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Read Article Jazz vs. Rockets NBA Cup prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 13, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dimers Data
Our Jazz vs. Rockets predictions include win probabilities, the latest odds, and player projections.
The Houston Rockets are favored to beat the Utah Jazz at Toyota Center on Friday (8:30 PM ET), according to Dimers' NBA model.
Our Jazz vs. Rockets prediction gives Houston an 87.0% chance of coming out on top, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Jazz to cover at +15.
This game is part of Group Play in the 2026 NBA Cup, with the New York Knicks entering as defending champions and the final set for Hinkle Fieldhouse in Indianapolis on Dec. 11.
Jazz vs. Rockets key predictions
- Predicted score: Rockets 117-104 Jazz
- Rockets win probability: 87.0%
- Jazz win probability: 13.0%
- Jazz +15 spread: 57.6% cover probability
- Over 221.5 points: 51.1% probability
Our NBA predictions project each team's score based on player performance, expected minutes, matchups, availability, and home-court advantage.
We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities from these projections, comparing them against current odds to find betting value.
Jazz vs. Rockets odds
Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.
- Jazz moneyline: 10¢ (Novig)
- Rockets moneyline: 91¢ (Novig)
- Jazz +15: +100 (Caesars Sportsbook)
- Rockets -15: -110 (fanatics)
- Over 221.5 points: 50¢ (Novig)
- Under 221.5 points: 50¢ (Novig)
Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.
Jazz vs. Rockets pick: Jazz +15 (+100)
Our model makes the Rockets the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the Jazz to cover the +15 spread at +100 on Caesars Sportsbook.
Those odds give Jazz an implied cover probability of 50.0%, while our model puts it at 57.6%.
That's a 7.6% edge, the biggest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets.
Jazz vs. Rockets player projections
Dimers' NBA player projections cover points, rebounds, assists, and more, accounting for recent performance, expected minutes, lineup changes, and defensive matchups.
Rockets star Kevin Durant leads the scoring projections for this matchup with 24.1 points, plus 5.6 rebounds and 4.8 assists. The Rockets have three players among the top five projected scorers, compared to the Jazz's two.
Top 5 projected scorers
- Kevin Durant (Rockets): 24.1 points
- Keyonte George (Jazz): 21.6
- Alperen Sengun (Rockets): 20.5
- Darryn Peterson (Jazz): 17.5
- Amen Thompson (Rockets): 17.2
Projections are estimates, not betting recommendations. Compare them with available odds to judge value.
Get every Jazz vs. Rockets prediction with Dimers Pro
Dimers Pro members get full access to our Jazz vs. Rockets predictions, including:
- Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
- Points, rebounds, and assists projections for players on both teams
- Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks
Jazz vs. Rockets game details
- Matchup: Utah Jazz vs. Houston Rockets
- Date: Friday, November 13, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: Toyota Center
- Tournament details: 2026 NBA Cup
About this prediction
This preview uses predictions from our NBA models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.
Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.
Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Dimers Data Dimers Data publishes sports predictions and betting insights powered by Dimers' proprietary predictive models. The team develops and maintains the automated publishing systems used to deliver consistent, data-driven coverage across major sports.
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