D.C. United vs. Austin Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the D.C. United vs. Austin MLS match on March 1, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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D.C. United
0
1
Q2 Stadium
Austin
Q2 Stadium
AustinAUS
Score Summary
D.C. UnitedDC
C. Ramirez (82')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Austin
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • D.C. United
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: J. Bell replaces F. Torres
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: N. Markovic replaces B. Servania
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    K. Kurokawa (DC United) cautioned
  4. 90'
    Yellow Card
    Gabriel Pirani (DC United) cautioned
  5. 87'
    Yellow Card
    B. Sabovic (Austin FC) cautioned
  6. 82'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Austin FC by C. Ramirez
    0-1
  7. 79'
    Yellow Card
    D. Pereira (Austin FC) cautioned
  8. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: L. Munteanu replaces Peglow
  9. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: C. Fodrey replaces J. Rosales
  10. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: C. Ramirez replaces J. Nelson
  11. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: B. Sabovic replaces I. Sanchez
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: Gabriel Pirani replaces H. Kijima
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: J. Hopkins replaces J. Stroud
  14. 29'
    Yellow Card
    F. Torres (Austin FC) cautioned
  15. 12'
    Yellow Card
    J. Stroud (DC United) cautioned

D.C. United vs. Austin: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: D.C. United vs. Austin
  • Date: Sunday, March 1, 2026
  • Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Q2 Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: D.C. United +300, Austin +100, draw +245
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+100/-120)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • D.C. United: 18.4%
  • Austin: 58.3%
  • Draw: 23.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: D.C. United 0-1 Austin (12.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win D.C. United vs. Austin? Prediction & correct score

Austin is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 58.3%.

The most likely correct score is D.C. United 0-1 Austin.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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