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NBA first basket picks and predictions for Tuesday, March 24, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get first basket predictions today backed by expert analysis of NBA slate on 3/24.
Our NBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Tuesday, March 24, 2026—are live with the Suns' Devin Booker projected as the most likely player to score first.
These projections draw on detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily NBA player projections.
Booker, Evan Mobley and LaMelo Ball lead Tuesday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also identify tonight's top first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
NBA first basket predictions tonight (March 24, 2026)
| Player | Team | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker | Suns | 15.0% |
| Evan Mobley | Cavaliers | 14.6% |
| LaMelo Ball | Hornets | 14.5% |
| Jalen Green | Suns | 14.4% |
| Nikola Jokic | Nuggets | 13.7% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | Knicks | 13.6% |
| Maxime Raynaud | Kings | 13.4% |
| Zion Williamson | Pelicans | 12.7% |
| Dejounte Murray | Pelicans | 12.5% |
| DeMar DeRozan | Kings | 12.2% |
| Donovan Mitchell | Cavaliers | 11.8% |
| Desmond Bane | Magic | 11.6% |
| Paolo Banchero | Magic | 11.6% |
| Jamal Murray | Nuggets | 11.1% |
| Precious Achiuwa | Kings | 11.0% |
NBA first basket picks today (March 24, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Braun | Nuggets | 1.1% | +1300 | 8.3% |
| Jalen Green | Suns | 1.1% | +650 | 14.4% |
| Cameron Johnson | Nuggets | 0.5% | +1200 | 8.2% |
| Jevon Carter | Magic | 0.1% | +1000 | 9.2% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 3/24.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Tuesday, March 24, 2026, Devin Booker, Evan Mobley and LaMelo Ball lead our first basket projections, while Christian Braun shapes as the strongest value play at +1300. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ NBA first basket model.
For guidance on safer wagering habits, explore our Responsible Gambling resources.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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