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Austin FC vs. D.C. United prediction, odds, MLS picks [3/1/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Austin FC vs D.C. United predictions for MLS Sunday.
Austin and D.C. United will lock horns in MLS action at Q2 Stadium on Sunday, starting at 2:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLS model predicts Austin as the most likely winner of the Austin vs. D.C. United game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Austin FC vs. D.C. United prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's MLS matchup between Austin and D.C. United 10,000 times as part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently suggests a 58.3% chance of Austin winning, an 18.4% chance for D.C. United, and a 23.3% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 51% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Austin FC vs. D.C. United odds
We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Austin | D.C. United | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -105 | +300 | +245 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +100 | -122 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Austin FC vs. D.C. United picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Austin | -105 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | +100 |
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Austin to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Austin FC vs. D.C. United: Correct score predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Austin win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| AUS 1-0 DCU | 12.7% |
| AUS 1-1 DCU | 11.1% |
| AUS 2-0 DCU | 11.1% |
Austin FC vs. D.C. United game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's game between Austin and D.C. United in MLS at Q2 Stadium is scheduled to start at 2:30 PM ET.
- Who: Austin FC vs. D.C. United
- Date: Sunday, March 1, 2026
- Time: 2:30 PM ET/11:30AM PT
- Venue: Q2 Stadium
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Austin has a 58.3% win probability on Sunday, D.C. United has an 18.4% win probability, and there is a 23.3% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Austin vs. D.C. United insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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