NBA parlay picks for Friday night feature James Harden

Friday night’s NBA betting slate resumes NBA Cup action and we've got our eyes on the three-ball with a trio of NBA player props.

Bennett Stirtz and the Thunder head to Los Angeles, James Harden and the Cavaliers visit one of the league’s most generous perimeter defenses in Miami, and Nickeil Alexander-Walker takes his hot shooting hand to Chicago, one of the league's worst defenses.

We’ve teamed up with bet365 sportsbook to bring you NBA parlays throughout the season. Each one is built with our Dimers Pro NBA predictions, best bets and player props.

On top of these parlay odds for Friday’s NBA games, new users in eligible states can collect a $200 sign-up bonus at bet365 after placing their first $10 bet.

Our NBA parlay picks for Friday

This week’s parlay is a three-point ladder: one shooter at 2+ made threes, one at 3+ and one at 4+. Each leg is backed by our NBA player projections.

Each player has hit his number in seven of his last 10 games, and all three face defenses that rank in the bottom eight in opponent three-point percentage.

Leg 1: Bennett Stirtz 2+ three-pointers made

Game: Thunder @ Clippers

The data case: Stirtz is the most consistent shooter on this ticket right now. He has made 2+ threes in seven straight games, including 100% of his last five, and averages 2.0 made threes over his last 10.

The slow start is behind him. He made one or fewer in his first three games of that 10-game stretch, then went 3, 3 and 4 before settling into four straight games of exactly two.

The Clippers rank 23rd in the NBA in opponent three-point percentage, letting teams shoot 37.2% from deep. The Dimers model gives Oklahoma City a 71.2% chance to win, so Stirtz should be on the floor in a game his team controls.

We project Stirtz for 1.7 made threes, slightly above his 1.5 line.

Leg 2: James Harden 3+ three-pointers made

Game: Cavaliers @ Heat

The data case: Harden has made 3+ threes in seven of his last 10 games and is averaging 2.8 made threes over that stretch. His most recent outing was a five-three night. He has also hit this number in 75% of his head-to-head games against Miami.

The matchup is the best on the board for threes. Miami allows 16.1 made threes per game, the most in the NBA, and ranks 29th in opponent three-point percentage at 39.4%. Both numbers are worse at home, where the Heat allow 17.5 made threes per game on 40.9% shooting.

The Dimers model expects a close game, with Miami winning 118-116. That should keep Harden on the floor and running Cleveland’s offense late.

We project Harden for 2.5 made threes.

Leg 3: Nickeil Alexander-Walker 4+ three-pointers made

Game: Hawks @ Bulls

The data case: The top rung of the ladder goes to the shooter with the biggest ceiling. Alexander-Walker is averaging 4.0 made threes over his last 10 games and has hit 4+ in seven of them, including four of his last five. That run includes a nine-three game and a six-three game, so he can clear this number quickly when he’s hot.

Chicago is a strong matchup for him.

The Bulls rank 28th in opponent three-point percentage at 39.4% and allow 14.7 made threes per game, fifth-most in the league.

The Dimers model projects a 124-118 Hawks win, which leaves plenty of scoring for Atlanta’s shooters, and NAW projects for 3.5 made threes, the most of any player in this game, and on the entire NBA slate.

Bet this NBA parlay at +658 odds on bet365

Base odds for this three-leg parlay are +658 so a $10 bet pays $65.80

New users can get a $200 sign-up bonus when making their first $10 bet on bet365 sportsbook.

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