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Celtics vs. Grizzlies prediction: Why Boston is favored to win Friday's NBA matchup [3/20/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Boston Celtics vs Memphis Grizzlies predictions for NBA Friday.
The Memphis Grizzlies and Boston Celtics will meet in NBA action at FedExForum on Friday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Celtics as the most likely winner of the Celtics vs. Grizzlies game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Grizzlies lineup will feature players like Ty Jerome, Jaylen Wells and Olivier-Maxence Prosper, while the Celtics will be led by Jaylen Brown, Jayson Tatum and Derrick White.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Celtics vs. Grizzlies prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's NBA matchup between the Celtics and Grizzlies 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Celtics an 87% chance of beating the Grizzlies. Our predicted final score has the Celtics winning 121-108.
According to our model, the Grizzlies (+15.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 230.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.
Celtics vs. Grizzlies odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Celtics | Grizzlies |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -15.5 (-108) | +15.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -1200 | +810 |
| Total | o230.5 (-108) | u230.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Celtics vs. Grizzlies picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Grizzlies +15.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Grizzlies | +810 |
| Total | Under 230.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Grizzlies +15.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Celtics vs. Grizzlies player props
NBA prop bets are a great way to wager on Friday's Boston vs. Memphis game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at FedExForum.
Jaylen Brown is expected to lead the Celtics with 30 points, 8 rebounds and 6 assists, while Ty Jerome is projected to have 17 points, 3 rebounds and 5 assists for the Grizzlies.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Celtics prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Celtics are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown | 30 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 54 |
| Jayson Tatum | 25 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 48 |
| Derrick White | 17 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 38 |
| P. Pritchard | 17 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 34 |
| Neemias Queta | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 33 |
Grizzlies prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Grizzlies:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Jerome | 17 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 33 |
| Jaylen Wells | 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 21 |
| O. Prosper | 12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 23 |
| Javon Small | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 28 |
| T. Hendricks | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 23 |
Celtics vs. Grizzlies game-day updates and essential details
Friday's game between the Grizzlies and Celtics at FedExForum is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Boston Celtics vs. Memphis Grizzlies
- Date: Friday, March 20, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: FedExForum
Conclusion
We predict the Celtics, with an 87% win probability, will likely beat the Grizzlies on Friday, with Jaylen Brown projected for a game-high 54 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Celtics vs. Grizzlies insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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