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Nuggets vs. Heat Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nuggets vs. Heat NBA game on December 29, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
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NBA
Nuggets
123
147
Dec 30, 12:30AM Kaseya Center
Heat
Dec 30, 12:30AM Kaseya Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM12 3 4 T
Nuggets
29 75 17 0 123
Heat
41 79 22 0 147
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
NuggetsDEN
Win %
<1%
>99%
HeatMIA
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Nuggets
29 75 17 0 123
Heat
41 79 22 0 147
Q4 00:01 Curtis Jones misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:08 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:22 Simone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:38 Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:58 Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:11 Keshad Johnson makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:14 Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:20 Jalen Pickett blocks Myron Gardner's two point jump shot
Q4 1:23 Keshad Johnson misses two point putback layup
Q4 1:27 Keshad Johnson misses two point driving layup
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q4 00:00
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q4 00:00
End of 4th Quarter.
Q4 00:01
Curtis Jones misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:04
DaRon Holmes II defensive rebound
Q4 00:08
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:19
Kasparas Jakucionis offensive rebound
Q4 00:22
Simone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:36
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q4 00:36
Simone Fontecchio personal foul
Q4 00:36
+1
DaRon Holmes II makes regular free throw 1 of 2
121-142
Q4 00:36
+1
DaRon Holmes II makes regular free throw 2 of 2
121-142
Q4 00:38
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:48
+1
Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 3 of 3
121-142
Q4 00:48
+1
Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 2 of 3
121-142
Q4 00:48
+1
Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 1 of 3
121-142
Q4 00:48
Nuggets personal foul
Q4 00:55
Myron Gardner defensive rebound
Q4 00:58
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:11
+2
Keshad Johnson makes two point jump shot
121-142
Q4 1:12
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Q4 1:14
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:20
Jalen Pickett blocks Myron Gardner's two point jump shot
Q4 1:20
Curtis Jones defensive rebound
Q4 1:22
Myron Gardner offensive rebound
Q4 1:23
Keshad Johnson misses two point putback layup
Q4 1:26
Keshad Johnson offensive rebound
Q4 1:27
Keshad Johnson misses two point driving layup
Q4 1:46
+1
Julian Strawther makes regular free throw 1 of 2
121-142
Q4 1:46
Heat personal foul
Q4 1:46
+1
Julian Strawther makes regular free throw 2 of 2
121-142
Q4 2:03
DaRon Holmes II defensive rebound
Q4 2:05
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:06
Myron Gardner offensive rebound
Q4 2:09
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:16
Heat defensive rebound
Q4 2:16
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 2:16
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:34
Hunter Tyson defensive rebound
Q4 2:36
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:51
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
121-142
Q4 3:04
DaRon Holmes II defensive rebound
Q4 3:07
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:14
Keshad Johnson personal foul (DaRon Holmes II draws the foul)
Q4 3:14
+1
DaRon Holmes II makes regular free throw 1 of 2
121-142
Q4 3:14
+1
DaRon Holmes II makes regular free throw 2 of 2
121-142
Q4 3:27
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q4 3:27
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Simone Fontecchio, Myron Gardner, Kasparas Jakucionis, Keshad Johnson)
Q4 3:29
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
121-142
Q4 3:36
Dru Smith defensive rebound
Q4 3:41
Curtis Jones misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:54
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
121-142
Q4 4:07
+2
Jalen Pickett makes two point driving hook shot
121-142
Q4 4:31
+3
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot
121-142
Q4 4:37
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Q4 4:39
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:49
Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
Q4 4:53
Nikola Jovic misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:58
Curtis Jones personal foul
Q4 5:08
Nikola Jovic shooting foul (Julian Strawther draws the foul)
Q4 5:08
+1
Julian Strawther makes regular free throw 1 of 2
121-142
Q4 5:08
+1
Julian Strawther makes regular free throw 2 of 2
121-142
Q4 5:20
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
121-142
Q4 5:34
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Q4 5:38
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:51
Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
Q4 5:54
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 6:08
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
121-142
Q4 6:24
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
121-142
Q4 6:25
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q4 6:25
Nuggets lineup change (Hunter Tyson, Curtis Jones, Jalen Pickett, DaRon Holmes II, Julian Strawther)
Q4 6:38
Heat personal foul
Q4 6:38
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q4 6:38
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
121-142
Q4 6:38
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 6:51
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Q4 6:54
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q4 6:54
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
121-142
Q4 6:54
Nuggets personal foul
Q4 6:54
Tim Hardaway Jr. technical foul
Q4 6:54
+1
Dru Smith makes technical free throw 1 of 1
121-142
Q4 6:57
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Q4 7:00
Peyton Watson misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:16
+2
Davion Mitchell makes two point jump shot
121-142
Q4 7:23
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Q4 7:26
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:38
Heat turnover
Q4 7:51
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
121-142
Q4 7:52
Tim Hardaway Jr. offensive rebound
Q4 7:54
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 8:03
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 8:04
Heat personal foul
Q4 8:18
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
121-142
Q4 8:26
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Q4 8:29
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 8:36
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Q4 8:41
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 8:51
Heat defensive rebound
Q4 8:51
Bruce Brown personal foul (Loose ball) (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)
Q4 8:51
Jamal Murray misses two point jump shot
Q4 9:13
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
121-142
Q4 9:30
+2
Peyton Watson makes two point driving floating jump shot
121-142
Q4 9:30
Heat 60 second timeout
Q4 9:32
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Q4 9:36
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 9:54
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
104-120
Q4 10:09
Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Bruce Brown)
Q4 10:09
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q4 10:10
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
121-142
Q4 10:22
Heat defensive rebound
Q4 10:22
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 10:23
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses two point jump shot
Q4 10:46
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
121-142
Q4 10:52
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Q4 10:55
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 11:06
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
101-113
Q4 11:06
Zeke Nnaji shooting foul (Andrew Wiggins draws the foul)
Q4 11:06
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
121-142
Q4 11:16
+2
Bruce Brown makes two point driving floating jump shot
101-113
Q4 11:27
Dru Smith personal foul (Julian Strawther draws the foul)
Q4 11:34
Nikola Jovic personal foul (Julian Strawther draws the foul)
Q4 11:34
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell, Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Q4 11:38
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
121-142
Q4 11:41
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Q4 11:46
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:00
Dru Smith defensive rebound
Q3 00:00
End of 3rd Quarter.
Q4 12:00
Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Tim Hardaway Jr., DaRon Holmes II, Julian Strawther, Bruce Brown)
Q3 00:01
Julian Strawther misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
Q3 00:03
Julian Strawther defensive rebound
Q3 00:08
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:29
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
121-142
Q3 00:51
+3
Nikola Jovic makes three point jump shot
121-142
Q3 00:58
Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Jamal Murray, Spencer Jones, Julian Strawther, Bruce Brown)
Q3 00:58
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Andrew Wiggins, Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson)
Q3 00:58
Bruce Brown personal foul (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)
Q3 00:58
Heat personal foul
Q3 1:04
Dru Smith defensive rebound
Q3 1:07
Jamal Murray misses three point jump shot
Q3 1:19
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
121-142
Q3 1:30
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
121-142
Q3 1:41
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Q3 1:44
Kel'el Ware misses three point jump shot
Q3 2:03
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
121-142
Q3 2:18
+3
Nikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Norman Powell assists)
121-142
Q3 2:38
+3
Jamal Murray makes three point pullup jump shot
121-142
Q3 2:53
+3
Kel'el Ware makes three point jump shot
89-102
Q3 2:59
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Q3 3:03
Bruce Brown misses two point driving floating jump shot
Q3 3:04
Jonas Valanciunas offensive rebound
Q3 3:10
Peyton Watson misses three point jump shot
Q3 3:25
Norman Powell turnover (out of bounds step)
Q3 3:40
+2
Jonas Valanciunas makes two point jump shot
121-142
Q3 3:51
Davion Mitchell personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)
Q3 3:51
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Kel'el Ware, Norman Powell, Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Q3 4:15
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
121-142
Q3 4:36
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point jump shot
87-97
Q3 5:00
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
121-142
Q3 5:12
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Jonas Valanciunas, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Bruce Brown)
Q3 5:12
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
121-142
Q3 5:12
Heat 60 second timeout
Q3 5:12
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Kel'el Ware, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Q3 5:16
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Q3 5:21
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q3 5:29
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
121-142
Q3 5:44
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
121-142
Q3 5:55
+3
Spencer Jones makes three point jump shot (Tim Hardaway Jr. assists)
121-142
Q3 6:08
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Q3 6:13
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q3 6:24
+3
Spencer Jones makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
121-142
Q3 6:43
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Norman Powell assists)
121-142
Q3 6:50
Jonas Valanciunas offensive rebound
Q3 6:50
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
121-142
Q3 6:57
Jamal Murray misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:17
+2
Kel'el Ware makes two point jump shot
121-142
Q3 7:20
Nuggets turnover
Q3 7:29
Heat personal foul
Q3 7:35
Davion Mitchell personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)
Q3 7:47
+3
Norman Powell makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)
121-142
Q3 7:54
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
121-142
Q3 8:07
Peyton Watson personal foul
Q3 8:07
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 3 of 3
121-142
Q3 8:07
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 3
121-142
Q3 8:07
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 3
121-142
Q3 8:13
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q3 8:16
Andrew Wiggins blocks Jamal Murray's two point driving layup
Q3 8:26
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q3 8:27
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
104-120
Q3 8:36
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q3 8:36
Heat offensive rebound
Q3 8:36
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 8:40
Peyton Watson personal foul (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)
Q3 8:40
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Q3 8:43
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q3 8:50
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Q3 8:52
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:09
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot
104-120
Q3 9:17
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q3 9:21
Peyton Watson misses three point pullup jump shot
Q3 9:34
Heat personal foul
Q3 9:47
+3
Kel'el Ware makes three point jump shot
104-120
Q3 10:02
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
65-70
Q3 10:17
+3
Norman Powell makes three point jump shot
65-70
Q3 10:33
+2
Jonas Valanciunas makes two point jump shot
65-70
Q3 10:47
+2
Davion Mitchell makes two point driving finger roll layup
65-70
Q3 10:53
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q3 10:57
Andrew Wiggins blocks Peyton Watson's two point driving layup
Q3 11:11
+2
Norman Powell makes two point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)
65-70
Q3 11:28
+2
Peyton Watson makes two point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
65-70
Q3 11:47
+3
Kel'el Ware makes three point jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)
65-70
Q3 12:00
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Kel'el Ware, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo)
Q3 12:00
Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Jonas Valanciunas, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson)
Q2 00:00
Peyton Watson misses heave shot
Q2 00:00
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q2 00:00
End of 1st Half.
Q2 00:03
+2
Kel'el Ware makes two point jump shot
65-70
Q2 00:03
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Q2 00:04
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q2 00:14
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
63-61
Q2 00:30
Davion Mitchell turnover
Q2 00:41
+3
Jamal Murray makes three point jump shot
65-70
Q2 00:56
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
65-70
Q2 00:56
Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson)
Q2 00:56
Nuggets personal foul
Q2 00:56
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 00:56
Heat offensive rebound
Q2 00:57
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 00:59
Peyton Watson misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
Q2 1:16
+3
Davion Mitchell makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)
65-70
Q2 1:18
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Q2 1:21
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q2 1:23
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Q2 1:27
Andrew Wiggins misses three point stepback jump shot
Q2 1:41
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
95-105
Q2 1:52
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q2 1:54
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
65-70
Q2 1:54
Nuggets personal foul
Q2 1:54
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 2:13
+3
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot
65-70
Q2 2:34
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
95-105
Q2 2:50
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
95-105
Q2 2:52
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Q2 2:53
Nikola Jokic misses two point jump shot
Q2 2:55
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Q2 2:58
Bam Adebayo shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
Q2 2:58
Nikola Jokic misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Q2 2:58
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
65-70
Q2 3:10
Spencer Jones personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Q2 3:10
Instant replay (Request)
Q2 3:10
Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson)
Q2 3:10
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)
Q2 3:10
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
65-70
Q2 3:10
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
65-70
Q2 3:19
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
65-70
Q2 3:36
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q2 3:40
Pelle Larsson misses three point jump shot
Q2 3:50
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q2 3:53
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 4:06
Heat personal foul
Q2 4:10
Heat turnover
Q2 4:14
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Q2 4:17
Bam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Q2 4:34
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
65-70
Q2 4:52
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Norman Powell assists)
121-142
Q2 4:52
Heat turnover (shot clock violation)
Q2 5:07
Nuggets personal foul
Q2 5:09
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:09
Heat offensive rebound
Q2 5:09
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 5:18
Heat personal foul
Q2 5:18
Spencer Jones misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 5:18
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q2 5:18
+1
Spencer Jones makes regular free throw 2 of 2
65-70
Q2 5:21
Heat turnover (Spencer Jones steals)
Q2 5:23
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Q2 5:27
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:42
Nuggets violation
Q2 5:42
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Julian Strawther, Bruce Brown)
Q2 5:46
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Q2 5:50
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 6:03
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Q2 6:08
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q2 6:17
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Q2 6:22
Nikola Jokic misses three point jump shot
Q2 6:35
Spencer Jones defensive rebound
Q2 6:38
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q2 6:39
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Q2 6:43
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q2 6:56
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
63-61
Q2 7:04
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Q2 7:07
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:21
+2
Bruce Brown makes two point jump shot
37-48
Q2 7:21
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Bruce Brown)
Q2 7:21
Heat 60 second timeout
Q2 7:21
Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson)
Q2 7:25
Heat turnover
Q2 7:34
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
51-56
Q2 7:41
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Q2 7:45
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point jump shot
Q2 8:03
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Q2 8:06
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:23
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Q2 8:23
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
51-56
Q2 8:27
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q2 8:34
Nuggets personal foul
Q2 8:34
Jamal Murray turnover (offensive foul)
Q2 8:46
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
51-56
Q2 8:49
Bruce Brown turnover (Dru Smith steals)
Q2 8:52
Heat personal foul
Q2 9:08
+2
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point jump shot
37-48
Q2 9:08
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q2 9:14
Bruce Brown turnover (bad pass) (Kel'el Ware steals)
Q2 9:25
Jonas Valanciunas personal foul
Q2 9:25
Andrew Wiggins misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 9:25
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Andrew Wiggins, Kel'el Ware, Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Q2 9:25
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
37-48
Q2 9:25
Heat offensive rebound
Q2 9:25
Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Jonas Valanciunas, Spencer Jones, Bruce Brown)
Q2 9:35
+2
Bruce Brown makes two point driving finger roll layup
37-45
Q2 9:41
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Q2 9:44
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:47
Bruce Brown turnover (Andrew Wiggins steals)
Q2 9:48
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Q2 9:53
Dru Smith misses three point jump shot
Q2 10:05
+2
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes two point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
35-45
Q2 10:11
Heat violation
Q2 10:26
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
37-48
Q2 10:34
Zeke Nnaji personal foul
Q2 10:40
Dru Smith personal foul
Q2 10:40
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 10:40
+1
Zeke Nnaji makes regular free throw 1 of 2
37-48
Q2 10:40
+1
Zeke Nnaji makes regular free throw 2 of 2
37-48
Q2 10:58
Bruce Brown shooting foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)
Q2 10:58
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
31-42
Q2 10:58
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
31-43
Q2 11:08
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
31-41
Q2 11:20
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Q2 11:24
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q2 11:35
Nuggets personal foul
Q2 11:35
Jonas Valanciunas turnover (offensive foul)
Q2 11:43
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Q2 11:46
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:00
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:00
End of 1st Quarter.
Q2 12:00
Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Jonas Valanciunas, Bruce Brown)
Q1 00:04
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
29-41
Q1 00:24
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
27-41
Q1 00:35
Nuggets turnover
Q1 00:35
Nuggets personal foul
Q1 00:52
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
27-38
Q1 1:00
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
27-36
Q1 1:05
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Q1 1:08
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:16
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
25-36
Q1 1:38
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
23-36
Q1 1:46
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Q1 1:49
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:05
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
23-33
Q1 2:16
Nuggets personal foul
Q1 2:18
Nuggets turnover
Q1 2:25
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
23-30
Q1 2:25
Nuggets personal foul
Q1 2:25
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q1 2:25
Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Tim Hardaway Jr., Nikola Jokic, Julian Strawther, Bruce Brown)
Q1 2:25
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Andrew Wiggins, Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson)
Q1 2:25
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 1
23-31
Q1 2:28
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Q1 2:32
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q1 2:52
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Q1 2:56
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:00
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Q1 3:03
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:20
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
23-28
Q1 3:36
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
23-25
Q1 3:55
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
20-24
Q1 3:55
Nuggets personal foul
Q1 3:55
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 1
20-25
Q1 4:03
Heat personal foul
Q1 4:03
+1
Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
19-22
Q1 4:03
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Norman Powell, Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson)
Q1 4:03
Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Peyton Watson, Bruce Brown)
Q1 4:03
+1
Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
20-22
Q1 4:20
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
18-22
Q1 4:36
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
18-20
Q1 4:49
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
16-20
Q1 4:51
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Q1 4:55
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q1 4:55
Bruce Brown turnover (lost ball)
Q1 5:16
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
16-18
Q1 5:28
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
16-15
Q1 5:33
Heat turnover
Q1 5:34
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q1 5:38
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q1 5:58
Spencer Jones defensive rebound
Q1 6:02
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 6:17
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 6:17
Heat 60 second timeout
Q1 6:17
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson)
Q1 6:17
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Bruce Brown)
Q1 6:27
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
14-15
Q1 6:34
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Q1 6:38
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 6:44
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q1 6:47
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 7:05
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
12-15
Q1 7:07
Norman Powell offensive rebound
Q1 7:09
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 7:22
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
12-13
Q1 7:33
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
10-13
Q1 7:45
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
10-11
Q1 7:53
Heat personal foul
Q1 8:05
Heat turnover
Q1 8:14
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Q1 8:18
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 8:22
Spencer Jones defensive rebound
Q1 8:23
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Q1 8:23
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q1 8:30
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q1 8:34
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Q1 8:36
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q1 8:49
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
8-11
Q1 9:02
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
7-9
Q1 9:02
Heat personal foul
Q1 9:02
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1
8-9
Q1 9:15
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
5-9
Q1 9:18
Heat personal foul
Q1 9:18
Peyton Watson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q1 9:18
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q1 9:18
+1
Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
5-6
Q1 9:32
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
4-6
Q1 9:44
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
4-4
Q1 9:59
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
2-4
Q1 10:03
Nuggets turnover
Q1 10:08
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q1 10:12
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q1 10:18
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q1 10:22
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q1 10:30
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Q1 10:33
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 10:52
Heat personal foul
Q1 10:52
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
1-2
Q1 10:52
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
2-2
Q1 11:05
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
0-2
Q1 11:14
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Q1 11:20
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 11:20
Jamal Murray turnover (bad pass)
Q1 11:24
Heat turnover
Q1 11:30
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q1 11:33
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q1 11:36
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q1 11:36
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 11:38
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 11:58
Heat offensive rebound
Q1 12:00
Nikola Jokic vs. Kel'el Ware (Jamal Murray gains possession)
Q1 12:00
Start of 1st Quarter
Q1 12:00
Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson)
Q1 12:00
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Kel'el Ware, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
Nuggets
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast
Heat
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast

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Nuggets vs. Heat: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Nuggets vs. Heat
  • Date: Monday, December 29, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Kaseya Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Nuggets favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 243.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Nuggets -120, Heat +106

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Nuggets: 58%
  • Heat: 42%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Nuggets 122-120 Heat.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nuggets a win probability of 58%, while the Heat have a win probability of 42%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Nuggets are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at Kaseya Center on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Nuggets vs. Heat predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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