NBA player props today: Friday's best props include Keyonte George [11/13/2026]

Keyonte George over 1.5 assists (54¢)

• Edge: 16.2%
• Probability: 70.2%
• Projection: 6.3
• Game: Jazz vs. Rockets (8:30PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Jazz' Keyonte George over 1.5 assists. A probability of 70.2% gives this play an edge of 16.2% at 54¢ odds.

Domantas Sabonis under 11.5 rebounds (50¢)

• Edge: 6.6%
• Probability: 56.6%
• Projection: 10.3
• Game: Trail Blazers vs. Kings (10:00PM ET)

Domantas Sabonis’s rebounds prop shows a 6.6% edge at 50¢ odds, according to our model, which projects him for 10.3 rebounds on the under 11.5 line.

Dejounte Murray over 4.5 assists (+112)

• Edge: 9.3%
• Probability: 56.5%
• Projection: 5.6
• Game: Grizzlies vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Dejounte Murray over 4.5 assists, with simulations showing a 56.5% probability and a 9.3% edge at +112.

Draymond Green under 6.5 assists (-102)

• Edge: 5.2%
• Probability: 55.7%
• Projection: 5.5
• Game: Warriors vs. Spurs (9:30PM ET)

Our model projects Draymond Green to record 5.5 assists today, creating an edge of 5.2% on the under 6.5 line at -102 odds.

Damian Lillard over 4.5 assists (+114)

• Edge: 8.4%
• Probability: 55.1%
• Projection: 5.4
• Game: Trail Blazers vs. Kings (10:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Damian Lillard over 4.5 assists for Trail Blazers, showing an edge of 8.4% at +114 odds.

Toumani Camara over 2.5 3-pointers made (48¢)

• Edge: 5.2%
• Probability: 53.2%
• Projection: 2.8
• Game: Trail Blazers vs. Kings (10:00PM ET)

Toumani Camara’s 3-pointers made prop shows an edge of 5.2% at 48¢ odds, according to our model, which projects him for 2.8 today.

Ace Bailey over 14.5 points (45¢)

• Edge: 7.0%
• Probability: 52.5%
• Projection: 15.6
• Game: Jazz vs. Rockets (8:30PM ET)

Our model projects Ace Bailey for 15.6 points for Jazz, creating an edge of 7.0% on over 14.5 at 45¢ odds.

Deni Avdija over 24.5 points (41¢)

• Edge: 10.8%
• Probability: 51.8%
• Projection: 25.3
• Game: Trail Blazers vs. Kings (10:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Deni Avdija for 25.3 points, creating value on the over 24.5 line at 41¢ odds and a 10.8% edge.

James Harden over 4.5 rebounds (+117)

• Edge: 5.6%
• Probability: 51.7%
• Projection: 4.8
• Game: Cavaliers vs. Heat (8:00PM ET)

A 5.6% edge on the over 24.5 rebounds line makes James Harden a value play in Cavaliers vs. Heat, with our model projecting him for 4.8 rebounds at +117 odds.

Zach LaVine under 19.5 points (45¢)

• Edge: 5.5%
• Probability: 51.0%
• Projection: 19.1
• Game: Trail Blazers vs. Kings (10:00PM ET)

Simulations project Zach LaVine for 19.1 points here, creating a 5.5% edge on the under 19.5 line at 45¢ odds.

NBA player prop summary: Friday, November 13, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:51AM ET:

Conclusion

For November 13, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Keyonte George, Domantas Sabonis and Dejounte Murray. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.