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Nuggets vs. Suns prediction: Why Denver is favored to win Tuesday's NBA matchup [3/24/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns predictions for NBA Tuesday.
The Phoenix Suns and Denver Nuggets will meet in NBA action at Mortgage Matchup Center on Tuesday, with tipoff at 11:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Nuggets as the most likely winner of the Nuggets vs. Suns game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Suns lineup will feature stars like Devin Booker, Jalen Green and Grayson Allen, while the Nuggets will be led by Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Nuggets vs. Suns prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NBA game between the Nuggets and Suns 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Nuggets a 71% chance of beating the Suns. Our predicted final score has the Nuggets winning 119-113.
According to our model, the Nuggets (-6.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 232.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.
Nuggets vs. Suns odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Nuggets | Suns |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -6.5 (-105) | +6.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -230 | +195 |
| Total | o232.5 (-110) | u232.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Nuggets vs. Suns picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Nuggets -6.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Nuggets | -230 |
| Total | Under 232.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Tuesday, the top play to make on this game is Nuggets to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Nuggets vs. Suns player props
NBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on Tuesday's Denver vs. Phoenix matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Mortgage Matchup Center.
Nikola Jokic is expected to lead the Nuggets with 28 points, 13 rebounds and 11 assists, while Devin Booker is projected to have 26 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists for the Suns.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Nuggets prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Nuggets are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | 28 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 68 |
| Jamal Murray | 24 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 44 |
| Aaron Gordon | 16 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 31 |
| Tim Hardaway | 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 20 |
| Cameron Johnson | 12 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 25 |
Suns prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Suns:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker | 26 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 44 |
| Jalen Green | 21 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 37 |
| Grayson Allen | 16 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 30 |
| C. Gillespie | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 29 |
| Royce O'Neale | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 26 |
Nuggets vs. Suns game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's matchup between the Suns and Nuggets at Mortgage Matchup Center is scheduled to begin at 11:00 PM ET.
- Who: Denver Nuggets vs. Phoenix Suns
- Date: Tuesday, March 24, 2026
- Time: 11:00 PM ET/8:00PM PT
- Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center
Conclusion
We predict the Nuggets, with a 71% win probability, will likely beat the Suns on Tuesday, with Nikola Jokic projected for a game-high 68 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Nuggets vs. Suns insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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