NY City vs. Montreal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the NY City vs. Montreal MLS match on April 25, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS sport icon
MLS
NY City
0
1
Saputo Stadium
Montreal
Saputo Stadium
MontrealMTL
Score Summary
NY CityNYC
P. Owusu (18')
Soccer ball icon
T. Gray (77')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Montreal
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • NY City
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    K. Trewin (New York City) cautioned
  2. 88'
    Yellow Card
    D. Bugaj (CF Montreal) cautioned
  3. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: E. Morales replaces J. Neal
  4. 87'
    Yellow Card
    M. Longstaff (CF Montreal) cautioned
  5. 84'
    Yellow Card
    B. Vera (CF Montreal) cautioned
  6. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: A. Perea replaces M. Moralez
  7. 81'
    Yellow Card
    O. Escobar (CF Montreal) cautioned
  8. 81'
    Yellow Card
    N. Mercau (New York City) cautioned
  9. 77'
    Red Card
    T. Gray (New York City) sent off for a second yellow card
  10. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: D. Rios replaces P. Owusu
  11. 74'
    Yellow Card
    T. Gray (New York City) cautioned
  12. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: F. Herbers replaces S. Piette
  13. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: Raul Gustavo replaces K. Parks
  14. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: S. Reid replaces A. Ojeda
  15. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: Talles Magno replaces A. Farnos
  16. 63'
    Yellow Card
    S. Piette (CF Montreal) cautioned
  17. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: O. Escobar replaces N. Streit
  18. 18'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for CF Montreal by P. Owusu, assisted by M. Longstaff
    0-1

NY City vs. Montreal: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: NY City vs. Montreal
  • Date: Saturday, April 25, 2026
  • Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Saputo Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: NY City +145, Montreal +200, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-115/-105)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • NY City: 41.6%
  • Montreal: 33.8%
  • Draw: 24.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: NY City 1-1 Montreal (11.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win NY City vs. Montreal? Prediction & correct score

NY City is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 41.6%.

The most likely correct score is NY City 1-1 Montreal.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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