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Warriors vs. Raptors prediction: Golden State to win, Stephen Curry projected for big game in Sunday's NBA matchup [12/28/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Golden State Warriors vs Toronto Raptors predictions for NBA Sunday.
The Toronto Raptors will square off with the Golden State Warriors in NBA action at Scotiabank Arena on Sunday, starting at 3:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Warriors as the most likely winner of the Warriors vs. Raptors game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Raptors lineup will feature players like Brandon Ingram, Scottie Barnes and Immanuel Quickley, while the Warriors will rely on Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler and Brandin Podziemski.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Warriors vs. Raptors prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NBA matchup between the Warriors and Raptors 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Warriors a 66% chance of beating the Raptors. Our predicted final score has the Warriors winning 116-111.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Warriors and Raptors each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 227.5 points also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Warriors vs. Raptors odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Warriors | Raptors |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -4.5 (-110) | +4.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -180 | +158 |
| Total | o227.5 (-110) | u227.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Warriors vs. Raptors picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Raptors +4.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Warriors | -180 |
| Total | Over 227.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Warriors to win.
Warriors vs. Raptors player props
NBA player props are an enjoyable way to wager on Sunday's Golden State vs. Toronto matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Scotiabank Arena.
Stephen Curry is expected to lead the Warriors with 27 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists, while Brandon Ingram is projected to have 21 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists for the Raptors.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Warriors prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Warriors are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry | 27 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 47 |
| Jimmy Butler | 20 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 40 |
| B. Podziemski | 12 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 28 |
| Moses Moody | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 25 |
| Draymond Green | 8 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 29 |
Raptors prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Raptors:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram | 21 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 39 |
| Scottie Barnes | 18 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 43 |
| I. Quickley | 17 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 35 |
| RJ Barrett | 15 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 31 |
| S. Mamukelashvili | 15 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33 |
Warriors vs. Raptors game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's game between the Raptors and Warriors at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to begin at 3:30 PM ET.
- Who: Golden State Warriors vs. Toronto Raptors
- Date: Sunday, December 28, 2025
- Time: 3:30 PM ET/12:30PM PT
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Warriors, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat the Raptors on Sunday, with Stephen Curry projected for a game-high 47 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Warriors vs. Raptors insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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