Atlanta vs. Toronto Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Atlanta vs. Toronto MLS match on April 25, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS sport icon
MLS
Atlanta
2
1
BMO Field
Toronto
BMO Field
TorontoTOR
Score Summary
AtlantaATL
E. Aristizabal (71')
Soccer ball icon
A. Miranchuk (48')
Soccer ball icon
T. Muyumba (67')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Toronto
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Atlanta
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlanta Utd: W. Reilly replaces A. Miranchuk
  2. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlanta Utd: M. Galarza replaces C. Sanchez
  3. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: A. Bossenberry replaces A. Coello
  4. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: J. Vilsaint replaces J. Sargent
  5. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: M. Henry replaces E. Aristizabal
  6. 71'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Toronto FC by E. Aristizabal, assisted by K. Franklin
    2-1
  7. 67'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atlanta Utd by T. Muyumba
    2-0
  8. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlanta Utd: F. Picault replaces L. Brennan
  9. 48'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atlanta Utd by A. Miranchuk
    1-0
  10. 45'
    Yellow Card
    C. Sanchez (Atlanta Utd) cautioned
  11. 38'
    Yellow Card
    S. Gregersen (Atlanta Utd) cautioned
  12. 30'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: D. Etienne replaces J. Cifuentes
  13. 27'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlanta Utd: E. Latte Lath replaces C. Togashi
  14. 20'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: L. Stefanovic replaces B. Kuscevic

Atlanta vs. Toronto: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Atlanta vs. Toronto
  • Date: Saturday, April 25, 2026
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: BMO Field

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Atlanta +333, Toronto -120, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-145/+125)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Atlanta: 25.2%
  • Toronto: 51.6%
  • Draw: 23.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Atlanta 1-1 Toronto (10.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Atlanta vs. Toronto? Prediction & correct score

Toronto is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 51.6%.

The most likely correct score is Atlanta 1-1 Toronto.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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