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Warriors vs. Raptors Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Warriors vs. Raptors NBA game on December 28, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
127
141
Dec 28, 8:30PM Scotiabank Arena
Dec 28, 8:30PM Scotiabank Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Warriors | 28 | 36 | 36 | 22 | 5 | 127 |
Raptors | 33 | 32 | 31 | 26 | 19 | 141 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Warriors | 28 | 36 | 36 | 22 | 5 | 127 |
Raptors | 33 | 32 | 31 | 26 | 19 | 141 |
OT1 00:42 Warriors misses three point jump shot
OT1 00:58 Raptors makes two point jump shot
OT1 1:17 Raptors makes three point jump shot
OT1 1:29 Raptors misses two point jump shot
OT1 1:34 Raptors misses three point jump shot
OT1 1:51 Warriors makes three point jump shot
OT1 2:04 Raptors makes two point jump shot
OT1 2:20 Warriors misses three point jump shot
OT1 2:44 Warriors makes two point jump shot
OT1 3:04 Raptors makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
OT
ALL
End of 1st OT.
Raptors turnover
Warriors personal foul
Garrett Temple defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Raptors personal foul
Raptors lineup change (Jamison Battle, Gradey Dick, Garrett Temple, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Jonathan Mogbo)
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
127-141
Warriors turnover
Warriors 60 second timeout
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
127-139
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Quinten Post, Brandin Podziemski, Buddy Hield, Moses Moody)
Ja'Kobe Walter offensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Scottie Barnes offensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
127-136
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
124-136
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
+1
Immanuel Quickley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
124-133
+1
Immanuel Quickley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
124-134
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
124-132
Raptors personal foul
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
122-132
Ja'Kobe Walter defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
122-129
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Jimmy Butler III, Stephen Curry, Quinten Post, Brandin Podziemski)
Scottie Barnes offensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
122-126
Scottie Barnes offensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Scottie Barnes offensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Warriors turnover
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
122-124
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Raptors offensive rebound
End of 4th Quarter.
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Jimmy Butler III, Will Richard, Stephen Curry, Moses Moody)
(Immanuel Quickley gains possession)
Warriors personal foul
Stephen Curry turnover (offensive foul)
Raptors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Jimmy Butler III, Will Richard, Gary Payton II, Moses Moody)
Scottie Barnes offensive rebound
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
122-122
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
122-120
Raptors 60 second timeout
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
120-120
Warriors turnover
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Jimmy Butler III, Will Richard, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski)
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
120-117
Scottie Barnes offensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Warriors turnover
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
120-115
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
120-113
Warriors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Jimmy Butler III, Will Richard, Stephen Curry, Moses Moody)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
117-113
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
115-113
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
115-111
Al Horford offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
113-111
Warriors personal foul
+1
Brandon Ingram makes technical free throw 1 of 1
113-108
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Will Richard offensive rebound
Raptors personal foul
Instant replay
+1
Will Richard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
113-107
Will Richard misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Jimmy Butler III, Will Richard, Stephen Curry, Al Horford)
Raptors lineup change (Brandon Ingram, Jamal Shead, Immanuel Quickley, Ja'Kobe Walter, Scottie Barnes)
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Jimmy Butler III, Will Richard, Stephen Curry, Al Horford)
Raptors lineup change (Brandon Ingram, Jamal Shead, Immanuel Quickley, Ja'Kobe Walter, Scottie Barnes)
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Al Horford offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Raptors personal foul
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
113-107
Brandon Ingram defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Al Horford defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
113-105
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
110-105
Warriors turnover
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Will Richard, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Al Horford)
Raptors turnover
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Raptors personal foul
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
110-103
Warriors turnover
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
110-100
Warriors personal foul
+1
Brandon Ingram makes regular free throw 1 of 1
110-101
Raptors 60 second timeout
Raptors lineup change (Brandon Ingram, Jamal Shead, RJ Barrett, Immanuel Quickley, Scottie Barnes)
Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Quinten Post, Brandin Podziemski, Buddy Hield, Moses Moody)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
110-98
Buddy Hield defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
RJ Barrett defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Raptors turnover
RJ Barrett defensive rebound
Raptors personal foul
+1
Draymond Green makes regular free throw 1 of 2
107-98
Draymond Green misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Warriors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Sandro Mamukelashvili offensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Raptors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Stoppage (Court cleanup)
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Moses Moody offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Buddy Hield defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Immanuel Quickley defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Raptors lineup change (Brandon Ingram, Sandro Mamukelashvili, RJ Barrett, Immanuel Quickley, Ja'Kobe Walter)
Raptors turnover
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
106-98
Moses Moody defensive rebound
Warriors turnover
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Sandro Mamukelashvili offensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
106-96
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Raptors offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Raptors lineup change (Jamal Shead, Sandro Mamukelashvili, RJ Barrett, Ja'Kobe Walter, Scottie Barnes)
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Sandro Mamukelashvili defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Will Richard defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
102-96
Warriors personal foul
Raptors personal foul
Warriors violation
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 1
103-96
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Raptors violation
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Will Richard, Stephen Curry, Buddy Hield, Moses Moody)
Raptors lineup change (Jamal Shead, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Ochai Agbaji, Ja'Kobe Walter, Scottie Barnes)
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
100-96
Warriors turnover
Gradey Dick offensive rebound
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
100-94
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Warriors turnover
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
100-92
Warriors turnover
Warriors personal foul
+1
Ja'Kobe Walter makes regular free throw 1 of 2
100-89
+1
Ja'Kobe Walter makes regular free throw 2 of 2
100-90
Warriors personal foul
Jimmy Butler III turnover (offensive foul)
Warriors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
100-88
Scottie Barnes offensive rebound
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
97-88
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Gary Payton II offensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
97-86
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
95-85
Warriors personal foul
+1
Jamal Shead makes regular free throw 1 of 1
95-86
Raptors personal foul
Stoppage (Court cleanup)
+1
Will Richard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
94-83
+1
Will Richard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
95-83
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
93-83
Raptors offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Will Richard, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Al Horford)
Raptors lineup change (Gradey Dick, Jamal Shead, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Ja'Kobe Walter, Scottie Barnes)
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Sandro Mamukelashvili defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Will Richard defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
93-81
Al Horford defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Raptors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Will Richard, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Al Horford)
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Will Richard turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
91-81
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
91-78
Raptors turnover
Ja'Kobe Walter defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
+1
Immanuel Quickley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
89-77
+1
Immanuel Quickley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
89-78
Raptors personal foul
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 3
87-76
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 3
88-76
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 3 of 3
89-76
Raptors lineup change (Brandon Ingram, Jamal Shead, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Immanuel Quickley, Ja'Kobe Walter)
Raptors personal foul
Brandon Ingram turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
85-76
Raptors personal foul
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 1
86-76
Warriors 60 second timeout
Raptors lineup change (Brandon Ingram, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Ochai Agbaji, Immanuel Quickley, Ja'Kobe Walter)
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
83-76
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
83-73
Warriors personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Will Richard, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
83-71
Warriors personal foul
+1
Immanuel Quickley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
81-70
+1
Immanuel Quickley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
81-71
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Will Richard, Stephen Curry, Quinten Post, Moses Moody)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
81-69
Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Raptors offensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Raptors personal foul
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
78-69
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
79-69
Raptors turnover
Raptors 60 second timeout
Raptors lineup change (Brandon Ingram, Ochai Agbaji, Immanuel Quickley, Ja'Kobe Walter, Scottie Barnes)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
77-69
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
74-69
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
71-69
Warriors turnover
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
71-67
Ochai Agbaji offensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Jimmy Butler III offensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
70-65
Raptors personal foul
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 1
71-65
Raptors turnover
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
67-65
Raptors personal foul
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 1
68-65
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Instant replay
Immanuel Quickley defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Jimmy Butler III, Stephen Curry, Quinten Post, Moses Moody)
Brandon Ingram offensive rebound
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
64-65
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Brandon Ingram defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Will Richard offensive rebound
Will Richard offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Will Richard defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Ochai Agbaji offensive rebound
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
64-63
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Ochai Agbaji defensive rebound
Stephen Curry offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
64-61
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
61-60
Warriors personal foul
+1
Scottie Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 1
61-61
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
61-58
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
RJ Barrett defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Raptors personal foul
Jamal Shead turnover (offensive foul)
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Jimmy Butler III, Will Richard, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski)
Raptors lineup change (Brandon Ingram, RJ Barrett, Ochai Agbaji, Immanuel Quickley, Scottie Barnes)
Gradey Dick defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Scottie Barnes offensive rebound
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
58-58
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Moses Moody offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
58-56
Warriors turnover
Moses Moody defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
58-54
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
56-54
Warriors turnover
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
56-52
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
56-50
Raptors turnover
Jimmy Butler III offensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
54-50
Raptors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Will Richard, Quinten Post, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody)
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Al Horford defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
52-50
Raptors turnover
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
49-50
Raptors personal foul
Raptors lineup change (Brandon Ingram, Jamal Shead, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Ochai Agbaji, Immanuel Quickley)
Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Will Richard, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Al Horford)
Raptors 60 second timeout
Raptors lineup change (Brandon Ingram, Gradey Dick, Jamal Shead, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Scottie Barnes)
Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Will Richard, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Al Horford)
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 1
50-50
Al Horford defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Jimmy Butler III offensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
47-50
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Raptors personal foul
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 2
44-50
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
45-50
Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Al Horford)
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
43-50
Raptors personal foul
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 2
42-48
Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Will Richard, Stephen Curry, Moses Moody, Al Horford)
Raptors lineup change (Brandon Ingram, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Ochai Agbaji, Immanuel Quickley, Ja'Kobe Walter)
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
43-48
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
41-48
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
41-45
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
38-45
Warriors personal foul
+1
Immanuel Quickley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
36-44
+1
Immanuel Quickley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
36-45
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, Ochai Agbaji, Immanuel Quickley, Ja'Kobe Walter, Scottie Barnes)
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Jimmy Butler III, Will Richard, Stephen Curry, Buddy Hield)
Immanuel Quickley defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
36-43
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
36-41
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
34-41
Warriors personal foul
Gary Payton II turnover (offensive foul)
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Warriors 60 second timeout
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
34-38
RJ Barrett defensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
34-35
Raptors violation
Raptors personal foul
Draymond Green misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Will Richard defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Scottie Barnes offensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
Raptors misses two point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
32-35
Raptors turnover
RJ Barrett defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Raptors personal foul
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
29-35
Raptors personal foul
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
28-33
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
29-33
End of 1st Quarter.
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Will Richard, Stephen Curry, Buddy Hield, Gary Payton II)
Raptors lineup change (Gradey Dick, RJ Barrett, Immanuel Quickley, Ja'Kobe Walter, Scottie Barnes)
Will Richard defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Raptors personal foul
Stoppage (Other)
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
26-33
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
27-33
Buddy Hield defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
25-33
Al Horford offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
23-33
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Brandin Podziemski misses three point jump shot
Raptors personal foul
Raptors turnover
Sandro Mamukelashvili defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors violation
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
23-31
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Will Richard, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Al Horford)
Warriors 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Al Horford)
Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Will Richard, Brandin Podziemski, Buddy Hield, Al Horford)
Raptors lineup change (Gradey Dick, Jamal Shead, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Ja'Kobe Walter, Scottie Barnes)
Gary Payton II turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Will Richard, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Al Horford)
Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Will Richard, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Al Horford)
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
23-28
Sandro Mamukelashvili defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
23-26
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
23-24
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
21-24
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
21-22
Raptors personal foul
Jamal Shead turnover (offensive foul)
Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Al Horford)
Raptors lineup change (Brandon Ingram, Jamal Shead, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Ja'Kobe Walter, Scottie Barnes)
Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Al Horford)
Raptors lineup change (Brandon Ingram, Gradey Dick, Jamal Shead, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Ja'Kobe Walter)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
19-22
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
16-22
Brandon Ingram offensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Ochai Agbaji offensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Stephen Curry turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
16-19
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Raptors 60 second timeout
Raptors lineup change (Brandon Ingram, Jamal Shead, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Ochai Agbaji, Ja'Kobe Walter)
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Moses Moody, Al Horford)
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
16-17
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
16-15
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
16-13
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
13-13
RJ Barrett defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Moses Moody defensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
RJ Barrett misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Raptors offensive rebound
RJ Barrett misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Stephen Curry, Quinten Post, Gary Payton II, Moses Moody)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
13-10
Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
RJ Barrett defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Raptors turnover
Raptors personal foul
+1
Quinten Post makes regular free throw 1 of 2
10-10
+1
Quinten Post makes regular free throw 2 of 2
11-10
Moses Moody defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Other)
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
9-10
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
9-8
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
9-6
Warriors personal foul
+1
Ochai Agbaji makes regular free throw 1 of 2
6-5
+1
Ochai Agbaji makes regular free throw 2 of 2
6-6
Stephen Curry offensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
5-4
Raptors personal foul
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 1
6-4
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
3-4
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
3-2
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
3-0
Quinten Post vs. Scottie Barnes (Stephen Curry gains possession)
Raptors lineup change (Brandon Ingram, RJ Barrett, Ochai Agbaji, Immanuel Quickley, Scottie Barnes)
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Jimmy Butler III, Stephen Curry, Quinten Post, Moses Moody)
Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Warriors vs. Raptors: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Warriors vs. Raptors
- Date: Sunday, December 28, 2025
- Time: 3:30 PM ET
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Warriors favored at -4.5
- Total (Over/Under): 227.5
- Moneyline Odds: Warriors -180, Raptors +158
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Warriors: 66%
- Raptors: 34%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Warriors 116-112 Raptors.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Warriors a win probability of 66%, while the Raptors have a win probability of 34%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Warriors are more likely to beat the Raptors in the NBA game at Scotiabank Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Warriors vs. Raptors predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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