Nov 14, 2026
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Read Article Mavericks vs. Cavaliers prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 14, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dimers Data
Our Mavericks vs. Cavaliers predictions include win probabilities, the latest odds, and player projections.
The Dallas Mavericks are favored to beat the Cleveland Cavaliers at Rocket Arena on Saturday (7:30 PM ET), according to Dimers' NBA model.
Our Mavericks vs. Cavaliers prediction gives Dallas a 66.3% chance of coming out on top, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Cavaliers to cover at +4.5.
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers key predictions
- Predicted score: Mavericks 116-111 Cavaliers
- Mavericks win probability: 66.3%
- Cavaliers win probability: 33.7%
- Cavaliers +4.5 spread: 54.4% cover probability
- Under 228.5 points: 50.7% probability
Our NBA predictions project each team's score based on player performance, expected minutes, matchups, availability, and home-court advantage.
We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities from these projections, comparing them against current odds to find betting value.
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers odds
Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.
- Mavericks moneyline: -200 (BetRivers)
- Cavaliers moneyline: 34¢ (Novig)
- Mavericks -4.5: -118 (BetRivers)
- Cavaliers +4.5: -105 (BetRivers)
- Over 228.5 points: 50¢ (Polymarket)
- Under 228.5 points: 50¢ (Novig)
Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers pick: Cavaliers +4.5 (-105)
Our model makes the Mavericks the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the Cavaliers to cover the +4.5 spread at -105 on BetRivers.
Those odds give Cavaliers an implied cover probability of 51.2%, while our model puts it at 54.4%.
That's a 3.2% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers player projections
Dimers' NBA player projections cover points, rebounds, assists, and more, accounting for recent performance, expected minutes, lineup changes, and defensive matchups.
Mavericks star Cooper Flagg leads the scoring projections for this matchup with 24.1 points, plus 7.0 rebounds and 6.9 assists. The Cavaliers have three players among the top five projected scorers, compared to the Mavericks' two.
Top 5 projected scorers
- Cooper Flagg (Mavericks): 24.1 points
- Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers): 23.7
- Kyrie Irving (Mavericks): 22.1
- James Harden (Cavaliers): 18.0
- Jarrett Allen (Cavaliers): 15.0
Projections are estimates, not betting recommendations. Compare them with available odds to judge value.
Get every Mavericks vs. Cavaliers prediction with Dimers Pro
Dimers Pro members get full access to our Mavericks vs. Cavaliers predictions, including:
- Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
- Points, rebounds, and assists projections for players on both teams
- Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers game details
- Matchup: Dallas Mavericks vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
- Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Rocket Arena
About this prediction
This preview uses predictions from our NBA models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.
Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.
Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Dimers Data Dimers Data publishes sports predictions and betting insights powered by Dimers' proprietary predictive models. The team develops and maintains the automated publishing systems used to deliver consistent, data-driven coverage across major sports.
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