Pacers vs. Mavericks Prediction, Picks & Odds
Spread
- Pacers
- Mavericks
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|
| P. Siakam | |||
| A. Nembhard | |||
| O. Toppin | |||
| I. Zubac | |||
| J. Walker |
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Flagg | |||
| K. Irving | |||
| P. Washington | |||
| N. Marshall | |||
| D. Gafford |
Pacers vs. Mavericks prediction & analysis
Game overview: NBA Monday
- Teams: Indiana Pacers vs. Dallas Mavericks
- Date: Monday, November 9, 2026
- Tip-off: 8:00PM ET
- Venue: American Airlines Center
Current betting odds
- Spread: Pacers (+3.5, -112), Mavericks (-3.5, +108)
- Total (Over/Under): 222.5 points (-104/+100)
- Moneyline: Pacers +138, Mavericks -138
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Pacers: 41.1%
- Mavericks: 58.9%
Our NBA win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team's offensive and defensive performance, along with factors such as recent form, player availability, home-court advantage, and matchup dynamics.
The model uses these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, spread, total points, and the final score.
Projected Final Score
Our model projects the final score for this NBA matchup as Pacers 110 and Mavericks 112.
This is a margin of 2 points against a spread of 3.5, and a projected total of 222 points against a market line of 222.5.
A projected score is the middle of a range, not a forecast of the exact result. Use it to see how the game is likely to play out and how each side projects against the spread.
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Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pacers a win probability of 41.1%, while the Mavericks have a win probability of 58.9%.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Mavericks are more likely to beat the Pacers in the NBA game at American Airlines Center on Monday.
That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.
Responsible gambling
Dimers’ predictions and betting insights are here to inform your decisions, not to make them for you. If you are betting on Pacers vs. Mavericks, set your limits in advance and stay within them. For support, visit our responsible gambling resources.
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