Hawks vs. Mavericks Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Hawks vs. Mavericks NBA game on March 18, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
Hawks
135
120
American Airlines Center
Mavericks
American Airlines Center
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hawks | 29 | 38 | 68 | 0 | 135 |
Mavericks | 25 | 31 | 64 | 0 | 120 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
- Hawks
- Mavericks
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hawks | 29 | 38 | 68 | 0 | 135 |
Mavericks | 25 | 31 | 64 | 0 | 120 |
Q4 00:23 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:37 Caleb Houstan misses three point running jump shot
Q4 00:46 Ryan Nembhard misses two point stepback jump shot
Q4 00:51 Keaton Wallace makes two point cutting layup (Onyeka Okongwu assists)
Q4 1:03 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:15 Jalen Johnson makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:19 AJ Johnson blocks Jalen Johnson's two point turnaround jump shot
Q4 1:32 Dwight Powell makes two point driving layup (AJ Johnson assists)
Q4 1:52 Klay Thompson makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:15 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4 ALL
- End of 4th Quarter.
- +1AJ Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 1135-120
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot135-119
- Jalen Johnson shooting foul (AJ Johnson draws the foul)
- Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
- Caleb Houstan misses three point running jump shot
- Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
- Ryan Nembhard misses two point stepback jump shot
- +2Keaton Wallace makes two point cutting layup (Onyeka Okongwu assists)135-119
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot135-119
- +3Jalen Johnson makes three point jump shot135-119
- Jalen Johnson offensive rebound
- AJ Johnson blocks Jalen Johnson's two point turnaround jump shot
- +2Dwight Powell makes two point driving layup (AJ Johnson assists)135-119
- Hawks turnover
- +3Klay Thompson makes three point jump shot130-113
- Dwight Powell shooting foul (Jalen Johnson draws the foul)
- Jalen Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- +1Jalen Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2130-110
- Hawks lineup change (Caleb Houstan, Jalen Johnson, Keaton Wallace, Buddy Hield, Onyeka Okongwu)
- Hawks offensive rebound
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot129-110
- Dyson Daniels offensive rebound
- +2Dyson Daniels makes two point tip layup135-119
- Jalen Johnson misses two point jump shot
- Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Marvin Bagley III, AJ Johnson, Ryan Nembhard, Dwight Powell)
- Mavericks turnover
- +3Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes three point jump shot (Jalen Johnson assists)135-119
- P.J. Washington offensive rebound
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot135-120
- AJ Johnson misses three point running jump shot
- Ryan Nembhard defensive rebound
- Hawks misses three point jump shot
- Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
- AJ Johnson misses two point driving finger roll layup
- Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker misses two point driving floating jump shot
- CJ McCollum blocks Cooper Flagg's three point jump shot
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- Mavericks turnover
- Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Marvin Bagley III, AJ Johnson, Ryan Nembhard, Cooper Flagg)
- +2Dyson Daniels makes two point jump shot (Dyson Daniels assists)129-110
- Mavericks turnover
- +2CJ McCollum makes two point jump shot113-95
- AJ Johnson personal foul
- +1P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 2113-95
- +1P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 2 of 2113-95
- Hawks personal foul
- +3Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes three point jump shot (Onyeka Okongwu assists)113-95
- Hawks lineup change (Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Jalen Johnson, CJ McCollum, Dyson Daniels, Onyeka Okongwu)
- Hawks 60 second timeout
- +2Daniel Gafford makes two point jump shot113-95
- Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- P.J. Washington offensive rebound
- Cooper Flagg misses three point pullup jump shot
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Hawks personal foul
- P.J. Washington misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- +1P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 2135-120
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Corey Kispert turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
- Onyeka Okongwu offensive rebound
- Onyeka Okongwu misses two point pullup jump shot
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Zaccharie Risacher personal foul
- Mavericks 60 second timeout
- +1Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 2135-119
- Hawks lineup change (Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Jalen Johnson, Dyson Daniels, Corey Kispert, Onyeka Okongwu)
- +1Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 2 of 2135-119
- +2Jalen Johnson makes two point pullup jump shot (Onyeka Okongwu assists)113-95
- +2Cooper Flagg makes two point jump shot113-95
- +2Corey Kispert makes two point jump shot113-95
- Corey Kispert personal foul (Daniel Gafford draws the foul)
- Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
- +1Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 1 of 2135-119
- +1Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 2 of 2135-119
- Naji Marshall misses two point driving floating jump shot
- Hawks turnover
- Hawks lineup change (Jalen Johnson, Zaccharie Risacher, Dyson Daniels, Corey Kispert, Onyeka Okongwu)
- Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, AJ Johnson, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall, Daniel Gafford)
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot113-95
- +3Corey Kispert makes three point jump shot (Jock Landale assists)113-95
- +2Daniel Gafford makes two point cutting layup (Cooper Flagg assists)113-95
- Zaccharie Risacher defensive goaltending violation
- +1CJ McCollum makes regular free throw 2 of 2113-95
- +1CJ McCollum makes regular free throw 1 of 2113-95
- Mavericks personal foul
- +2Daniel Gafford makes two point driving reverse layup (AJ Johnson assists)135-119
- Zaccharie Risacher personal foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)
- Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, AJ Johnson, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall, Daniel Gafford)
- Mavericks personal foul
- +2CJ McCollum makes two point running layup130-113
- Hawks lineup change (Jock Landale, Jalen Johnson, CJ McCollum, Zaccharie Risacher, Corey Kispert)
- Mavericks lineup change (Khris Middleton, Max Christie, AJ Johnson, Cooper Flagg, Daniel Gafford)
- +1CJ McCollum makes regular free throw 1 of 1130-113
- Corey Kispert defensive rebound
- Klay Thompson misses three point jump shot
- Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
- Hawks misses two point jump shot
- +3Mavericks makes three point jump shot129-110
- Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
- Hawks misses two point jump shot
- Zaccharie Risacher defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
- Hawks misses three point jump shot
- Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- +2Corey Kispert makes two point driving layup (Jonathan Kuminga assists)129-110
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot129-110
- Hawks personal foul
- +2Hawks makes two point jump shot129-110
- +1Max Christie makes regular free throw 2 of 2129-110
- Jock Landale shooting foul (Max Christie draws the foul)
- +1Max Christie makes regular free throw 1 of 2135-120
- +3Jonathan Kuminga makes three point jump shot101-82
- Instant replay
- Instant replay
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- Hawks lineup change (Jock Landale, CJ McCollum, Zaccharie Risacher, Jonathan Kuminga, Corey Kispert)
- Mavericks lineup change (Khris Middleton, Max Christie, Klay Thompson, Marvin Bagley III, Cooper Flagg)
- Klay Thompson misses heave shot
- End of 3rd Quarter.
- Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
- Khris Middleton misses two point pullup jump shot
- Khris Middleton defensive rebound
- Hawks misses three point jump shot
- Mavericks turnover (Jonathan Kuminga steals)
- +3Hawks makes three point jump shot98-82
- Instant replay
- Instant replay (Challenge)
- Gabe Vincent personal foul (P.J. Washington draws the foul)
- Hawks 60 second timeout
- Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
- +1P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 2113-95
- Mavericks lineup change (Khris Middleton, P.J. Washington, Klay Thompson, Marvin Bagley III, Ryan Nembhard)
- +1P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 2 of 2135-120
- Khris Middleton defensive rebound
- Jonathan Kuminga misses three point jump shot
- +3Mavericks makes three point jump shot113-95
- +2Hawks makes two point jump shot113-95
- +2Daniel Gafford makes two point jump shot (Klay Thompson assists)113-95
- +2Hawks makes two point jump shot113-95
- Hawks personal foul
- +1Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 2 of 291-75
- Hawks lineup change (Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Jock Landale, Zaccharie Risacher, Gabe Vincent, Jonathan Kuminga)
- Mavericks lineup change (Khris Middleton, P.J. Washington, Klay Thompson, Marvin Bagley III, Ryan Nembhard)
- Daniel Gafford misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- Hawks 60 second timeout
- +2Jonathan Kuminga makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot91-74
- Hawks defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Mavericks personal foul
- Mavericks lineup change (Khris Middleton, P.J. Washington, Klay Thompson, Ryan Nembhard, Daniel Gafford)
- +1Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 2129-110
- +1Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes regular free throw 2 of 2135-120
- +3Mavericks makes three point jump shot101-82
- Khris Middleton defensive rebound
- Hawks misses two point jump shot
- Mavericks turnover
- +2Jalen Johnson makes two point cutting dunk (Jock Landale assists)101-82
- +2Daniel Gafford makes two point driving dunk (Ryan Nembhard assists)91-74
- Dyson Daniels personal foul (Cooper Flagg draws the foul)
- Hawks lineup change (Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Jock Landale, Jalen Johnson, Jonathan Kuminga, Dyson Daniels)
- Mavericks lineup change (Khris Middleton, Max Christie, Klay Thompson, Ryan Nembhard, Daniel Gafford)
- Cooper Flagg offensive rebound
- Klay Thompson misses three point jump shot
- Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
- Dyson Daniels misses two point driving floating jump shot
- Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- +2Dyson Daniels makes two point running dunk81-69
- Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
- Naji Marshall misses three point jump shot
- +2Hawks makes two point jump shot91-74
- Dyson Daniels offensive rebound
- Hawks misses two point jump shot
- Mavericks turnover
- Onyeka Okongwu turnover (lost ball) (Cooper Flagg steals)
- Onyeka Okongwu personal foul
- +1Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 2 of 291-74
- +1Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 2101-82
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Klay Thompson, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall, Daniel Gafford)
- Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
- Hawks lineup change (Jalen Johnson, Gabe Vincent, Jonathan Kuminga, Dyson Daniels, Onyeka Okongwu)
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- Daniel Gafford misses two point putback layup
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- +2Hawks makes two point jump shot91-74
- +2Daniel Gafford makes two point running dunk (Cooper Flagg assists)79-67
- Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
- Jalen Johnson misses three point jump shot
- Naji Marshall turnover (bad pass) (Nickeil Alexander-Walker steals)
- P.J. Washington defensive rebound
- Daniel Gafford blocks Jalen Johnson's two point driving layup
- Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
- Naji Marshall misses two point jump shot
- Dyson Daniels turnover (Daniel Gafford steals)
- Mavericks personal foul
- Max Christie turnover (offensive foul)
- Max Christie personal foul (CJ McCollum draws the foul)
- +2CJ McCollum makes two point jump shot91-74
- +1CJ McCollum makes regular free throw 1 of 191-74
- Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall, Daniel Gafford)
- Cooper Flagg turnover (Jalen Johnson steals)
- +2Jalen Johnson makes two point running finger roll layup113-95
- Mavericks 60 second timeout
- Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
- Cooper Flagg misses two point pullup jump shot
- P.J. Washington defensive rebound
- Hawks misses three point jump shot
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound
- Naji Marshall misses two point driving floating jump shot
- Mavericks defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Jalen Johnson misses three point jump shot
- +2Naji Marshall makes two point driving floating jump shot (Ryan Nembhard assists)113-95
- +2Dyson Daniels makes two point jump shot74-65
- Mavericks personal foul
- +1Dyson Daniels makes regular free throw 1 of 1135-119
- Onyeka Okongwu offensive rebound
- Hawks misses three point jump shot
- +3Mavericks makes three point jump shot91-74
- P.J. Washington defensive rebound
- Hawks misses two point jump shot
- Mavericks turnover
- Onyeka Okongwu violation
- CJ McCollum personal foul (Ryan Nembhard draws the foul)
- Dyson Daniels personal foul
- Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
- Mavericks personal foul
- +1CJ McCollum makes regular free throw 1 of 279-67
- CJ McCollum misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- +2P.J. Washington makes two point jump shot79-67
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Mavericks defensive rebound
- Cooper Flagg blocks Onyeka Okongwu's two point jump shot
- +2Cooper Flagg makes two point driving layup70-58
- +2CJ McCollum makes two point jump shot (Onyeka Okongwu assists)79-67
- +1CJ McCollum makes regular free throw 1 of 179-67
- P.J. Washington personal foul
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- End of 1st Half.
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Max Christie, Ryan Nembhard, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall)
- +2CJ McCollum makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot67-56
- Naji Marshall personal foul (Nickeil Alexander-Walker draws the foul)
- Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
- Naji Marshall misses two point stepback jump shot
- +2Dyson Daniels makes two point jump shot113-95
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot113-95
- Hawks turnover
- Hawks offensive rebound
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker technical foul
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- +1Max Christie makes technical free throw 1 of 1135-119
- Jalen Johnson misses two point driving layup
- Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- +2CJ McCollum makes two point pullup jump shot (Jalen Johnson assists)65-56
- +3Mavericks makes three point jump shot67-56
- Naji Marshall defensive rebound
- Dyson Daniels misses two point jump shot
- Dyson Daniels turnover (bad pass) (Marvin Bagley III steals)
- Dyson Daniels misses two point jump shot
- Hawks offensive rebound
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker misses two point jump shot
- Hawks offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Jalen Johnson offensive rebound
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker misses two point driving layup
- Max Christie turnover
- Mavericks 60 second timeout
- +2Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes two point jump shot67-56
- Cooper Flagg turnover
- +2Dyson Daniels makes two point cutting layup (CJ McCollum assists)57-48
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker personal foul
- Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Max Christie, Marvin Bagley III, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall)
- +1P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 2 of 291-74
- +1P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 2113-95
- +2Hawks makes two point jump shot (Jalen Johnson assists)67-56
- Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
- Khris Middleton misses two point driving floating jump shot
- Khris Middleton offensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Hawks turnover
- Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
- Hawks personal foul
- +1Klay Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 267-56
- Klay Thompson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- P.J. Washington defensive rebound
- Jalen Johnson misses three point jump shot
- Mavericks violation
- Hawks 60 second timeout
- Hawks lineup change (Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Jalen Johnson, CJ McCollum, Dyson Daniels, Onyeka Okongwu)
- +3P.J. Washington makes three point jump shot (Naji Marshall assists)55-47
- Jalen Johnson turnover (bad pass) (Khris Middleton steals)
- +2P.J. Washington makes two point jump shot55-44
- Naji Marshall defensive rebound
- Hawks misses three point jump shot
- Hawks offensive rebound
- P.J. Washington blocks Nickeil Alexander-Walker's two point driving layup
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Corey Kispert offensive rebound
- Daniel Gafford shooting foul (Corey Kispert draws the foul)
- Corey Kispert misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- +1Corey Kispert makes regular free throw 1 of 291-74
- Corey Kispert shooting foul (Daniel Gafford draws the foul)
- +1Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 2 of 257-48
- +1Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 1 of 257-48
- Mavericks lineup change (Khris Middleton, P.J. Washington, Klay Thompson, Naji Marshall, Daniel Gafford)
- Dyson Daniels offensive rebound
- +2Dyson Daniels makes two point tip layup57-48
- Dyson Daniels misses two point jump shot
- Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
- Cooper Flagg misses three point pullup jump shot
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- Hawks personal foul
- Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Klay Thompson, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall, Daniel Gafford)
- Hawks lineup change (Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Jalen Johnson, Dyson Daniels, Corey Kispert, Onyeka Okongwu)
- Mavericks misses three point jump shot
- +3Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes three point jump shot (Jalen Johnson assists)52-40
- +3Mavericks makes three point jump shot52-40
- Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Klay Thompson, Ryan Nembhard, Cooper Flagg, Daniel Gafford)
- Ryan Nembhard defensive rebound
- Mavericks 60 second timeout
- Hawks lineup change (Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Jalen Johnson, Zaccharie Risacher, Dyson Daniels, Onyeka Okongwu)
- Hawks misses two point jump shot
- Zaccharie Risacher defensive rebound
- Mavericks misses two point jump shot
- Max Christie defensive rebound
- Hawks misses two point jump shot
- Corey Kispert defensive rebound
- Cooper Flagg misses two point jump shot
- Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
- Hawks misses three point jump shot
- Cooper Flagg turnover
- +2Jock Landale makes two point jump shot (Jalen Johnson assists)49-37
- +2Khris Middleton makes two point jump shot (Ryan Nembhard assists)49-37
- Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
- Hawks misses two point jump shot
- Jonathan Kuminga shooting foul (Cooper Flagg draws the foul)
- Cooper Flagg misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Mavericks offensive rebound
- +1Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 2 of 255-47
- Hawks lineup change (Jock Landale, Jalen Johnson, CJ McCollum, Zaccharie Risacher, Corey Kispert)
- +3Hawks makes three point jump shot49-37
- Jonathan Kuminga offensive rebound
- Jock Landale misses three point jump shot
- +2Mavericks makes two point jump shot44-34
- Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
- CJ McCollum misses two point running layup
- Jock Landale defensive rebound
- Khris Middleton misses two point layup
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Khris Middleton defensive rebound
- Jonathan Kuminga misses two point jump shot
- Hawks personal foul
- +1Khris Middleton makes regular free throw 2 of 249-37
- +1Khris Middleton makes regular free throw 1 of 257-48
- +2Hawks makes two point jump shot52-40
- Cooper Flagg turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
- +2CJ McCollum makes two point jump shot29-25
- Zaccharie Risacher defensive rebound
- Zaccharie Risacher blocks Mavericks's two point jump shot
- +3Hawks makes three point jump shot29-25
- End of 1st Quarter.
- Hawks offensive rebound
- Hawks lineup change (Jock Landale, CJ McCollum, Zaccharie Risacher, Jonathan Kuminga, Corey Kispert)
- Mavericks lineup change (Khris Middleton, Max Christie, Marvin Bagley III, Ryan Nembhard, Cooper Flagg)
- Mavericks violation
- Jalen Johnson turnover
- Jalen Johnson turnover
- Jalen Johnson turnover
- Onyeka Okongwu turnover
- Hawks misses two point jump shot
- Onyeka Okongwu offensive rebound
- Hawks misses two point jump shot
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
Hawks vs. Mavericks: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Hawks vs. Mavericks
- Date: Wednesday, March 18, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: American Airlines Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Hawks favored at -7.5
- Total (Over/Under): 232.5
- Moneyline Odds: Hawks 74¢, Mavericks 25¢
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Hawks: 73%
- Mavericks: 27%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Hawks 122-115 Mavericks.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Hawks a win probability of 73%, while the Mavericks have a win probability of 27%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Hawks are more likely to beat the Mavericks in the NBA game at American Airlines Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Hawks vs. Mavericks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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