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Nuggets vs. Heat prediction: Why Denver is favored to win Monday's NBA matchup [12/29/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat predictions for NBA Monday.
The Miami Heat will take on the Denver Nuggets in NBA action at Kaseya Center on Monday, commencing at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Nuggets as the most likely winner of the Nuggets vs. Heat game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Heat lineup will feature stars like Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo and Andrew Wiggins, while the Nuggets will be led by Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Tim Hardaway.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Nuggets vs. Heat prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's NBA matchup between the Nuggets and Heat 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Nuggets a 60% chance of beating the Heat. Our predicted final score has the Nuggets winning 122-119.
According to our model, the Nuggets (-2.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 244.5-point over/under has a 55% chance of staying under.
Nuggets vs. Heat odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Nuggets | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -2.5 (-105) | +2.5 (-115) |
| Moneyline | -132 | +114 |
| Total | o244.5 (-108) | u244.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Nuggets vs. Heat picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Nuggets -2.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Nuggets | -132 |
| Total | Under 244.5 | -110 |
According to our NBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Nuggets to win.
Nuggets vs. Heat player props
NBA prop bets are a popular way to wager on Monday's Nuggets vs. Heat matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Kaseya Center.
Nikola Jokic is expected to lead the Nuggets with 28 points, 13 rebounds and 11 assists, while Norman Powell is projected to have 22 points, 3 rebounds and 3 assists for the Heat.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Nuggets prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Nuggets are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | 28 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 68 |
| Jamal Murray | 26 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 48 |
| Tim Hardaway | 16 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 26 |
| Peyton Watson | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 30 |
| Spencer Jones | 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 24 |
Heat prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Heat:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norman Powell | 22 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 35 |
| Bam Adebayo | 17 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 37 |
| Andrew Wiggins | 17 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 33 |
| Jaime Jaquez | 16 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 32 |
| Kel'el Ware | 12 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28 |
Nuggets vs. Heat game-day updates and essential details
Monday's action between the Heat and Nuggets at Kaseya Center is scheduled to commence at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Denver Nuggets vs. Miami Heat
- Date: Monday, December 29, 2025
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Kaseya Center
Conclusion
We predict the Nuggets, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Heat on Monday, with Nikola Jokic projected for a game-high 68 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Nuggets vs. Heat insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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