Q2 6:51
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Steven Adams, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Josh Okogie)
  307. Q2 7:00
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  308. Q2 7:01
    Bennedict Mathurin misses two point jump shot
  309. Q2 7:15
    +2
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
    33-48
  310. Q2 7:31
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  311. Q2 7:34
    Andrew Nembhard misses two point pullup jump shot
  312. Q2 7:49
    +2
    Amen Thompson makes two point running alley-oop layup (Jabari Smith Jr. assists)
    33-46
  313. Q2 7:49
    Pacers 60 second timeout
  314. Q2 7:49
    Pacers lineup change (Bennedict Mathurin, Aaron Nesmith, Jay Huff, Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard)
  315. Q2 7:53
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  316. Q2 7:55
    Jabari Smith Jr. blocks Jay Huff's two point alley-oop layup
  317. Q2 8:06
    +3
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes three point pullup jump shot (Tari Eason assists)
    33-44
  318. Q2 8:08
    Tari Eason offensive rebound
  319. Q2 8:11
    Reed Sheppard misses three point stepback jump shot
  320. Q2 8:24
    +2
    T.J. McConnell makes two point pullup jump shot
    33-41
  321. Q2 8:44
    Aaron Nesmith defensive rebound
  322. Q2 8:44
    Micah Potter shooting foul (Steven Adams draws the foul)
  323. Q2 8:44
    Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Bennedict Mathurin, Jay Huff, Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard)
  324. Q2 8:44
    Steven Adams misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  325. Q2 8:44
    +2
    Steven Adams makes two point reverse layup (Amen Thompson assists)
    31-41
  326. Q2 8:44
    Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Aaron Nesmith, Jay Huff, Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard)
  327. Q2 8:52
    Bennedict Mathurin personal foul (Amen Thompson draws the foul)
  328. Q2 8:52
    Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Bennedict Mathurin, Jarace Walker, Micah Potter, Andrew Nembhard)
  329. Q2 8:52
    Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Bennedict Mathurin, Jay Huff, Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard)
  330. Q2 8:52
    Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Bennedict Mathurin, Aaron Nesmith, Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard)
  331. Q2 8:52
    Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Aaron Nesmith, Jarace Walker, Micah Potter, Andrew Nembhard)
  332. Q2 9:05
    Micah Potter offensive foul (Jabari Smith Jr. draws the foul)
  333. Q2 9:05
    Micah Potter turnover (offensive foul)
  334. Q2 9:12
    Clint Capela offensive rebound
  335. Q2 9:12
    +2
    Clint Capela makes two point putback layup
    31-39
  336. Q2 9:12
    Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Bennedict Mathurin, Aaron Nesmith, Jarace Walker, Micah Potter)
  337. Q2 9:12
    Pacers 60 second timeout
  338. Q2 9:12
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Reed Sheppard, Jabari Smith Jr., Steven Adams, Tari Eason)
  339. Q2 9:13
    Micah Potter blocks Amen Thompson's two point running layup
  340. Q2 9:21
    Clint Capela defensive rebound
  341. Q2 9:21
    T.J. McConnell misses two point fadeaway jump shot
  342. Q2 9:35
    +3
    Dorian Finney-Smith makes three point jump shot (Amen Thompson assists)
    31-37
  343. Q2 9:44
    Clint Capela defensive rebound
  344. Q2 9:45
    Micah Potter misses three point jump shot
  345. Q2 10:13
    +2
    Reed Sheppard makes two point pullup jump shot (Clint Capela assists)
    31-34
  346. Q2 10:29
    Jabari Smith Jr. shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)
  347. Q2 10:29
    Pascal Siakam misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  348. Q2 10:29
    Pacers offensive rebound
  349. Q2 10:29
    +1
    Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    31-32
  350. Q2 10:40
    +2
    Reed Sheppard makes two point pullup jump shot
    30-32
  351. Q2 10:58
    +3
    Bennedict Mathurin makes three point running pullup jump shot
    30-30
  352. Q2 11:00
    Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
  353. Q2 11:04
    Amen Thompson misses two point driving floating jump shot
  354. Q2 11:17
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  355. Q2 11:25
    Reed Sheppard shooting foul (T.J. McConnell draws the foul)
  356. Q2 11:25
    +1
    T.J. McConnell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    26-30
  357. Q2 11:25
    +1
    T.J. McConnell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    27-30
  358. Q2 11:25
    Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Pascal Siakam, Bennedict Mathurin, Johnny Furphy, Micah Potter)
  359. Q2 11:31
    Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
  360. Q2 11:32
    Clint Capela misses two point hook shot
  361. Q2 11:46
    Bennedict Mathurin personal foul (Amen Thompson draws the foul)
  362. Q1 00:00
    Rockets offensive rebound
  363. Q1 00:00
    Reed Sheppard misses three point jump shot
  364. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  365. Q2 12:00
    Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Pascal Siakam, Bennedict Mathurin, Jarace Walker, Micah Potter)
  366. Q2 12:00
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Reed Sheppard, Dorian Finney-Smith, Jabari Smith Jr., Clint Capela)
  367. Q2 12:00
    Start of 2nd Quarter
  368. Q1 00:24
    Rockets defensive rebound
  369. Q1 00:24
    Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Pascal Siakam, Aaron Nesmith, Jarace Walker, Micah Potter)
  370. Q1 00:24
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Reed Sheppard, Jabari Smith Jr., Steven Adams, Kevin Durant)
  371. Q1 00:24
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  372. Q1 00:26
    Pascal Siakam misses three point pullup jump shot
  373. Q1 00:48
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Josh Okogie)
  374. Q1 00:48
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    25-29
  375. Q1 00:48
    Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)
  376. Q1 00:48
    Jay Huff shooting foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)
  377. Q1 00:48
    Jarace Walker defensive rebound
  378. Q1 00:48
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    25-30
  379. Q1 00:48
    Kevin Durant misses regular free throw 3 of 3
  380. Q1 00:48
    Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Pascal Siakam, Bennedict Mathurin, Aaron Nesmith, Jarace Walker)
  381. Q1 1:06
    Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound
  382. Q1 1:07
    Pascal Siakam misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
  383. Q1 1:15
    +2
    Kevin Durant makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
    25-28
  384. Q1 1:37
    +3
    Jarace Walker makes three point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)
    25-26
  385. Q1 1:52
    +3
    Josh Okogie makes three point jump shot (Reed Sheppard assists)
    22-26
  386. Q1 2:11
    Josh Okogie defensive rebound
  387. Q1 2:12
    Pascal Siakam misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
  388. Q1 2:25
    +3
    Kevin Durant makes three point jump shot (Reed Sheppard assists)
    22-23
  389. Q1 2:43
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  390. Q1 2:43
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Dorian Finney-Smith, Kevin Durant, Clint Capela, Josh Okogie)
  391. Q1 2:44
    +3
    Aaron Nesmith makes three point pullup jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)
    22-20
  392. Q1 2:52
    Aaron Nesmith defensive rebound
  393. Q1 2:53
    Kevin Durant misses three point pullup jump shot
  394. Q1 3:04
    Clint Capela defensive rebound
  395. Q1 3:04
    T.J. McConnell misses two point driving reverse layup
  396. Q1 3:14
    Jay Huff shooting foul (Amen Thompson draws the foul)
  397. Q1 3:14
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    19-19
  398. Q1 3:14
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    19-20
  399. Q1 3:26
    +3
    Pascal Siakam makes three point running jump shot (Aaron Nesmith assists)
    19-18
  400. Q1 3:32
    Dorian Finney-Smith turnover (lost ball) (T.J. McConnell steals)
  401. Q1 4:00
    +3
    Aaron Nesmith makes three point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)
    16-18
  402. Q1 4:12
    Pacers 60 second timeout
  403. Q1 4:12
    +2
    Tari Eason makes two point running finger roll layup
    13-18
  404. Q1 4:12
    Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Pascal Siakam, Aaron Nesmith, Jay Huff, Jarace Walker)
  405. Q1 4:12
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Reed Sheppard, Dorian Finney-Smith, Kevin Durant, Clint Capela)
  406. Q1 4:18
    Jay Huff turnover (lost ball) (Tari Eason steals)
  407. Q1 4:40
    +2
    Amen Thompson makes two point floating jump shot (Kevin Durant assists)
    13-16
  408. Q1 5:02
    Aaron Nesmith offensive rebound
  409. Q1 5:05
    +3
    Jay Huff makes three point jump shot (Aaron Nesmith assists)
    13-14
  410. Q1 5:16
    Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
  411. Q1 5:17
    Amen Thompson misses three point pullup jump shot
  412. Q1 5:42
    +3
    Jarace Walker makes three point jump shot (Jay Huff assists)
    10-14
  413. Q1 5:56
    Amen Thompson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  414. Q1 6:12
    +2
    Andrew Nembhard makes two point driving finger roll layup
    7-14
  415. Q1 6:27
    Jay Huff blocks Steven Adams's two point driving layup
  416. Q1 6:27
    Rockets offensive rebound
  417. Q1 6:27
    Rockets turnover (shot clock violation)
  418. Q1 6:41
    Tony Bradley personal foul (Steven Adams draws the foul)
  419. Q1 6:41
    Pacers lineup change (Bennedict Mathurin, Aaron Nesmith, Jay Huff, Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard)
  420. Q1 6:41
    Steven Adams offensive rebound
  421. Q1 6:41
    Jabari Smith Jr. misses two point driving finger roll layup
  422. Q1 6:41
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  423. Q1 7:03
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  424. Q1 7:04
    Andrew Nembhard misses three point jump shot
  425. Q1 7:15
    +2
    Kevin Durant makes two point fadeaway jump shot
    5-14
  426. Q1 7:39
    +2
    Bennedict Mathurin makes two point driving floating jump shot
    5-12
  427. Q1 7:57
    Tony Bradley shooting foul (Amen Thompson draws the foul)
  428. Q1 7:57
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    3-12
  429. Q1 7:57
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    3-11
  430. Q1 8:06
    Andrew Nembhard turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
  431. Q1 8:17
    +2
    Kevin Durant makes two point fadeaway jump shot
    3-10
  432. Q1 8:39
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  433. Q1 8:40
    Andrew Nembhard misses three point pullup jump shot
  434. Q1 8:50
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  435. Q1 8:59
    Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
  436. Q1 8:59
    Kevin Durant misses two point fadeaway jump shot
  437. Q1 9:15
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  438. Q1 9:19
    Bennedict Mathurin misses three point pullup jump shot
  439. Q1 9:32
    +2
    Amen Thompson makes two point driving finger roll layup
    3-8
  440. Q1 9:43
    Tari Eason shooting foul (Andrew Nembhard draws the foul)
  441. Q1 9:43
    Andrew Nembhard misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  442. Q1 9:43
    Pacers offensive rebound
  443. Q1 9:43
    +1
    Andrew Nembhard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    3-6
  444. Q1 10:00
    +2
    Kevin Durant makes two point pullup jump shot (Amen Thompson assists)
    2-6
  445. Q1 10:05
    Andrew Nembhard shooting foul (Steven Adams draws the foul)
  446. Q1 10:05
    Amen Thompson offensive rebound
  447. Q1 10:05
    +1
    Steven Adams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    2-4
  448. Q1 10:05
    Steven Adams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  449. Q1 10:21
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  450. Q1 10:22
    Andrew Nembhard misses two point pullup jump shot
  451. Q1 10:40
    Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Bennedict Mathurin, Johnny Furphy, Tony Bradley, Andrew Nembhard)
  452. Q1 10:40
    +1
    Steven Adams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    2-3
  453. Q1 10:40
    Tony Bradley defensive rebound
  454. Q1 10:40
    Steven Adams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  455. Q1 10:40
    Johnny Furphy shooting foul (Steven Adams draws the foul)
  456. Q1 10:41
    Steven Adams offensive rebound
  457. Q1 10:42
    Kevin Durant misses three point jump shot
  458. Q1 10:57
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  459. Q1 10:58
    Pascal Siakam misses two point fadeaway jump shot
  460. Q1 11:10
    Jabari Smith Jr. personal foul (Andrew Nembhard draws the foul)
  461. Q1 11:17
    +2
    Steven Adams makes two point driving dunk
    2-2
  462. Q1 11:21
    Steven Adams offensive rebound
  463. Q1 11:21
    Kevin Durant misses two point fadeaway jump shot
  464. Q1 11:36
    +2
    Jay Huff makes two point reverse dunk (Bennedict Mathurin assists)
    2-0
  465. Q1 11:41
    Jay Huff offensive rebound
  466. Q1 11:41
    Bennedict Mathurin misses two point pullup jump shot
  467. Q1 12:00
    Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Bennedict Mathurin, Johnny Furphy, Jay Huff, Andrew Nembhard)
  468. Q1 12:00
    Jay Huff vs. Steven Adams (Bennedict Mathurin gains possession)
  469. Q1 12:00
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Steven Adams, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason)
  470. Q1 12:00
    Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Pacers
PosPlayerPts
Rockets
PosPlayerPts

Pacers vs. Rockets: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Pacers vs. Rockets
  • Date: Monday, December 29, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Toyota Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Rockets favored at -12.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 223
  • Moneyline Odds: Pacers +500, Rockets -600

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Pacers: 18%
  • Rockets: 82%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pacers 106-117 Rockets.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pacers a win probability of 18%, while the Rockets have a win probability of 82%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Rockets are more likely to beat the Pacers in the NBA game at Toyota Center on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Pacers vs. Rockets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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