NBA picks today: Sunday's best bets highlight Kings vs. Lakers play [12/28/2025]

Today’s NBA picks for December 28, 2025 are here, with Kings vs. Lakers among the top plays identified by our model across Sunday’s NBA action.

Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, searching the latest basketball odds to unearth top betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.

List of NBA picks tonight [12/28, updated 8:34PM ET]

Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 basketball bets, ranked by edge for Sunday, December 28, 2025.

Kings +12.5 (-105)

• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 55%
• Matchup: Kings vs. Lakers (9:30PM ET, Sunday)

Our model has identified value on Kings +12.5 at -105 odds. A 55% probability produces an edge of 3.8%, making this the strongest play for today's NBA slate.

Kings +12.5 (-105)

• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 55%
• Matchup: Kings vs. Lakers (9:30PM ET, Sunday)

A 3.8% edge and 55% probability make Kings +12.5 vs. Lakers at a value play in the Kings vs. Lakers matchup, per our model.

Nuggets vs. Heat under 244.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 55%
• Matchup: Nuggets vs. Heat (7:30PM ET, Monday)

Nuggets vs. Heat under 244.5 points at -105 odds presents a 3.8% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 55%.

Wizards +10.5 (-110)

• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 55.9%
• Matchup: Suns vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET, Monday)

Our model finds value on Wizards +10.5 at -110 odds, supported by an edge of 3.6%.

Nuggets ML (-142)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 61.7%
• Matchup: Nuggets vs. Heat (7:30PM ET, Monday)

Our model has uncovered value on Nuggets ML at -142 odds. A 61.7% probability produces a 3.0% edge, making this a strong play for today's NBA action.

Pelicans +9.5 (-110)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 55.3%
• Matchup: Knicks vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET, Monday)

A 2.9% edge on a 55.3% probability makes Pelicans +9.5 at -110 odds a solid value play in today's Knicks vs. Pelicans matchup.

Hawks ML (+830)

• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 13.4%
• Matchup: Hawks vs. Thunder (8:00PM ET, Monday)

Our model projects value on Hawks to win at +830 odds. A 13.4% probability produces a 2.7% edge, making Hawks the favorable ML play in Saturday’s matchup.

Magic ML (-120)

• Edge: 2.6%
• Probability: 57.1%
• Matchup: Magic vs. Raptors (7:30PM ET, Monday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Magic to defeat Raptors at -120 odds shows a 57.1% probability and a 2.6% edge.

NBA best bets summary: Sunday, 12/28/2025

As of 8:34PM ET, here is our top NBA bet by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Kings vs. Lakers	Kings +12.5	-105 @ DraftKings	3.8%	55%
Kings vs. Lakers	Kings +12.5	-105 @ DraftKings	3.8%	55%
Nuggets vs. Heat	Under 244.5 Points	-105 @ DraftKings	3.8%	55%
Suns vs. Wizards	Wizards +10.5	-110 @ BetMGM	3.6%	55.9%
Nuggets vs. Heat	Nuggets ML	-142 @ FanDuel	3.0%	61.7%
Knicks vs. Pelicans	Pelicans +9.5	-110 @ BetMGM	2.9%	55.3%
Hawks vs. Thunder	Hawks ML	+830 @ FanDuel	2.7%	13.4%
Magic vs. Raptors	Magic ML	-120 @ DraftKings	2.6%	57.1%

List of upcoming NBA games to bet on [12/28/2025]

• Pistons vs. Clippers (9:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Kings vs. Lakers (9:30PM ET, Sunday)
• Bucks vs. Hornets (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• Suns vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• Warriors vs. Nets (7:30PM ET, Monday)
• Nuggets vs. Heat (7:30PM ET, Monday)
• Magic vs. Raptors (7:30PM ET, Monday)
• Cavaliers vs. Spurs (8:00PM ET, Monday)
• Knicks vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET, Monday)
• Timberwolves vs. Bulls (8:00PM ET, Monday)
• Pacers vs. Rockets (8:00PM ET, Monday)
• Hawks vs. Thunder (8:00PM ET, Monday)

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Conclusion

Our NBA best bets are locked and loaded for December 28, 2025, featuring plays such as Kings +12.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate NBA insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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