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Pacers vs. Pistons prediction: Detroit favored to win Saturday's NBA matchup [1/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Indiana Pacers vs Detroit Pistons predictions for NBA Saturday.
The Detroit Pistons will take on the Indiana Pacers in NBA action at Little Caesars Arena on Saturday, commencing at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Pistons as the most likely winner of the Pacers vs. Pistons game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Pistons lineup will feature players like Cade Cunningham, Jalen Duren and Tobias Harris, while the Pacers will be led by Pascal Siakam, Andrew Nembhard and Aaron Nesmith.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Pacers vs. Pistons prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NBA matchup between the Pacers and Pistons 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Pistons an 82% chance of beating the Pacers. Our predicted final score has the Pistons winning 117-106.
According to our model, the Pacers (+12.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 227.5 points has a 54% chance of staying under.
Pacers vs. Pistons odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Pacers | Pistons |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +12.5 (-110) | -12.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +500 | -700 |
| Total | o227.5 (-110) | u227.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Pacers vs. Pistons picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Pacers +12.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Pacers | +500 |
| Total | Under 227.5 | -108 |
According to our NBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Pacers +12.5 at the spread.
Pacers vs. Pistons player props
NBA player props are a popular way to wager on the Indiana vs. Detroit game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Little Caesars Arena.
Pascal Siakam is expected to lead the Pacers with 24 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists, while Cade Cunningham is projected to have 29 points, 7 rebounds and 9 assists for the Pistons.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Pacers prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Pacers are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam | 24 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 45 |
| Andrew Nembhard | 16 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 34 |
| Aaron Nesmith | 15 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 29 |
| T.J. McConnell | 10 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 22 |
| Jarace Walker | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 |
Pistons prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Pistons:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham | 29 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 59 |
| Jalen Duren | 17 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 38 |
| Tobias Harris | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 26 |
| Duncan Robinson | 11 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 20 |
| Ausar Thompson | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 26 |
Pacers vs. Pistons game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's game between the Pistons and Pacers at Little Caesars Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Indiana Pacers vs. Detroit Pistons
- Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Little Caesars Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Pistons, with an 82% win probability, will likely beat the Pacers on Saturday, with Cade Cunningham projected for a game-high 59 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Pacers vs. Pistons insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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