Austin vs. San Jose Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Austin vs. San Jose MLS match on April 22, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Austin
1
5
PayPal Park
San Jose
PayPal Park
San JoseSJ
Score Summary
AustinAUS
J. Jasinski (58')
Soccer ball icon
T. Werner (pen.) (78')
Soccer ball icon
P. Judd (83')
Soccer ball icon
O. Bouda (85')
Soccer ball icon
P. Judd (88')
Soccer ball icon
J. Rosales (9')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • San Jose
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Austin
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: N. Fernandez replaces T. Werner
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: D. Romney replaces J. Ricketts
  3. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza replaces R. Vieira
  4. 88'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by P. Judd, assisted by P. Marie
    1-5
  5. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: E. Torres replaces N. Dubersarsky
  6. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: M. Burton replaces J. Rosales
  7. 85'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by O. Bouda, assisted by P. Marie
    1-4
  8. 83'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by P. Judd, assisted by P. Marie
    1-3
  9. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: I. Harkes replaces B. Leroux
  10. 78'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by T. Werner (pen.)
    1-2
  11. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: P. Marie replaces J. Jasinski
  12. 71'
    Yellow Card
    J. Rosales (Austin FC) cautioned
  13. 68'
    Yellow Card
    J. Jasinski (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
  14. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: C. Ramirez replaces C. Fodrey
  15. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: M. Desler replaces J. Alastuey
  16. 58'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by J. Jasinski, assisted by N. Tsakiris
    1-1
  17. 54'
    Yellow Card
    R. Roberts (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
  18. 45'
    Yellow Card
    E. Edwards (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
  19. 38'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: Z. Kolmanic replaces Guilherme Biro
  20. 9'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Austin FC by J. Rosales
    1-0

Austin vs. San Jose: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Austin vs. San Jose
  • Date: Wednesday, April 22, 2026
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • Venue: PayPal Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Austin +550, San Jose -210, draw +380

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Austin: 16.5%
  • San Jose: 63.5%
  • Draw: 20.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Austin 0-2 San Jose (10.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Austin vs. San Jose? Prediction & correct score

San Jose is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 63.5%.

The most likely correct score is Austin 0-2 San Jose.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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