NBA player props today: Monday's best props include Scottie Barnes [11/9/2026]

Scottie Barnes over 5.5 assists (50¢)

• Edge: 7.5%
• Probability: 57.5%
• Projection: 6.8
• Game: Grizzlies vs. Raptors (7:30PM ET)

Our model has found value on Raptors' Scottie Barnes over 5.5 assists. A probability of 57.5% gives this play an edge of 7.5% at 50¢ odds.

Nikola Jokic under 24.5 points (46¢)

• Edge: 7.5%
• Probability: 53.5%
• Projection: 22.9
• Game: Nuggets vs. Rockets (8:30PM ET)

Nikola Jokic’s points prop shows a 7.5% edge at 46¢ odds, according to our model, which projects him for 22.9 points on the under 24.5 line.

Paul Reed over 8.5 rebounds (+112)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 53.3%
• Projection: 9.1
• Game: Wizards vs. Pistons (7:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Paul Reed over 8.5 rebounds, with simulations showing a 53.3% probability and a 6.1% edge at +112.

Jalen Johnson over 7.5 assists (47¢)

• Edge: 6.2%
• Probability: 53.2%
• Projection: 8.1
• Game: Lakers vs. Hawks (7:00PM ET)

Our model projects Jalen Johnson to put up 8.1 assists today, creating an edge of 6.2% on the over 7.5 line at 47¢ odds.

P.J. Washington over 14.5 points (46¢)

• Edge: 5.5%
• Probability: 52.0%
• Projection: 15.4
• Game: Pacers vs. Mavericks (8:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on P.J. Washington over 14.5 points for Mavericks, showing an edge of 5.5% at 46¢ odds.

Alex Sarr over 1.5 blocks (41¢)

• Edge: 10.6%
• Probability: 51.1%
• Projection: 1.6
• Game: Wizards vs. Pistons (7:00PM ET)

Alex Sarr’s blocks prop shows an edge of 10.6% at 41¢ odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.6 today.

Anthony Davis over 1.5 blocks (37¢)

• Edge: 13.4%
• Probability: 50.4%
• Projection: 1.5
• Game: Wizards vs. Pistons (7:00PM ET)

Our model projects Anthony Davis for 1.5 blocks for Wizards, creating an edge of 13.4% on over 1.5 at 37¢ odds.

P.J. Washington over 7.5 rebounds (41¢)

• Edge: 8.2%
• Probability: 49.7%
• Projection: 7.4
• Game: Pacers vs. Mavericks (8:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects P.J. Washington for 7.4 rebounds, creating value on the over 7.5 line at 41¢ odds and a 8.2% edge.

Devin Booker over 5.5 assists (38¢)

• Edge: 11.1%
• Probability: 49.1%
• Projection: 5.3
• Game: Spurs vs. Suns (9:00PM ET)

An 11.1% edge on the over 7.5 assists line makes Devin Booker a value play in Spurs vs. Suns, with our model projecting him for 5.3 assists at 38¢ odds.

Jalen Johnson over 9.5 rebounds (40¢)

• Edge: 9.0%
• Probability: 48.5%
• Projection: 9.2
• Game: Lakers vs. Hawks (7:00PM ET)

Simulations project Jalen Johnson for 9.2 rebounds here, creating a 9.0% edge on the over 9.5 line at 40¢ odds.

NBA player prop summary: Monday, November 9, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 6:07PM ET:

Conclusion

For November 9, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Scottie Barnes, Nikola Jokic and Paul Reed. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.