St Louis City vs. NY City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the St Louis City vs. NY City MLS match on April 4, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
St Louis City
1
:
1
Yankee Stadium
NY City
Yankee Stadium
NY CityNYC
Score Summary
St Louis CitySTL
H. Wolf (50')
Soccer ball icon
B. McSorley (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • NY City
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • St Louis City
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for St. Louis City by B. McSorley, assisted by L. MacNaughton
    1-1
  2. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: N. Cavallo replaces A. O'Neill
  3. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: Talles Magno replaces A. Ojeda
  4. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: M. Joyner replaces Rafael Santos
  5. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: B. McSorley replaces S. Becher
  6. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: J. Shore replaces K. Parks
  7. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: Raul Gustavo replaces T. Gray
  8. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: L. MacNaughton replaces D. Edelman
  9. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: C. Teuchert replaces S. Cordova
  10. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: M. Perez replaces C. Durkin
  11. 61'
    Yellow Card
    D. Polvara (St. Louis City) cautioned
  12. 58'
    Yellow Card
    H. Wolf (New York City) cautioned
  13. 56'
    Yellow Card
    J. Orozco (St. Louis City) cautioned
  14. 50'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York City by H. Wolf, assisted by M. Moralez
    0-1
  15. 43'
    Yellow Card
    D. Edelman (St. Louis City) cautioned

St Louis City vs. NY City: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: St Louis City vs. NY City
  • Date: Saturday, April 4, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Yankee Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: St Louis City +350, NY City -125, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-125/+108)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • St Louis City: 18.9%
  • NY City: 60.3%
  • Draw: 20.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: St Louis City 1-2 NY City (9.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win St Louis City vs. NY City? Prediction & correct score

NY City is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 60.3%.

The most likely correct score is St Louis City 1-2 NY City.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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