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Hawks vs. Mavericks prediction: Atlanta favored to win Wednesday's NBA matchup [3/18/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Atlanta Hawks vs Dallas Mavericks predictions for NBA Wednesday.
The Dallas Mavericks will face the favored Atlanta Hawks in NBA action at American Airlines Center on Wednesday, commencing at 8:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Hawks as the most likely winner of the Hawks vs. Mavericks game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Mavericks lineup will feature players like Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall and P.J. Washington, while the Hawks will look to Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker and CJ McCollum.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Hawks vs. Mavs prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NBA matchup between the Hawks and Mavericks 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Hawks a 73% chance of beating the Mavericks. Our predicted final score has the Hawks winning 122-115.
According to our model, the Mavericks (+8) have a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 239 points has a 54% chance of staying under.
Hawks vs. Mavericks odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Hawks | Mavericks |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -8 (-115) | +8 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -325 | +270 |
| Total | o239 (-110) | u239 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Hawks vs. Mavericks picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Mavericks +8 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Mavericks | +270 |
| Total | Under 239 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Wednesday, the top play to make on this game is Mavericks +8 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Hawks vs. Mavericks player props
Looking for Hawks vs. Mavericks NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at American Airlines Center.
Jalen Johnson is expected to lead the Hawks with 24 points, 11 rebounds and 10 assists, while Cooper Flagg is projected to have 22 points, 7 rebounds and 5 assists for the Mavericks.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Hawks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Hawks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson | 24 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 57 |
| N. Alexander-Walker | 20 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 37 |
| CJ McCollum | 18 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 33 |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 17 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 39 |
| Dyson Daniels | 12 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 35 |
Mavericks prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Mavericks:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg | 22 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 44 |
| Naji Marshall | 18 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 35 |
| P.J. Washington | 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 32 |
| Max Christie | 13 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 25 |
| Klay Thompson | 12 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20 |
Hawks vs. Mavs game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's game between the Mavericks and Hawks at American Airlines Center is scheduled to begin at 8:30 PM ET.
- Who: Atlanta Hawks vs. Dallas Mavericks
- Date: Wednesday, March 18, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: American Airlines Center
Conclusion
We predict the Hawks, with a 73% win probability, will likely beat the Mavericks on Wednesday, with Jalen Johnson projected for a game-high 57 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Hawks vs. Mavericks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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