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FC Dallas vs. Toronto FC prediction, odds, MLS picks [2/21/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get FC Dallas vs Toronto FC predictions for MLS Saturday.
Dallas will face Toronto in MLS action at Toyota Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 8:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLS model projects Dallas as the most likely winner of the Dallas vs. Toronto game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
FC Dallas vs. Toronto FC prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLS matchup between Dallas and Toronto 10,000 times as part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently indicates a 51.2% chance of Dallas winning, a 24.4% chance for Toronto, and a 24.4% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 51% chance of going over, according to our model.
FC Dallas vs. Toronto FC odds
We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Dallas | Toronto | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -102 | +260 | +270 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -130 | +106 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
FC Dallas vs. Toronto FC picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Dallas | -102 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +106 |
According to our best MLS bets, the top play to make on this game is Dallas to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
FC Dallas vs. Toronto FC: Correct score predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| DAL 1-1 TFC | 11.6% |
| DAL 1-0 TFC | 10.9% |
| DAL 2-1 TFC | 9.6% |
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
FC Dallas vs. Toronto FC game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between Dallas and Toronto in MLS at Toyota Stadium is scheduled to begin at 8:30 PM ET.
- Who: FC Dallas vs. Toronto FC
- Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: Toyota Stadium
World Cup 2026 watch: Jesús Ferreira (USA)
Dallas forward Jesús Ferreira is on the radar for USMNT supporters this year as anticipation grows ahead of the FIFA World Cup 2026, with rising interest in World Cup news and early conversation about who will win the World Cup. With the United States set to face Australia, Paraguay, and one of four potential European qualifiers in Group D next year, Ferreira's MLS form will be monitored closely.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Dallas has a 51.2% win probability on Saturday, Toronto has a 24.4% win probability, and there is a 24.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Dallas vs. Toronto insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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