Pelicans vs. Warriors prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 9, 2026

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Written by Dimers Data

Our Pelicans vs. Warriors predictions include win probabilities, the latest odds, and player projections.

Get our Pelicans vs. Warriors prediction for November 9, 2026, including win probabilities, the latest odds, our pick, and player projections.
Pelicans vs. Warriors prediction and odds for Monday, November 9, 2026.

The Golden State Warriors are favored to beat the New Orleans Pelicans at Chase Center on Monday (10:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NBA model.

Our Pelicans vs. Warriors prediction gives Golden State a 76.8% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the Pelicans to cover at +9.

Pelicans vs. Warriors key predictions

  • Predicted score: Warriors 119-111 Pelicans
  • Warriors win probability: 76.8%
  • Pelicans win probability: 23.2%
  • Pelicans +9 spread: 53.6% cover probability
  • Under 232.5 points: 52.1% probability
 

Our NBA predictions project each team's score based on player performance, expected minutes, matchups, availability, and home-court advantage.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities from these projections, comparing them against current odds to find betting value.

Pelicans vs. Warriors odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

  • Pelicans moneyline: 22¢ (Novig)
  • Warriors moneyline: 78¢ (Polymarket)
  • Pelicans +9: -105 (Caesars Sportsbook)
  • Warriors -9: -115 (Caesars Sportsbook)
  • Over 232.5 points: 50¢ (Novig)
  • Under 232.5 points: 50¢ (Polymarket)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Pelicans vs. Warriors pick: Pelicans +9 (-105)

Our model makes the Warriors the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the Pelicans to cover the +9 spread at -105 on Caesars Sportsbook.

Those odds give the Pelicans an implied cover probability of 51.2%, while our model puts it at 53.6%.

That's a 2.4% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

 

Pelicans vs. Warriors player projections

Dimers' NBA player projections cover points, rebounds, assists, and more, accounting for recent performance, expected minutes, lineup changes, and defensive matchups.

Warriors star Stephen Curry leads the scoring projections for this matchup with 32.6 points, plus 5.4 assists and 3.1 rebounds. The Pelicans have three players among the top five projected scorers, compared to the Warriors' two.

Top 5 projected scorers

  1. Stephen Curry (Warriors): 32.6 points
  2. Zion Williamson (Pelicans): 21.0
  3. Trey Murphy (Pelicans): 20.6
  4. Yaxel Lendeborg (Warriors): 20.4
  5. Jeremiah Fears (Pelicans): 20.1

Projections are estimates, not betting recommendations. Compare them with available odds to judge value.

Get every Pelicans vs. Warriors prediction with Dimers Pro

Dimers Pro members get full access to our Pelicans vs. Warriors predictions, including:

  • Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
  • Points, rebounds, and assists projections for players on both teams
  • Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks

Pelicans vs. Warriors game details

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our NBA models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.

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Written by
Dimers Data

Dimers Data publishes sports predictions and betting insights powered by Dimers' proprietary predictive models. The team develops and maintains the automated publishing systems used to deliver consistent, data-driven coverage across major sports.

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