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Pacers vs. Pistons Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pacers vs. Pistons NBA game on January 17, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
78
121
Jan 18, 12:30AM Little Caesars Arena
Jan 18, 12:30AM Little Caesars Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pacers | 11 | 14 | 46 | 7 | 78 |
Pistons | 31 | 28 | 51 | 11 | 121 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pacers | 11 | 14 | 46 | 7 | 78 |
Pistons | 31 | 28 | 51 | 11 | 121 |
Q4 1:11 Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:46 Pistons makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:08 Pacers makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:16 Marcus Sasser misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:39 Tony Bradley makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:44 Pistons misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:55 Micah Potter misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:16 Pacers makes two point jump shot
Q4 5:13 Taelon Peter makes two point jump shot (Micah Potter assists)
Q4 5:54 Marcus Sasser makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Pistons turnover
Paul Reed defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Ethan Thompson defensive rebound
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
73-112
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
73-110
Marcus Sasser misses three point jump shot
+2
Tony Bradley makes two point jump shot
71-110
Marcus Sasser personal foul
+1
Tony Bradley makes regular free throw 1 of 1
71-110
Tony Bradley defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Ronald Holland II defensive rebound
Micah Potter misses three point jump shot
Pistons turnover
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
71-110
Tony Bradley personal foul (Daniss Jenkins draws the foul)
Tony Bradley turnover
Tony Bradley turnover (lost ball)
Pacers personal foul
Marcus Sasser misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Taelon Peter makes two point jump shot (Micah Potter assists)
66-109
Paul Reed defensive rebound
+2
Marcus Sasser makes two point jump shot
64-109
Pacers turnover
+3
Taelon Peter makes three point jump shot
64-109
Taelon Peter defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Marcus Sasser defensive rebound
Ethan Thompson misses three point jump shot
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Caris LeVert defensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
Pacers lineup change (Kam Jones, Tony Bradley, Taelon Peter, Micah Potter, Ethan Thompson)
Pacers 60 second timeout
+2
Caris LeVert makes two point dunk
71-110
Taelon Peter turnover (bad pass) (Caris LeVert steals)
Paul Reed misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Ethan Thompson shooting foul (Paul Reed draws the foul)
Pistons offensive rebound
Pistons lineup change (Marcus Sasser, Caris LeVert, Paul Reed, Jaden Ivey, Daniss Jenkins)
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Ronald Holland II turnover (Taelon Peter steals)
Ethan Thompson misses two point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
Pacers offensive rebound
Pacers lineup change (Kam Jones, Taelon Peter, Micah Potter, Ethan Thompson, Isaiah Jackson)
Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Marcus Sasser, Caris LeVert, Paul Reed, Daniss Jenkins)
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
53-95
Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
+1
Ben Sheppard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
71-110
+1
Ben Sheppard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
71-110
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Instant replay
+1
Ethan Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
71-110
Pacers lineup change (Ben Sheppard, Johnny Furphy, Tony Bradley, Micah Potter, Ethan Thompson)
Pacers lineup change (Ben Sheppard, Johnny Furphy, Tony Bradley, Micah Potter, Ethan Thompson)
Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pacers turnover
Pistons offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Kam Jones, Tony Bradley, Micah Potter, Ethan Thompson)
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Jaden Ivey defensive rebound
Pacers defensive rebound
Isaiah Jackson defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Kam Jones defensive rebound
Isaiah Stewart misses two point jump shot
Isaiah Stewart offensive rebound
+1
Jarace Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 2
43-86
Ronald Holland II offensive rebound
Ethan Thompson misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Ronald Holland II makes two point jump shot (Cade Cunningham assists)
42-82
+1
Ronald Holland II makes regular free throw 1 of 1
44-86
Pacers offensive rebound
Ausar Thompson personal foul (Loose ball) (Quenton Jackson draws the foul)
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
44-86
Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Ronald Holland II, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Duncan Robinson)
Pacers personal foul
Isaiah Jackson turnover (offensive foul)
Micah Potter defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Ben Sheppard, Quenton Jackson, Micah Potter, Isaiah Jackson)
Ben Sheppard shooting foul (Ausar Thompson draws the foul)
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
44-86
+2
Jalen Duren makes two point jump shot
44-86
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pacers turnover
Pacers offensive rebound
Ausar Thompson personal foul
Quenton Jackson turnover (lost ball)
Ausar Thompson turnover (lost ball) (Quenton Jackson steals)
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+3
Cade Cunningham makes three point jump shot
39-73
Ausar Thompson offensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
+1
Quenton Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
42-82
Jalen Duren shooting foul (Ben Sheppard draws the foul)
+1
Ben Sheppard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
39-71
Pistons turnover
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
31-66
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
31-66
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Cade Cunningham misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pacers offensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pacers offensive rebound
Isaiah Stewart technical foul
Pistons defensive rebound
Instant replay
End of 1st Half.
Pistons personal foul
Pistons turnover
Pistons personal foul
Jarace Walker misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Isaiah Stewart misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Ben Sheppard, Johnny Furphy, Kam Jones, Ethan Thompson)
Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Ben Sheppard, Johnny Furphy, Kam Jones, Ethan Thompson)
Isaiah Stewart shooting foul (Jarace Walker draws the foul)
Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Ben Sheppard, Johnny Furphy, Kam Jones, Tony Bradley)
Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Ben Sheppard, Johnny Furphy, Kam Jones, Ethan Thompson)
Pistons offensive rebound
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
24-59
Pacers personal foul
Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Johnny Furphy, Kam Jones, Micah Potter, Ethan Thompson)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
24-57
Pacers turnover
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
24-52
Pacers lineup change (Johnny Furphy, Tony Bradley, Quenton Jackson, Micah Potter, Ethan Thompson)
Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Ronald Holland II, Jalen Duren, Jaden Ivey, Duncan Robinson)
Ausar Thompson offensive rebound
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
24-50
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
24-47
Isaiah Jackson defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Jackson offensive rebound
Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
21-47
Pacers personal foul
Ausar Thompson misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
21-45
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Ronald Holland II defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
Pistons 60 second timeout
Pacers lineup change (Ben Sheppard, Johnny Furphy, Kam Jones, Taelon Peter, Isaiah Jackson)
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
19-41
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Pistons turnover
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
Taelon Peter defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Jaden Ivey defensive rebound
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pacers turnover
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
17-41
Pistons turnover
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
15-41
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
15-39
Pistons personal foul
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
13-33
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pacers turnover
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
11-33
Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Cade Cunningham, Caris LeVert, Jaden Ivey, Javonte Green)
Isaiah Stewart technical foul
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
11-31
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Kam Jones, Tony Bradley, Micah Potter, Ethan Thompson)
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Ethan Thompson defensive rebound
Kam Jones offensive rebound
Micah Potter defensive rebound
Pacers turnover
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pacers turnover
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pacers defensive rebound
Pistons defensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
Pacers offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons defensive rebound
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
9-29
Pistons personal foul
Pacers lineup change (Johnny Furphy, Kam Jones, Tony Bradley, Micah Potter, Ethan Thompson)
+1
Micah Potter makes regular free throw 2 of 2
9-26
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
7-24
Ethan Thompson defensive rebound
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
5-24
Pistons personal foul
Pacers offensive rebound
Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Ronald Holland II, Jalen Duren, Caris LeVert, Jaden Ivey)
Pistons offensive rebound
Pacers lineup change (Johnny Furphy, Kam Jones, Micah Potter, Ethan Thompson, Isaiah Jackson)
+1
Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
2-24
Ronald Holland II offensive rebound
Jalen Duren offensive rebound
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
Jarace Walker misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Jarace Walker misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons 60 second timeout
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Micah Potter defensive rebound
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
+1
Ausar Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
2-21
Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Kam Jones, Micah Potter, Ethan Thompson, Isaiah Jackson)
Ausar Thompson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
2-17
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Jalen Duren turnover
Pacers turnover
Stoppage (Court cleanup)
Pacers personal foul
Pistons offensive rebound
Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Johnny Furphy, Kam Jones, Quenton Jackson, Isaiah Jackson)
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
2-13
Pacers 60 second timeout
+1
Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 1 of 1
2-14
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pacers personal foul
Pistons personal foul
+1
Cade Cunningham makes technical free throw 1 of 1
0-9
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
0-7
+1
Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 1 of 1
0-8
Jay Huff defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pistons defensive rebound
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
0-5
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson, Tobias Harris, Duncan Robinson)
(Quenton Jackson gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Pacers vs. Pistons: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Pacers vs. Pistons
- Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Little Caesars Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Pistons favored at -15.5
- Total (Over/Under): 225.5
- Moneyline Odds: Pacers +700, Pistons -900
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Pacers: 12%
- Pistons: 88%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pacers 105-118 Pistons.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pacers a win probability of 12%, while the Pistons have a win probability of 88%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Pistons are more likely to beat the Pacers in the NBA game at Little Caesars Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Pacers vs. Pistons predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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