Nov 14, 2026
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Read Article Nuggets vs. Pelicans prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 14, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dimers Data
Our Nuggets vs. Pelicans predictions include win probabilities, the latest odds, and player projections.
The Denver Nuggets are favored to beat the New Orleans Pelicans at Smoothie King Center on Saturday (7:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NBA model.
Our Nuggets vs. Pelicans prediction gives Denver an 82.7% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Pelicans to cover at +12.5.
Nuggets vs. Pelicans key predictions
- Predicted score: Nuggets 123-112 Pelicans
- Nuggets win probability: 82.7%
- Pelicans win probability: 17.3%
- Pelicans +12.5 spread: 55.2% cover probability
- Under 235.5 points: 51.6% probability
Our NBA predictions project each team's score based on player performance, expected minutes, matchups, availability, and home-court advantage.
We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities from these projections, comparing them against current odds to find betting value.
Nuggets vs. Pelicans odds
Below are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.
- Nuggets moneyline: 84¢ (Novig)
- Pelicans moneyline: +490 (FanDuel)
- Nuggets -12.5: 50¢ (Novig)
- Pelicans +12.5: 50¢ (Novig)
- Over 235.5 points: -108 (DraftKings)
- Under 235.5 points: 51¢ (Kalshi)
Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.
Nuggets vs. Pelicans pick: Pelicans +12.5 (50¢)
Our model makes the Nuggets the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the Pelicans to cover the +12.5 spread at 50¢ on Novig.
Those odds give Pelicans an implied cover probability of 50.5%, while our model rates it at 55.2%.
That's a 4.7% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets.
Nuggets vs. Pelicans player projections
Dimers' NBA player projections cover points, rebounds, assists, and more, accounting for recent performance, expected minutes, lineup changes, and defensive matchups.
Nuggets star Nikola Jokic leads the scoring projections for this matchup with 25.8 points, plus 12.4 rebounds and 10.3 assists. The Pelicans have three players among the top five projected scorers, compared to the Nuggets' two.
Top 5 projected scorers
- Nikola Jokic (Nuggets): 25.8 points
- Jamal Murray (Nuggets): 25.7
- Zion Williamson (Pelicans): 22.3
- Saddiq Bey (Pelicans): 19.8
- Jeremiah Fears (Pelicans): 19.2
Projections are estimates, not betting recommendations. Compare them with available odds to judge value.
Get every Nuggets vs. Pelicans prediction with Dimers Pro
Dimers Pro members get full access to our Nuggets vs. Pelicans predictions, including:
- Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
- Points, rebounds, and assists projections for players on both teams
- Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks
Nuggets vs. Pelicans game details
- Matchup: Denver Nuggets vs. New Orleans Pelicans
- Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Smoothie King Center
About this prediction
This preview uses predictions from our NBA models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.
Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.
Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Dimers Data Dimers Data publishes sports predictions and betting insights powered by Dimers' proprietary predictive models. The team develops and maintains the automated publishing systems used to deliver consistent, data-driven coverage across major sports.
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